消费数据暴跌后，摩根大通下调美国经济预测：“接近衰退”

华尔街见闻2022-07-02

美国经济正在变得越来越脆弱，在通胀持续不断的背景下，最为重要的数据或许是消费正在变得疲软。美国商务部周四公布的数据显示，5月份消费者支出环比增幅降至0.2%，这是今年最小的月度涨幅，低于预期值0.4%，也低于4月份修正后的0.6%。经通胀调整后，美国5月个人消费支出实际上环比下降0.4%，为今年首降。在众多数据面前，摩根大通的经济学家也开始下调他们对美国经济增长的预期。这家银行将美国第二季度国内...

Source Link

Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

Comments

Sochkio
2022-07-04
Sochkio
👏
虎头纹
2022-07-02
虎头纹
這些機構我不知道有什麼用，難道就是投機炒作增加流動性？

Leave a comment

{"i18n":{"language":"en_US"},"isChannel":false,"data":{"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2248387394?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4ecccb954c9a03cd26d576ebec5c96d6","is_english":false,"pubTime":"2022-07-02 14:08","share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","id":"2248387394","market":"us","top_or_hot":-1,"title":"消费数据暴跌后，摩根大通下调美国经济预测：“接近衰退”","media":"华尔街见闻","content":"<div>\n<p>美国经济正在变得越来越脆弱，在通胀持续不断的背景下，最为重要的数据或许是消费正在变得疲软。美国商务部周四公布的数据显示，5月份消费者支出环比增幅降至0.2%，这是今年最小的月度涨幅，低于预期值0.4%，也低于4月份修正后的0.6%。经通胀调整后，美国5月个人消费支出实际上环比下降0.4%，为今年首降。在众多数据面前，摩根大通的经济学家也开始下调他们对美国经济增长的预期。这家银行将美国第二季度国内...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3663670\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"wallstreetcn_api","html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>消费数据暴跌后，摩根大通下调美国经济预测：“接近衰退”</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n消费数据暴跌后，摩根大通下调美国经济预测：“接近衰退”\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-07-02 14:08 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3663670><strong>华尔街见闻</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>美国经济正在变得越来越脆弱，在通胀持续不断的背景下，最为重要的数据或许是消费正在变得疲软。美国商务部周四公布的数据显示，5月份消费者支出环比增幅降至0.2%，这是今年最小的月度涨幅，低于预期值0.4%，也低于4月份修正后的0.6%。经通胀调整后，美国5月个人消费支出实际上环比下降0.4%，为今年首降。在众多数据面前，摩根大通的经济学家也开始下调他们对美国经济增长的预期。这家银行将美国第二季度国内...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3663670\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","isBrief":false,"type":0,"news_type":1,"symbol":"JPM","symbol_name":"摩根大通","start_time":0,"source_url":"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3663670","article_id":"2248387394","we_media_id":null,"thumbnails":["https://static.tigerbbs.com/4ecccb954c9a03cd26d576ebec5c96d6"],"rights":{"source":"wallstreetcn_api","url":"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3663670","rn_cache_url":null,"directOrigin":true},"url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2248387394","pubTimestamp":1656742098,"columns":[],"sourceInfo":{"source_id":"wallstreetcn_api","name":"华尔街见闻"},"weMediaInfo":null,"summary":"美国经济正在变得越来越脆弱，在通胀持续不断的背景下，最为重要的数据或许是消费正在变得疲软。美国商务部周四公布的数据显示，5月份消费者支出环比增幅降至0.2%，这是今年最小的月度涨幅，低于预期值0.4%","collect":0,"end_time":0,"defaultTopTitle":"wallstreetcn.com","property":[],"viewcount":null,"language":"zh","relate_stocks":{"JPM":"摩根大通"},"translate_title":"JPMorgan cut US economic forecast \"near recession\" after consumer data plummeted","themeId":"","isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c5dacc1dcaed4dc9c5414f1a154fb177","symbols_score_info":{"JPM":0.9},"content_text":"美国经济正在变得越来越脆弱，在通胀持续不断的背景下，最为重要的数据或许是消费正在变得疲软。美国商务部周四公布的数据显示，5月份消费者支出环比增幅降至0.2%，这是今年最小的月度涨幅，低于预期值0.4%，也低于4月份修正后的0.6%。经通胀调整后，美国5月个人消费支出实际上环比下降0.4%，为今年首降。在众多数据面前，摩根大通的经济学家也开始下调他们对美国经济增长的预期。这家银行将美国第二季度国内生产总值年化增长的预期从之前的2.5%下调至1%，不过经济学家同时表示，在汽车产量强劲和通胀下降的背景下，本年度的最后三个月将迎来1.5%左右的经济增速。美国经济“接近衰退”摩根大通的首席美国经济学家Michael Feroli周五写道：我们对美国经济的预测已经接近衰退水平，这非常危险。但同时，他也对经济的下一步进展表示了乐观：我们依然期待经济扩张，部分原因是即便在需求疲软时期，雇主可能也不是十分乐意裁员。真正的衰退可能在明年事实上，最近几周以来，由于美联储加息步伐不断加快，同时通胀水平创下数十年来新高后正在不断侵蚀就能的消费能力，华尔街分析师对于衰退来临的预测几率正在提高。华尔街见闻此前文章曾经提及：标普全球市场情报(S&P Global Market Intelligence)周四两次下调了对经济产出的预期，预计截至周四的第二季度美国GDP折合成年率将收缩1.5%，本周早些时候，该机构还预计经济会有小幅增长。同时，大部分分析师仍然认为即便衰退将要到来，但可能也要到明年才会真正开始。在分析师观点之外，亚特兰大联邦储备银行在周五也将其第二季度美国GDP的模型跟踪预测值下调至2.1%，相比6月30日的数据降低了1%。不过，亚特兰大联邦储备银行的数据模型（被称为GDPNow）也是不稳定的，因为过去两年疫情的出现无形中改变了经济运作的模式，增加了其不可预测性。当然，一般情况下，它仍然比华尔街分析师们的一致预期更准确。","kind":"highlight","is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":true,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"0","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":1},"commentList":[{"id":9047819730,"gmtCreate":1656896329020,"gmtModify":1676535911307,"author":{"id":"3569024945901577","authorId":"3569024945901577","name":"Sochkio","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0eda332522c086f2f5a4de481a4859f7","vip":1,"hat":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b073a07f77dbe6b3bec6b12311fde6bd","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"idStr":"3569024945901577","authorIdStr":"3569024945901577"},"htmlText":"👏","listText":"👏","text":"👏","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9047819730","repostId":2248387394,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"EN"},{"id":681123168,"gmtCreate":1656767990856,"gmtModify":1676533294067,"author":{"id":"3546388162494555","authorId":"3546388162494555","name":"虎头纹","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","vip":1,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3546388162494555","authorIdStr":"3546388162494555"},"htmlText":"這些機構我不知道有什麼用，難道就是投機炒作增加流動性？","listText":"這些機構我不知道有什麼用，難道就是投機炒作增加流動性？","text":"這些機構我不知道有什麼用，難道就是投機炒作增加流動性？","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/681123168","repostId":2248387394,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"CN"}],"isCommentEnd":false,"newsSizeData":{"likeSize":28,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false},"APP":{"userAgent":"Mozilla/5.0 AppleWebKit/537.36 (KHTML, like Gecko; compatible; ClaudeBot/1.0; +claudebot@anthropic.com)","isDev":false,"isTTM":true,"deviceId":"web-server-community-laohu8-v3","version":"4.29.3","shortVersion":"4.29.3","platform":"web","vendor":"web","appName":"ttm","isIOS":false,"isAndroid":false,"isTiger":false,"isTHS":false,"isWeiXin":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"isWeiBo":false,"isQQ":false,"isBaiduSwan":false,"isBaiduBox":false,"isDingTalk":false,"isToutiao":false,"isOnePlus":false,"isHuaWei":false,"isXiaomi":false,"isXiaomiWebView":false,"isOppo":false,"isVivo":false,"isSamsung":false,"isMobile":false},"href":"/m/news/2248387394"}