一份罕见的币圈研究报告：玩币无异于赌博

华尔街见闻2022-07-12

“要么发财！要么穷死！”去年美股散户投资者就是这么喊的。去年，YOLO主义（You only live once，人生苦短，何妨一试）一度在美股散户投资者中流行，疫情下的“封锁一代”决定抛弃陈旧常规，选择冒险去追求自己想要的生活，他们转投加密货币以求金融自由，所谓“要么发财！要么穷死！”然而近期，币圈出现“大地震”，随着加密货币经纪商Voyager宣布破产，投资者的信心正在逐渐瓦解。这还没完，瑞士...

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Comments

JaniceZhu
2022-07-13
JaniceZhu
馬後炮[冷漠]
Kiankai
2022-07-13
Kiankai
Haha
Liaw_0430
2022-07-13
Liaw_0430
閱
杀猪刀
2022-07-13
杀猪刀
說的好像股票不是賭博🌝
hhyw
2022-07-13
hhyw
好
CSNeo
2022-07-13
CSNeo
[開心]

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Didisheim分析了瑞讯银行Swissquote（少数几家可以同时提供加密交易服务的受监管银行之一）的随机客户样本数据，在他们研究的77364个活跃账户中，约21%的账户在交易加密货币。他们发现，在2020年疫情爆发后，加密货币和股票价格“突然”开始变得高度相关，当时比特币与标普500之间的相关性从0跃升至近60%。Somoza和Didisheim将此归因于散户投资者的激增。而一家名为Alphaville的机构不禁注意到，金融市场散户交易的激增通常发生在赌徒场地有限、赌场关闭、大多数体育赛事取消的时候。调查覆盖到的加密货币投资者似乎确实具有赌博属性：“通过观察持有加密货币的股票经纪人所青睐的股票，我们观察到他们对成长型股票和投机资产的强烈偏好。当经纪商开户一个加密货币钱包时，他们的整体投资组合风险更高，虽然年化回报率更高，但是以波动性为代价——夏普比率显著降低（年化-10.23%）。”这两位学者还发现，加密交易者最青睐的股票往往与加密货币价格相关度最高。因为这些投资者要么同时买入加密货币和投机性股票，要么同时卖出。当这些交易员持有加密钱包后，他们开始更频繁地查看自己的加密货币账户。另外有趣的是，当这些投资者持有加密钱包时，他们交易股票的频率降低了，所以他们的非加密投资组合的表现得到了改善。如果假设1)频繁交易对散户投资者不利，2)偏好风险的投资着更有可能开设加密货币账户，这个结果是说得通的。如果投资者能够从加密货币中获得风险敞口，那么他们就不需要热衷于卖出Gamestop的看跌期权了。Somoza和Didisheim表示：平均而言，加密货币投资者交易的股票更多，但在打开加密钱包后交易的股票就少了。一种可能的解释是，投资者一旦交易加密货币，对股票的关注就会减少，因此交易频率也会降低。这一结果或许可以部分解释(在他们股票投资组合中)夏普比率较高的原因。总而言之，调查数据“表明以加密货币为导向的散户投资者平均而言更穷、更年轻、更男性化、更活跃、更热衷于冒险”。但也许，他们还有更多的钱可以浪费在这项赌博上。可以说他们过得很开心，但也一直很穷。","kind":null,"is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":true,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"0","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":1},"commentList":[{"id":9078233033,"gmtCreate":1657688746122,"gmtModify":1676536046796,"author":{"id":"3580721934889206","authorId":"3580721934889206","name":"JaniceZhu","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/af488b5cafb7800a5651f7df4b054547","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3580721934889206","authorIdStr":"3580721934889206"},"htmlText":"馬後炮[冷漠]&nbsp;","listText":"馬後炮[冷漠]&nbsp;","text":"馬後炮[冷漠]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9078233033","repostId":2250394354,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"CN"},{"id":9078610262,"gmtCreate":1657676497956,"gmtModify":1676536044478,"author":{"id":"3569891093445397","authorId":"3569891093445397","name":"Kiankai","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/1b4103bb022b2adef8e12b33cba4c995","vip":1,"crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3569891093445397","authorIdStr":"3569891093445397"},"htmlText":"Haha","listText":"Haha","text":"Haha","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9078610262","repostId":2250394354,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"EN"},{"id":9078638146,"gmtCreate":1657675840785,"gmtModify":1676536044344,"author":{"id":"3581752785253752","authorId":"3581752785253752","name":"Liaw_0430","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/0889751322f35b96585b219fe357656f","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3581752785253752","authorIdStr":"3581752785253752"},"htmlText":"閱","listText":"閱","text":"閱","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9078638146","repostId":2250394354,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"CN"},{"id":688202498,"gmtCreate":1657670773318,"gmtModify":1676533331167,"author":{"id":"3481202805351174","authorId":"3481202805351174","name":"杀猪刀","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","vip":1,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3481202805351174","authorIdStr":"3481202805351174"},"htmlText":"說的好像股票不是賭博🌝","listText":"說的好像股票不是賭博🌝","text":"說的好像股票不是賭博🌝","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/688202498","repostId":2250394354,"repostType":2,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"CN"},{"id":9078831010,"gmtCreate":1657669529030,"gmtModify":1676536041802,"author":{"id":"3561544476596136","authorId":"3561544476596136","name":"hhyw","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/62f8a12108672917c80685184f331b6f","vip":1,"crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"idStr":"3561544476596136","authorIdStr":"3561544476596136"},"htmlText":"好","listText":"好","text":"好","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9078831010","repostId":2250394354,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"CN"},{"id":9078119827,"gmtCreate":1657663360669,"gmtModify":1676536039387,"author":{"id":"3582532713393731","authorId":"3582532713393731","name":"CSNeo","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/edfed0645bc1915131a193d511cf50f9","vip":1,"crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3582532713393731","authorIdStr":"3582532713393731"},"htmlText":"[開心]&nbsp;","listText":"[開心]&nbsp;","text":"[開心]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"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