A Surging Stock Market Is on the Verge of Signaling a "Huge" Move — but There’s a Catch

MarketWatch2022-08-09

Still 'strong chance' bounce is a 'tradeable' bear-market rally: JefferiesANGELA WEISS/AGENCE FRANCE-PRESSE/GETTY IMAGESHere's another wrinkle in the market-bottom versus bear-market bounce debate.The...

Source Link

Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

Comments

Bash
2022-08-09
Bash
Like pls, thank you
Tinycub22
2022-08-09
Tinycub22
Not bullish yet?

Leave a comment

{"i18n":{"language":"en_US"},"isChannel":false,"data":{"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2258459144?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","thumbnail":"","is_english":true,"pubTime":"2022-08-09 10:38","share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","id":"2258459144","market":"us","top_or_hot":-1,"title":"A Surging Stock Market Is on the Verge of Signaling a \"Huge\" Move — but There’s a Catch","media":"MarketWatch","content":"<div>\n<p>Still 'strong chance' bounce is a 'tradeable' bear-market rally: JefferiesANGELA WEISS/AGENCE FRANCE-PRESSE/GETTY IMAGESHere's another wrinkle in the market-bottom versus bear-market bounce debate.The...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/a-surging-stock-market-is-on-the-verge-of-signaling-a-huge-move-but-theres-a-catch-11659959485?mod=hp_LATEST&adobe_mc=MCMID%3D03250748340802259633376614514522268876%7CMCORGID%3DCB68E4BA55144CAA0A4C98A5%2540AdobeOrg%7CTS%3D1660012337\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"lsy1603348471595","html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>A Surging Stock Market Is on the Verge of Signaling a \"Huge\" Move — but There’s a Catch</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nA Surging Stock Market Is on the Verge of Signaling a \"Huge\" Move — but There’s a Catch\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-08-09 10:38 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.marketwatch.com/story/a-surging-stock-market-is-on-the-verge-of-signaling-a-huge-move-but-theres-a-catch-11659959485?mod=hp_LATEST&adobe_mc=MCMID%3D03250748340802259633376614514522268876%7CMCORGID%3DCB68E4BA55144CAA0A4C98A5%2540AdobeOrg%7CTS%3D1660012337><strong>MarketWatch</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Still 'strong chance' bounce is a 'tradeable' bear-market rally: JefferiesANGELA WEISS/AGENCE FRANCE-PRESSE/GETTY IMAGESHere's another wrinkle in the market-bottom versus bear-market bounce debate.The...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/a-surging-stock-market-is-on-the-verge-of-signaling-a-huge-move-but-theres-a-catch-11659959485?mod=hp_LATEST&adobe_mc=MCMID%3D03250748340802259633376614514522268876%7CMCORGID%3DCB68E4BA55144CAA0A4C98A5%2540AdobeOrg%7CTS%3D1660012337\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","isBrief":false,"type":0,"news_type":1,"symbol":".IXIC","symbol_name":"NASDAQ Composite","start_time":0,"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/a-surging-stock-market-is-on-the-verge-of-signaling-a-huge-move-but-theres-a-catch-11659959485?mod=hp_LATEST&adobe_mc=MCMID%3D03250748340802259633376614514522268876%7CMCORGID%3DCB68E4BA55144CAA0A4C98A5%2540AdobeOrg%7CTS%3D1660012337","article_id":"2258459144","we_media_id":null,"thumbnails":[],"rights":null,"url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2258459144","pubTimestamp":1660012729,"columns":[],"sourceInfo":{"source_id":"lsy1603348471595","name":"MarketWatch"},"weMediaInfo":null,"summary":"Still 'strong chance' bounce is a 'tradeable' bear-market rally: JefferiesANGELA WEISS/AGENCE FRANCE","collect":0,"end_time":0,"defaultTopTitle":"marketwatch.com","property":[],"viewcount":null,"language":"en","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"translate_title":"飙升的股市即将发出“巨大”动作的信号--但有一个陷阱","themeId":"","isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":null,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.6},"content_text":"Still 'strong chance' bounce is a 'tradeable' bear-market rally: JefferiesANGELA WEISS/AGENCE FRANCE-PRESSE/GETTY IMAGESHere's another wrinkle in the market-bottom versus bear-market bounce debate.The pace of the stock market's rise as it continues a bounce off the June lows is nearing a magnitude that's preceded \"huge\" moves in the past. The dilemma for investors is that those moves can be in \"either direction,\" analysts at Jefferies observed in a weekend note.Through Friday, the S&P 500  had bounced more than 13% off its 2022 closing low of 3,666.77, set on June 16. While the S&P 500 remains in a bear market, having tumbled more than 20% from its Jan. 3 record close, the Dow Jones Industrial Average  traded above the threshold -- 32,877.66 -- that would mark its exit from a market correction, before trimming early gains on Monday. The Nasdaq Composite  temporarily traded above the level -- 12,775.32 -- that would signal an exit from its brutal bear market. The Dow eked out a small gain Monday, while the S&P 500 and Nasdaq ended 0.1% lower.But it's the large-cap benchmark S&P 500's more-than-7% rise over the past four weeks that is \"dangerously close to extremely interesting from a signal perspective,\" wrote Jefferies strategists, including Andrew Greenebaum, in a Sunday note.A rise of just more than 8% over four weeks would mark a two-standard deviation for S&P 500 rallies, they observed, based on data going back to 1990, which means the market won't need \"much more juice\" to hit statistically significant territory.And in the 17 times the S&P 500 has hit that threshold, the subsequent performance \"looks massive,\" they wrote, averaging 9% over the next six months. But there's a notable caveat in that there were also several instances that saw double-digit negative returns. And when the prior six months were negative -- as would be the case this time around -- \"the likelihood of positive returns drops precipitously,\" they wrote (see chart and table below).JEFFERIESJEFFERIESThe takeaway, they said, is that \"while the seemingly unstoppable bounce may lure folks in, there is still a strong chance it's just a (quite tradeable) bear market rally.\"","kind":"highlight","is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":true,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"0","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":1},"commentList":[{"id":9904147350,"gmtCreate":1660013260072,"gmtModify":1703476951741,"author":{"id":"4103190116775930","authorId":"4103190116775930","name":"Bash","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/f5507f4188c13ea01d54f079985a28eb","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"4103190116775930","idStr":"4103190116775930"},"htmlText":"Like pls, thank you&nbsp;","listText":"Like pls, thank you&nbsp;","text":"Like pls, thank you","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9904147350","repostId":2258459144,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"EN"},{"id":9904146889,"gmtCreate":1660013022943,"gmtModify":1703476945542,"author":{"id":"4100607323115300","authorId":"4100607323115300","name":"Tinycub22","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/21cc125417073d9b3974e7b3f3303ef5","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"4100607323115300","idStr":"4100607323115300"},"htmlText":"Not bullish yet?&nbsp;","listText":"Not bullish yet?&nbsp;","text":"Not bullish yet?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9904146889","repostId":2258459144,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"EN"}],"isCommentEnd":false,"newsSizeData":{"likeSize":30,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false},"APP":{"userAgent":"Mozilla/5.0 AppleWebKit/537.36 (KHTML, like Gecko; compatible; ClaudeBot/1.0; +claudebot@anthropic.com)","isDev":false,"isTTM":true,"deviceId":"web-server-community-laohu8-v3","version":"4.30.0","shortVersion":"4.30.0","platform":"web","vendor":"web","appName":"ttm","isIOS":false,"isAndroid":false,"isTiger":false,"isTHS":false,"isWeiXin":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"isWeiBo":false,"isQQ":false,"isBaiduSwan":false,"isBaiduBox":false,"isDingTalk":false,"isToutiao":false,"isOnePlus":false,"isHuaWei":false,"isXiaomi":false,"isXiaomiWebView":false,"isOppo":false,"isVivo":false,"isSamsung":false,"isMobile":false},"href":"/m/news/2258459144"}