Stock market slips for 2nd day after jobs report because 'good news is bad news'

Dow Jones2023-02-07

MW Stock market slips for 2nd day after jobs report because 'good news is bad news'

By William Watts and Steve Goldstein

U.S. stocks were off session lows but suffering a second day of losses Monday, after an unexpectedly strong jobs report at the end of last week renewed worries about how high the Federal Reserve will have to take interest rates.

What's happening

Stocks fell Friday, but the Nasdaq Composite advanced for a fifth straight week, while the S&P 500 saw back-to-back weekly gains. The Dow fell 0.2% last week.

What's driving markets

There continued to be shock over the 517,000 surge in nonfarm payrolls reported by the Labor Department on Friday.

"With a better-than-expected jobs report on Friday, good news is bad news for the market," said Mark Hackett, chief of investment research at Nationwide. In other words, strong jobs data is bad news for stocks because it boosts expectations the Federal Reserve will need to move rates higher for longer to combat inflation.

Meanwhile, a round of buying led by short covering from hedge funds and others seen last week runs the risk of leaving them on the wrong foot.

"For institutional investors who have been predominately on the sidelines, the rush to exit losing positions late last week was too much too soon," Hackett said. "They risk reverting to bearish positions as soon as the market pulls back. With so much emotion driving institutional investors, retail investors seem calm and measured by comparison."

The yield on the 10-year Treasury rose nearly 11 basis points to 3.643%. Fed-funds futures reflected increased bets the Fed will deliver a 25 basis point increase in May after a widely expected hike of the same magnitude in March. The Fed last week hiked the fed-funds rate by 25 basis points to a range of 4.5% to 4.75%.

Read:How a hot jobs report 'moved the goal post' on interest-rate expectations

The dollar was also extending a bounce from late last week, with the ICE U.S. Dollar Index up 0.7%.

See: How the U.S. dollar could put this stock-market rally to a big test

Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell will have the opportunity to react on Tuesday when he delivers a speech to the Economic Club of Washington.

Traders also were reacting to the political rift between the U.S. and China after President Joe Biden ordered a balloon to be shot down. China has said the balloon was to monitor the weather, not for spying, and had been blown off course. The Hang Seng dropped 2%.

Meanwhile, so-called meme stocks were on a tear Monday, led by an 88.5% gain by Bed Bath & Beyond Inc.$(BBBY)$, while GameStop Inc.$(GME.AU)$ jumped 9.5% and AMC Entertainment Holdings Inc.$(AMC)$ advanced nearly 17%.

Companies in focus

-William Watts

 

(END) Dow Jones Newswires

February 06, 2023 15:45 ET (20:45 GMT)

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