让美联储和华尔街着迷的期限溢价,恐令利率路径更加难测!

金十数据2023-11-10

期限溢价上升让美联储不敢轻举妄动,并改变了美国国债的发行。分析师指出,对该指标的关注将使预测利率路径变得更加困难。近期,期限溢价成了华尔街、美联储和财政部的热门词汇。人们将债券抛售、债券拍卖和利率政策的变化归咎于它的变化。期限溢价通常被描述为投资者要求持有长期债券的额外收益。从最广泛的意义上讲,期限溢价被视为对通货膨胀和供需冲击等不可预见风险的保护,囊括了除短期利率预期以外的一切。问题是它不能被...

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