Sustaining the 2023 market rally at the same pace is a tall order - Deutsche Bank

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Deutsche Bank’s global research team indicated that one of the key risks for investors to consider in 2024 is the fact that historically speaking, it has been difficult for equity markets to sustain ...

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But looking at Bloomberg data back to 1928, whenever the S&P 500 has recorded an annual total return that large, every time there has then been a deceleration in the pace of gains over the following year,” the financial institution stated in an investor note. Furthermore, in Q4 alone the S&P 500 (SP500) moved up from 4,284 to 4,769 which marked a +11.3% rally. Deutsche Bank went on to add: “It’s true that the subsequent year is often still positive, but so far we are yet to see the index accelerate into the subsequent year after a gain that strong.” To start off the 2024 trading year the benchmark index finds itself lower by 0.3% since the close of 2023. In related risk news, Ned Davis Research added its two cents on Tuesday afternoon outlining what it views as the top three macro risks for 2024. As a barometer for risk the S&P VIX Index (VIX) currently holds at 12.91 and is near some of its lowest levels in the past few years. Moreover, see below a group of volatility focused ETFs and ETNs that market participants can further examine:  ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures ETF (BATS:UVXY) iPath Series B S&P 500 VIX Short-Term Futures ETN (BATS:VXX) ProShares VIX Short-Term Futures ETF (VIXY) iPath Series B S&P 500 VIX Mid-Term Futures ETN (VXZ) ProShares VIX Mid-Term Futures ETF (VIXM)   More on Markets  Biggest stock movers today: Amarin, Alcon, Intuitive Surgical, and more S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 are likely to resume their recent uptrends – Saxo Bank BofA: Markets hit euphoric levels but remain mildly positive on a sustained rally Raymond James says 2024 will see a rotation towards defensives in H1 and cyclicals in H2 Ten surprises that could affect markets in 2024 - BofA","kind":null,"is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":false,"is_publish_live":null,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":1},"commentList":[],"isCommentEnd":true,"newsSizeData":{"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false},"APP":{"userAgent":"Mozilla/5.0 AppleWebKit/537.36 (KHTML, like Gecko; compatible; ClaudeBot/1.0; +claudebot@anthropic.com)","isDev":false,"isTTM":true,"deviceId":"web-server-community-laohu8-v3","version":"4.24.2","shortVersion":"4.24.2","platform":"web","vendor":"web","appName":"ttm","isIOS":false,"isAndroid":false,"isTiger":false,"isTHS":false,"isWeiXin":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"isWeiBo":false,"isQQ":false,"isBaiduSwan":false,"isBaiduBox":false,"isDingTalk":false,"isToutiao":false,"isOnePlus":false,"isHuaWei":false,"isXiaomi":false,"isXiaomiWebView":false,"isOppo":false,"isVivo":false,"isSamsung":false,"isMobile":false},"href":"/m/news/2402848458"}