ICBC Is Expected to Post 2.8% Rise in Net Profit in 2023 -- Earnings Preview

Dow Jones03-26
 

By Kosaku Narioka

 

Industrial & Commercial Bank of China is scheduled to report 2023 results on Wednesday. Here is what you need to know:

 

NET PROFIT FORECAST: ICBC is expected to post a 2.8% increase in net profit to 355.33 billion yuan ($49.28 billion) for 2023, according to a poll of analysts by Visible Alpha. That compares with a net profit of CNY345.67 billion in 2022.

 

The stock has risen 3.4% so far this year through Monday to HK$3.95, following a 1.3% gain in October-December.

 

WHAT TO WATCH:

--Third-quarter net interest income dropped 6.4% from a year earlier to CNY164.54 billion, as loan interest rates have fallen recently in China. Investors will be focusing on any signs of recovery in the bank's primary source of earnings.

--The bank's nonperforming-loan ratio declined to 1.36% at the end of September from 1.38% at the end of 2022, while impairment losses on assets fell 29% from a year earlier to CNY25.56 billion in the third quarter. Investors will be closely monitoring changes in the quality of assets, especially for key industries like real estate.

--For the first nine months of 2023, annualized return on assets was down 0.10 percentage point at 0.86% and annualized return on equity was down 0.76 percentage point at 10.56%. Investors will be paying attention to any signs of improvement in capital efficiency.

 

Write to Kosaku Narioka at kosaku.narioka@wsj.com

 

(END) Dow Jones Newswires

March 25, 2024 23:17 ET (03:17 GMT)

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