Zacks Investment Ideas feature highlights: Russell 2000 Index, S&P 500 Index ETF, Nasdaq 100 Index ETF, Nvidia and New York Community Bank

Zacks04-01

For Immediate Release Chicago, IL – April 1, 2024 – Today, Zacks Investment Ideas feature highlights Russell 2000 Index IWM, S&P 500 Index ETF SPY, Nasdaq 100 Index ETF QQQ, Nvidia NVDA and New York ...

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Over the past five years, small-cap stocks and the Russell 2000 Index have underperformed the other major U.S. equity indices. For example, despite the black swan event of the COVID-19 pandemic of 2020 and the volatile and brutal bear market of 2022, the S&P 500 Index ETF has gained an impressive 85% while the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 Index ETF packed on gains of 147%!Over the past month, IWM has exhibited relative strength versus QQQ. With tech stocks like Nvidia up for eleven weeks in a row, now may be the time for some rotation into other market areas. Furthermore, IWM is breaking out of a perfect cup-with-handle base structure. 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For example, despite the black swan event of the COVID-19 pandemic of 2020 and the volatile and brutal bear market of 2022, the S&P 500 Index ETF has gained an impressive 85% while the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 Index ETF packed on gains of 147%!\nMeanwhile, the Russell 2000 Index continues to be in a long and deep drawdown off its all-time highs and is only up a feeble 37% over the same period. A “hawkish” Federal Reserve monetary policy coupled with outsized exposure to the ailing commercial real estate has caused the dramatic underperformance.\nAfter five years of underperformance, investors are looking elsewhere for performance, piling into tech stocks, and avoiding “throwing good money” after bad. While the small-cap trade may be counterintuitive, five data points suggest that it may provide the most signficant profit potential into year-end, including:\nSentiment: Bet on the “Redheaded Step Child”\nSavvy investors find success by zigging while the crowd zags. According to data from B of A,small-cap stocks represent just 3% of active portfolios, half the weight compared to decade ago.\nInterest Rate Cuts: Follow the Money, Not Opinions\nLast month, Fed Chair Jerome Powell had a surprisingly “dovish” attitude when discussing interest rates, saying that the U.S. central bank is “not from reaching its goal” (2% inflation rate). Despite Powell’s statement, many investors still doubt that the Fed will cut rates in 2024.\nRather than guessing or trusting my gut feeling, I prefer to follow the money. The CME FedWatch Tool calculates probabilities of interest rate moves based on trading in federal funds futures contracts. In other words, what real money is betting on, not opinions. Currently, the FedWatch Tool is pricing in five rate cuts before year-end (and gives a 90+% chance for at least three to occur). Lower interest rates are bullish for small caps because they reduce borrowing costs, stimulate economic activity, and potentially increase profitability for smaller, more growth-oriented companies.\nGrowth at a Reasonable Price\nRussell 2000 stocks are cheaper than S&P 500 stocks from a price-to-book perspective, yet are slated to grow faster in 2024.\nRelative Strength & Base Breakout\nOver the past month, IWM has exhibited relative strength versus QQQ. With tech stocks like Nvidia up for eleven weeks in a row, now may be the time for some rotation into other market areas. Furthermore, IWM is breaking out of a perfect cup-with-handle base structure. The base structure is part of a more extended base that dates back two years! As the old Wall Street adage goes, “The longer the base, the higher in space.”\nStabilization in Regional Banks & CRE\nTime is the ultimate healer. After a group of investors rescued regional bank New York Community Bancorp, there is much less risk in the regional banking space. This observation is important for investors as the small-cap space is heavily weighted toward financials. In addition, the further away Wall Street gets from the pandemic-induced commercial real estate crisis, the less impact it will have on small caps and the general market.\nBottom Line\nThere are several compelling reasons for investors to reconsider when it comes to small-caps. Federal Reserve policy and poor sentiment are just a few factors that should drive these stocks in 2024.\nWhy Haven’t You Looked at Zacks' Top Stocks?\nSince 2000, our top stock-picking strategies have blown away the S&P's +7.0 average gain per year. Amazingly, they soared with average gains of +44.9%, +48.4% and +55.2% per year.\nToday you can access their live picks without cost or obligation.\nSee Stocks Free >>\nMedia Contact\nZacks Investment Research\n800-767-3771 ext. 9339\nsupport@zacks.com\nhttps://www.zacks.com\nPast performance is no guarantee of future results. Inherent in any investment is the potential for loss. This material is being provided for informational purposes only and nothing herein constitutes investment, legal, accounting or tax advice, or a recommendation to buy, sell or hold a security. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. It should not be assumed that any investments in securities, companies, sectors or markets identified and described were or will be profitable. All information is current as of the date of herein and is subject to change without notice. Any views or opinions expressed may not reflect those of the firm as a whole. Zacks Investment Research does not engage in investment banking, market making or asset management activities of any securities. These returns are from hypothetical portfolios consisting of stocks with Zacks Rank = 1 that were rebalanced monthly with zero transaction costs. These are not the returns of actual portfolios of stocks. The S&P 500 is an unmanaged index. Visit https://www.zacks.com/performance for information about the performance numbers displayed in this press release.\nWant the latest recommendations from Zacks Investment Research? Today, you can download 7 Best Stocks for the Next 30 Days. Click to get this free report\nNVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) : Free Stock Analysis Report\nInvesco QQQ (QQQ): ETF Research Reports\nSPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY): ETF Research Reports\nNew York Community Bancorp, Inc. (NYCB) : Free Stock Analysis Report\niShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM): ETF Research Reports\nTo read this article on Zacks.com click here.\nZacks Investment Research","kind":null,"is_publish_news":null,"is_publish_highlight":null,"is_publish_live":null,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":1},"commentList":[],"isCommentEnd":true,"newsSizeData":{"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false},"APP":{"userAgent":"Mozilla/5.0 AppleWebKit/537.36 (KHTML, like Gecko; compatible; ClaudeBot/1.0; +claudebot@anthropic.com)","isDev":false,"isTTM":true,"deviceId":"web-server-community-laohu8-v3","version":"4.22.4","shortVersion":"4.22.4","platform":"web","vendor":"web","appName":"ttm","isIOS":false,"isAndroid":false,"isTiger":false,"isTHS":false,"isWeiXin":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"isWeiBo":false,"isQQ":false,"isBaiduSwan":false,"isBaiduBox":false,"isDingTalk":false,"isToutiao":false,"isOnePlus":false,"isHuaWei":false,"isXiaomi":false,"isXiaomiWebView":false,"isOppo":false,"isVivo":false,"isSamsung":false,"isMobile":false},"href":"/m/news/2424713820"}