Big Banks Turn Inflationary Lemons Into Lemonade

seekingalpha04-13

Big banks benefit from higher interest rates.Big lenders have primed investors for that boost to fade.Bank valuations have sagged under impending new bank rules known as the Basel Endgame that could ...

Source Link

Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

Comments

We need your insight to fill this gap

Leave a comment

{"i18n":{"language":"en_US"},"isChannel":false,"data":{"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2427746337?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","thumbnail":"https://static.seekingalpha.com/cdn/s3/uploads/getty_images/643086892/image_643086892.jpg","is_english":true,"pubTime":"2024-04-13 19:10","share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","id":"2427746337","market":"fut","top_or_hot":-1,"title":"Big Banks Turn Inflationary Lemons Into Lemonade","media":"seekingalpha","content":"<div>\n<p>Big banks benefit from higher interest rates.Big lenders have primed investors for that boost to fade.Bank valuations have sagged under impending new bank rules known as the Basel Endgame that could ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4683603-big-banks-turn-inflationary-lemons-into-lemonade\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"seekingalpha","html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Big Banks Turn Inflationary Lemons Into Lemonade</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBig Banks Turn Inflationary Lemons Into Lemonade\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2024-04-13 19:10 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4683603-big-banks-turn-inflationary-lemons-into-lemonade><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Big banks benefit from higher interest rates.Big lenders have primed investors for that boost to fade.Bank valuations have sagged under impending new bank rules known as the Basel Endgame that could ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4683603-big-banks-turn-inflationary-lemons-into-lemonade\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","isBrief":false,"type":0,"news_type":1,"symbol":"BK4549","symbol_name":"软银资本持仓","start_time":0,"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4683603-big-banks-turn-inflationary-lemons-into-lemonade","article_id":"2427746337","we_media_id":null,"thumbnails":["https://static.seekingalpha.com/cdn/s3/uploads/getty_images/643086892/image_643086892.jpg"],"rights":null,"url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2427746337","pubTimestamp":1713006600,"sourceInfo":{"source_id":"seekingalpha","name":"Seeking Alpha"},"weMediaInfo":null,"summary":"Big banks benefit from higher interest rates.Big lenders have primed investors for that boost to fade.Bank valuations have sagged under impending new bank rules known as the Basel Endgame that could r","collect":0,"end_time":0,"defaultTopTitle":"seekingalpha.com","property":[],"viewcount":null,"language":"en","relate_stocks":{"BK4549":"软银资本持仓","LMND":"Lemonade, Inc.","BK4548":"巴美列捷福持仓","LU0098860793.USD":"FRANKLIN INCOME \"A\" INC","LU1989772840.SGD":"CPR Invest - Climate Action A2 Acc SGD-H","BK4127":"投资银行业与经纪业","BK4107":"财产与意外伤害保险","LU0208291251.USD":"FRANKLIN MUTUAL U.S. VALUE \"A\" (USD) INC","LU1267930227.SGD":"TEMPLETON GLOBAL BALANCED \"AS\" (SGD) ACC A","IE00BBT3K403.USD":"LEGG MASON CLEARBRIDGE TACTICAL DIVIDEND INCOME \"A(USD) ACC","LU1280957306.USD":"THREADNEEDLE (LUX) US CONTRARIAN CORE EQUITIES \"AUP\" (USD) INC","LU1261432733.SGD":"Fidelity World A-ACC-SGD","LU0320765646.SGD":"FTIF - Franklin Income A MDIS SGD-H1","IE00BZ1G4Q59.USD":"LEGG MASON CLEARBRIDGE US EQUITY SUSTAINABILITY LEADER \"A\"(USD) INC (A)","LU0251142724.SGD":"Fidelity America A-SGD","LU0106831901.USD":"贝莱德世界金融基金A2","IE00B7SZLL34.SGD":"Legg Mason ClearBridge - Value A Acc SGD-H","LU0130102774.USD":"Natixis Harris Associates US Equity RA USD","LU2236285917.USD":"ALLIANZ GLOBAL INCOME \"AMG\" (USD) INC","LU0211326755.USD":"TEMPLETON GLOBAL INCOME \"A\" (USD) ACC","IE00B1BXHZ80.USD":"Legg Mason ClearBridge - US Appreciation A Acc USD","IE0002270589.USD":"LEGG MASON CLEARBRIDGE VALUE \"A\" (USD) INC","LU0289960550.SGD":"AB FCP I - GLOBAL EQUITY BLEND PORTFOLIO 'A' (SGD) ACC","LU1244550577.SGD":"FTIF - Franklin Global Multi-Asset Income A (Mdis) SGD-H1","LU0211326839.USD":"TEMPLETON GLOBAL INCOME \"A\" (USD) INC","KBWB":"银行ETF-PowerShares","IE00BLSP4239.USD":"Legg Mason ClearBridge - Tactical Dividend Income A Mdis USD Plus","IE00BLSP4452.SGD":"Legg Mason ClearBridge - Tactical Dividend Income A Mdis SGD-H Plus"},"translate_title":"大银行把通货膨胀的柠檬变成柠檬水","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":null,"symbols_score_info":{"KBWB":1,"LMND":1,"US10Y.BOND":0.85,"US12M.BOND":0.85,"US2Y.BOND":0.85,"US30Y.BOND":0.85,"US3Y.BOND":0.85,"US5Y.BOND":0.85,"US6M.BOND":0.85,"US7Y.BOND":0.85,"US912796CX52.BOND":0.6,"US912797FH58.BOND":0.6,"US912797FS14.BOND":0.6,"US912797GB79.BOND":0.6,"US912797GK78.BOND":0.6,"US912797GL51.BOND":0.6,"US912797GW17.BOND":0.6,"US912797HE00.BOND":0.6,"US912797HG57.BOND":0.6,"US912797HH31.BOND":0.6},"content_text":"Big banks benefit from higher interest rates.Big lenders have primed investors for that boost to fade.Bank valuations have sagged under impending new bank rules known as the Basel Endgame that could raise capital requirements by one-fifth, consequently reducing returns.fcafotodigital By Breakingviews Big banks benefit from higher interest rates. So the market's assumption that stubbornly high consumer prices will delay rate cuts from the Federal Reserve is no bad thing for investors in JPMorgan (JPM), Wells Fargo (WFC) and Citigroup (C). All three report first-quarter earnings on Friday and are likely to say that shifting monetary policy is working in their favor. Smaller rivals, though, will struggle to turn inflationary lemons into lemonade. The bulk of mega-banks' business is simple. They make money from interest on loans and securities, and they lose money on interest paid to depositors and other funding providers. The pocketed difference, dubbed net interest income, reached record highs in 2023. Big lenders have primed investors for that boost to fade. But that was before it became clear that inflation is stuck above the Fed's 2% target. Investors now price in a 10% probability that the central bank doesn't cut at all this year, according to the CME FedWatch tool; a month ago, implied odds were near-zero. When rates rise, or at least don't fall, the result is basically free money, since lenders pocket increased income quickly but are slow to pass on higher interest to depositors. JPMorgan last year said net interest income should normalize to around $80 billion, but Morgan Stanley (MS) analysts now see that rising to a little over $84 billion. Taking the difference and taxing it would add almost 2 percentage points to the bank's return on tangible common equity, already a generous 21% last year. Such a fillip would be even more welcome at Citi, where boss Jane Fraser produced a dismal 5% in 2023. The good news continues elsewhere. Bank valuations have sagged under impending new bank rules known as the Basel Endgame that could raise capital requirements by one-fifth, consequently reducing returns. After furious industry pushback, watchdogs are likely to water down those rules - or even redo them, JPMorgan chief Jamie Dimon suggested this week. But at the next tier down, there's little cheer. So-called regional banks benefit from interest income too, but also have stressed borrowers to worry about. Easing policy would have lessened the burden: suffering real-estate borrowers' loans frequently track the base rate. And even if Basel gets watered down, banks over $100 billion may still face some new rules previously reserved for the very biggest lenders for the first time. The KBW Bank Index (KBWB) is up 4% in the past three months, but its regional-bank counterpart is down 11%. Outside of the industry's giants, a sour taste lingers. Context News The biggest U.S. banks are due to report their first-quarter earnings on April 12. JPMorgan, Wells Fargo and Citigroup are all expected to say that earnings declined compared with a year earlier, according to LSEG. Bank of America is also expected to report falling quarterly earnings on April 16. However, JPMorgan is expected to raise its guidance for interest income that it will earn for the year, according to Morgan Stanley analysts. The largest banks make the majority of their income from interest on loans and securities, offset by the interest they pay for deposits and other funding. U.S. consumer price data published on April 10 showed a 3.5% annual rate of inflation in March, compared with 3.2% the previous month. The Federal Reserve targets a rate of 2%, and above-target inflation could slow the pace at which it reduces interest rates. Fed officials in March projected three quarter-percentage-point cuts during 2024.  Original Post  Editor's Note: The summary bullets for this article were chosen by Seeking Alpha editors.","kind":null,"is_publish_news":null,"is_publish_highlight":null,"is_publish_live":null,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":1},"commentList":[],"isCommentEnd":true,"newsSizeData":{"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false},"APP":{"userAgent":"Mozilla/5.0 AppleWebKit/537.36 (KHTML, like Gecko; compatible; ClaudeBot/1.0; +claudebot@anthropic.com)","isDev":false,"isTTM":true,"deviceId":"web-server-community-laohu8-v3","version":"4.22.4","shortVersion":"4.22.4","platform":"web","vendor":"web","appName":"ttm","isIOS":false,"isAndroid":false,"isTiger":false,"isTHS":false,"isWeiXin":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"isWeiBo":false,"isQQ":false,"isBaiduSwan":false,"isBaiduBox":false,"isDingTalk":false,"isToutiao":false,"isOnePlus":false,"isHuaWei":false,"isXiaomi":false,"isXiaomiWebView":false,"isOppo":false,"isVivo":false,"isSamsung":false,"isMobile":false},"href":"/m/news/2427746337"}