0654 GMT - Singapore's surprisingly weak trade performance in 1Q poses some risk to OCBC'S full-year non-oil domestic exports growth forecast. If the electronics recovery materializes in 2H, and non-electronics exports stabilize, the lower end of OCBC's 4%-6% forecast range may still be within reach, says Selena Ling, head of research & strategy. The external demand picture and global growth environment remain largely on track for a soft landing this year, but plenty of uncertainty persists, not least in shifting market views about the timing and magnitude of monetary easing, she says. OCBC maintains its Singapore GDP growth forecast at around 2% for 2024, despite the possibility that flash 1Q estimates may be cut after March industrial production data next week. (fabiana.negrinochoa@wsj.com)
(END) Dow Jones Newswires
April 17, 2024 02:54 ET (06:54 GMT)
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