0111 GMT - Bank Indonesia is in focus on speculation that it could deliver a surprise rate hike today to boost the rupiah. Still, OCBC economists' base case is for BI to stand pat. A 25bp hike likely won't be enough to stem IDR depreciation, they say, noting that impact of past hikes to support the IDR didn't last, particularly against a volatile external backdrop. "Importantly, we believe the trade-off between higher policy rates and growth is becoming sharper," Lavanya Venkateswaran says in a note. The global backdrop remains volatile as markets keep repricing Fed rate cut views and geopolitical tensions persist. Growth concerns may also start to take precedence as Indonesia's GDP slows. Though inflation has been bumpy, it doesn't warrant tighter monetary policy yet, OCBC adds. (fabiana.negrinochoa@wsj.com)
(END) Dow Jones Newswires
April 23, 2024 21:11 ET (01:11 GMT)
Copyright (c) 2024 Dow Jones & Company, Inc.
Comments