Morgan Stanley Raises 10-Year U.S. Treasury Yield Forecast -- Market Talk

Dow Jones04-22

0553 GMT - Morgan Stanley Research raises its forecast for the year-end level of 10-year U.S. Treasury yields, its analysts say in a note. They now expect the 10-year yield to end the year at 4.15%, 20 basis points higher than their previous forecast of 3.95%, they say in a note. Morgan Stanley's economics team now expects Federal Reserve interest-rate cuts to start in July, with three cuts in 2024, followed by four in the first four FOMC meetings of 2025. They see the two-year U.S. Treasury yield at 4.30% by the end of 2024. Their forecast sees the 2-10-year maturity segment of the U.S. Treasury curve remaining inverse this year--with shorter-dated bond yields being higher than their longer-dated peers. The two-year U.S. Treasury yield last trades at 5.001%, while the 10-year yield is trading at 4.655%, according to Tradeweb. (emese.bartha@wsj.com)

(END) Dow Jones Newswires

April 22, 2024 01:54 ET (05:54 GMT)

Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

Comments

We need your insight to fill this gap

Leave a comment

{"i18n":{"language":"en_US"},"isChannel":false,"data":{"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2429992524?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","thumbnail":"","is_english":true,"pubTime":"2024-04-22 13:54","share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","id":"2429992524","market":"fut","top_or_hot":-1,"title":"Morgan Stanley Raises 10-Year U.S. Treasury Yield Forecast -- Market Talk","media":"Dow Jones","content":"<font class=\"NormalMinus1\" face=\"Arial\">\n<p>\n     0553 GMT - Morgan Stanley Research raises its forecast for the year-end level of 10-year U.S. Treasury yields, its analysts say in a note. They now expect the 10-year yield to end the year at 4.15%, 20 basis points higher than their previous forecast of 3.95%, they say in a note. Morgan Stanley's economics team now expects Federal Reserve interest-rate cuts to start in July, with three cuts in 2024, followed by four in the first four FOMC meetings of 2025. They see the two-year U.S. Treasury yield at 4.30% by the end of 2024. Their forecast sees the 2-10-year maturity segment of the U.S. Treasury curve remaining inverse this year--with shorter-dated bond yields being higher than their longer-dated peers. The two-year U.S. Treasury yield last trades at 5.001%, while the 10-year yield is trading at 4.655%, according to Tradeweb. (emese.bartha@wsj.com) \n</p>\n<pre>\n \n</pre>\n<p>\n  (END) Dow Jones Newswires\n</p>\n<p>\n  April 22, 2024 01:54 ET (05:54 GMT)\n</p>\n<p>\n  Copyright (c) 2024 Dow Jones &amp; Company, Inc.\n</p>\n</font>","source":null,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Morgan Stanley Raises 10-Year U.S. Treasury Yield Forecast -- Market Talk</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nMorgan Stanley Raises 10-Year U.S. Treasury Yield Forecast -- Market Talk\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2024-04-22 13:54 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://dowjonesnews.com/newdjn/logon.aspx?AL=N><strong>Dow Jones</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>0553 GMT - Morgan Stanley Research raises its forecast for the year-end level of 10-year U.S. Treasury yields, its analysts say in a note. They now expect the 10-year yield to end the year at 4.15%, ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://dowjonesnews.com/newdjn/logon.aspx?AL=N\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","isBrief":false,"type":0,"news_type":1,"symbol":"LU0098860793.USD","symbol_name":"FRANKLIN INCOME \"A\" INC","start_time":0,"source_url":"https://dowjonesnews.com/newdjn/logon.aspx?AL=N","article_id":"2429992524","we_media_id":"106","thumbnails":[],"rights":null,"url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2429992524","pubTimestamp":1713765240,"sourceInfo":null,"weMediaInfo":{"media_name":"Dow Jones","introduction":"Dow Jones publishes the world’s most trusted business news and financial information in a variety of media.","home_visible":0,"id":"106","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99"},"summary":"0553 GMT - Morgan Stanley Research raises its forecast for the year-end level of 10-year U.S. Treasury yields, its analysts say in a note. They now expect the 10-year yield to end the year at 4.15%, 20 basis points higher than their previous forecast of 3.95%, they say in a note. Morgan Stanley's economics team now expects Federal Reserve interest-rate cuts to start in July, with three cuts in 2024, followed by four in the first four FOMC meetings of 2025. They see the two-year U.S. Treasury yield at 4.30% by the end of 2024. Their forecast sees the 2-10-year maturity segment of the U.S. Treasury curve remaining inverse this year--with shorter-dated bond yields being higher than their longer-dated peers. The two-year U.S. Treasury yield last trades at 5.001%, while the 10-year yield is trading at 4.655%, according to Tradeweb. ","collect":0,"end_time":0,"defaultTopTitle":"","property":[],"viewcount":null,"language":"en","relate_stocks":{"LU0098860793.USD":"FRANKLIN INCOME \"A\" INC","LU1989772840.SGD":"CPR Invest - Climate Action A2 Acc SGD-H","BK4588":"碎股","LU1162221912.USD":"FRANKLIN INCOME \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU1989772923.USD":"CPR Invest - Climate Action A2 Acc USD-H","LU0320765646.SGD":"FTIF - Franklin Income A MDIS SGD-H1","BK4581":"高盛持仓","IE00BZ1G4Q59.USD":"LEGG MASON CLEARBRIDGE US EQUITY SUSTAINABILITY LEADER \"A\"(USD) INC (A)","BK4504":"桥水持仓","LU1363072403.SGD":"Fidelity Global Financial Services A-ACC-SGD","LU0106831901.USD":"贝莱德世界金融基金A2","MS":"摩根士丹利","BK4127":"投资银行业与经纪业","LU0971096721.USD":"富达环球金融服务 A","LU1074936037.SGD":"JPMorgan Funds - US Value A (acc) SGD","IE00BKVL7J92.USD":"Legg Mason ClearBridge - US Equity Sustainability Leaders A Acc USD","LU1668664300.SGD":"Blackrock World Financials A2 SGD-H","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念"},"translate_title":"摩根士丹利上调10年期美国国债收益率预测——市场讨论","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":null,"symbols_score_info":{"US10Y.BOND":1,"MS":1,"US12M.BOND":1,"US2Y.BOND":1,"US30Y.BOND":1,"US3Y.BOND":1,"US5Y.BOND":1,"US6M.BOND":1,"US7Y.BOND":1,"US912796CX52.BOND":0.6,"US912797HH31.BOND":0.6,"US912797FH58.BOND":0.6,"US912797FS14.BOND":0.6,"US912797GB79.BOND":0.6,"US912797GK78.BOND":0.6,"US912797GL51.BOND":0.6,"US912797GW17.BOND":0.6,"US912797HE00.BOND":0.6,"US912797HG57.BOND":0.6},"content_text":"0553 GMT - Morgan Stanley Research raises its forecast for the year-end level of 10-year U.S. Treasury yields, its analysts say in a note. They now expect the 10-year yield to end the year at 4.15%, 20 basis points higher than their previous forecast of 3.95%, they say in a note. Morgan Stanley's economics team now expects Federal Reserve interest-rate cuts to start in July, with three cuts in 2024, followed by four in the first four FOMC meetings of 2025. They see the two-year U.S. Treasury yield at 4.30% by the end of 2024. Their forecast sees the 2-10-year maturity segment of the U.S. Treasury curve remaining inverse this year--with shorter-dated bond yields being higher than their longer-dated peers. The two-year U.S. Treasury yield last trades at 5.001%, while the 10-year yield is trading at 4.655%, according to Tradeweb. (emese.bartha@wsj.com) \n\n\n \n\n\n  (END) Dow Jones Newswires\n\n\n  April 22, 2024 01:54 ET (05:54 GMT)\n\n\n  Copyright (c) 2024 Dow Jones & Company, Inc.","kind":null,"is_publish_news":null,"is_publish_highlight":null,"is_publish_live":null,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":1},"commentList":[],"isCommentEnd":true,"newsSizeData":{"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false},"APP":{"userAgent":"Mozilla/5.0 AppleWebKit/537.36 (KHTML, like Gecko; compatible; ClaudeBot/1.0; +claudebot@anthropic.com)","isDev":false,"isTTM":true,"deviceId":"web-server-community-laohu8-v3","version":"4.22.4","shortVersion":"4.22.4","platform":"web","vendor":"web","appName":"ttm","isIOS":false,"isAndroid":false,"isTiger":false,"isTHS":false,"isWeiXin":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"isWeiBo":false,"isQQ":false,"isBaiduSwan":false,"isBaiduBox":false,"isDingTalk":false,"isToutiao":false,"isOnePlus":false,"isHuaWei":false,"isXiaomi":false,"isXiaomiWebView":false,"isOppo":false,"isVivo":false,"isSamsung":false,"isMobile":false},"href":"/m/news/2429992524"}