Market Trends Continue To Lean Into A Bullish Signal

seekingalpha05-23

The old saw that markets climb a wall of worry is alive and kicking.The US equities market isn’t quite as hot as AOA:AOK, but it's close, based on the ratio of US stocks - SPY - vs. a low-volatility ...

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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nMarket Trends Continue To Lean Into A Bullish Signal\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2024-05-23 23:05 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4695279-market-trends-continue-to-lean-bullish-signal><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>The old saw that markets climb a wall of worry is alive and kicking.The US equities market isn’t quite as hot as AOA:AOK, but it's close, based on the ratio of US stocks - SPY - vs. a low-volatility ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4695279-market-trends-continue-to-lean-bullish-signal\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","isBrief":false,"type":0,"news_type":1,"symbol":"OEF","symbol_name":"标普100指数ETF-iShares","start_time":0,"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4695279-market-trends-continue-to-lean-bullish-signal","article_id":"2437034769","we_media_id":null,"thumbnails":["https://static.seekingalpha.com/cdn/s3/uploads/getty_images/157559643/image_157559643.jpg"],"rights":null,"url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2437034769","pubTimestamp":1716476700,"sourceInfo":{"source_id":"seekingalpha","name":"Seeking Alpha"},"weMediaInfo":null,"summary":"The old saw that markets climb a wall of worry is alive and kicking.The US equities market isn’t quite as hot as AOA:AOK, but it's close, based on the ratio of US stocks - SPY - vs. a low-volatility s","collect":0,"end_time":0,"defaultTopTitle":"seekingalpha.com","property":[],"viewcount":null,"language":"en","relate_stocks":{"OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares","IVV":"标普500指数ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","BK4581":"高盛持仓","OEX":"标普100","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","XHB":"房屋建筑商指数ETF-SPDR","SDS":"两倍做空标普500ETF","USMV":"美国最小波动率ETF-iShares","UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF","TIP":"通胀债券指数ETF-iShares Barclays","BK4535":"淡马锡持仓","BK4559":"巴菲特持仓","BK4588":"碎股","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","SHY":"债券指数ETF-iShares Barclays 1-3年国债","IEF":"债券指数ETF-iShares Barclays 7-10年","SSO":"两倍做多标普500ETF","SH":"标普500反向ETF","AOA":"iShares Aggressive Allocation Fu","BK4504":"桥水持仓","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF","SMH":"半导体指数ETF-HOLDRs","AOK":"iShares Conservative Allocation","SPY":"标普500ETF"},"translate_title":"市场趋势继续倾向于看涨信号","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":null,"symbols_score_info":{"AOA":1,"XHB":1,"USMV":1,"TIP":1,"SPY":1,"SMH":1,"SHY":1,"IEF":1,"AOK":1,"SH":0.6,".SPX":0.6,"UPRO":0.6,"SSO":0.6,"SPXU":0.6,"SDS":0.6,"OEX":0.6,"OEF":0.6,"IVV":0.6,"ESmain":0.6},"content_text":"The old saw that markets climb a wall of worry is alive and kicking.The US equities market isn’t quite as hot as AOA:AOK, but it's close, based on the ratio of US stocks - SPY - vs. a low-volatility subset - USMV.A potentially worrisome sign for the overall risk appetite is the rebound in inflation-indexed Treasuries - TIP - vs. conventional government bonds - IEF.Kameleon007 The old saw that markets climb a wall of worry is alive and kicking. Although there are plenty of warnings from analysts who see trouble ahead, trend profiles show no fear, via several pairs of ETF proxies for profiling the appetite for risk, based on prices through yesterday's close (May 22). What some see as a gravity-defying run higher extends similar profiles from earlier this year (see here and here). The party must end eventually, as all bull runs do, but for the moment, the bias for risk-on remains conspicuous. The net-positive bias still looks strong, generally via an aggressive global asset allocation portfolio (AOA) vs. its conservative counterpart (AOK). At the start of the trading week, this ratio touched a new record high before edging down on Tuesday and Wednesday.  The US equities market isn't quite as hot as AOA:AOK, but it's close, based on the ratio of US stocks (SPY) vs. a low-volatility subset (USMV).  A key bellwether for stocks these days is the semiconductor industry (SMH), which is on track to rise for a fifth straight week. Relative to the broad market (SPY), this ratio looks set to reach a new peak soon.  A possible early warning sign that the bulls are becoming tired is the recent drop in housing stocks (XHB) relative US equities overall (SPY). This ratio has fallen in recent days, closing yesterday at the lowest level since February.  Meanwhile, the recent rally in medium-term US Treasuries (IEF) vs. shorter-term counterparts (SHY) is stalling again, suggesting that the long-running bear market in bonds has yet to run its course.  A potentially worrisome sign for the overall risk appetite is the rebound in inflation-indexed Treasuries (TIP) vs. conventional government bonds (IEF). The market appears to be flirting with a new run of reflation, but is still on the fence. This ratio remains well short of its previous peak in October. If and when TIP:IEF sets a new high, it would signal trouble for animal spirits.  Original Post  Editor's Note: The summary bullets for this article were chosen by Seeking Alpha editors.","kind":null,"is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":false,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"0","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":1},"commentList":[],"isCommentEnd":true,"newsSizeData":{"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false},"APP":{"userAgent":"Mozilla/5.0 AppleWebKit/537.36 (KHTML, like Gecko; compatible; ClaudeBot/1.0; +claudebot@anthropic.com)","isDev":false,"isTTM":true,"deviceId":"web-server-community-laohu8-v3","version":"4.29.1","shortVersion":"4.29.1","platform":"web","vendor":"web","appName":"ttm","isIOS":false,"isAndroid":false,"isTiger":false,"isTHS":false,"isWeiXin":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"isWeiBo":false,"isQQ":false,"isBaiduSwan":false,"isBaiduBox":false,"isDingTalk":false,"isToutiao":false,"isOnePlus":false,"isHuaWei":false,"isXiaomi":false,"isXiaomiWebView":false,"isOppo":false,"isVivo":false,"isSamsung":false,"isMobile":false},"href":"/m/news/2437034769"}