June 4 (Reuters) - FX traders should note that EUR/USD usually closes in positive territory in June and this will likely be the case again in 2024.
A study of the EUR/USD's performance for each June since 2000 shows it has risen in 15 of the last 24 years, highlighting a seemingly inbuilt structural strength. Seasonality should not be considered in isolation, but it's a useful tool combined with other factors.
The dollar languished at its lowest since March against the euro on Tuesday as signs of a softening U.S. economy boosted the case for earlier Federal Reserve interest rate cuts. This is underpinning EUR/USD.
As EUR/USD continues to trade above the daily cloud, which currently spans the 1.0712-1.0791 region, the overall bias remains on the upside. The scope is growing for much bigger gains to eventually break above the 1.0934 Fibo, a 61.8% retrace of the 1.1139 to 1.0602 $(EBS)$ drop.
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(Martin Miller is a Reuters market analyst. The views expressed are his own)
((martin.miller@thomsonreuters.com))
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