IDU: Not At A Discount Right Now

seekingalpha06-03

iShares U.S. Utilities ETF has a high expense ratio compared to its peers, making it less attractive for investors.IDU has outperformed the broader market year-to-date, but its long-term performance ...

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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIDU: Not At A Discount Right Now\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2024-06-03 14:32 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4697057-idu-etf-not-at-discount-right-now><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>iShares U.S. Utilities ETF has a high expense ratio compared to its peers, making it less attractive for investors.IDU has outperformed the broader market year-to-date, but its long-term performance ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4697057-idu-etf-not-at-discount-right-now\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","isBrief":false,"type":0,"news_type":1,"symbol":"IE00BD4GTV84.USD","symbol_name":"LEGG MASON CLEARBRIDGEINFRASTRUCTURE VALUE \"A\" (USDHDG) ACC","start_time":0,"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4697057-idu-etf-not-at-discount-right-now","article_id":"2440432306","we_media_id":null,"thumbnails":["https://static.seekingalpha.com/cdn/s3/uploads/getty_images/1445255344/image_1445255344.jpg"],"rights":null,"url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2440432306","pubTimestamp":1717396320,"sourceInfo":{"source_id":"seekingalpha","name":"Seeking Alpha"},"weMediaInfo":null,"summary":"The answer is quite simple. Utilities sector is not a rapidly growing sector. Take utilities sector in the S&P 500 index as an example. As can be seen from the chart below, the annual revenue growth forecasts for utilities stocks in the S&P 500 index for 2024 and 2025 are only 3.2% and 4.5% respectively. This is much lower than many other growing sectors, such as the technology sector, that typically has an average revenue growth rate in the low to high double-digits. Yardeni Research IDU's fund price is sensitive to treasury rate Since utilities stocks are typically considered as dividend pa","collect":0,"end_time":0,"defaultTopTitle":"seekingalpha.com","property":[],"viewcount":null,"language":"en","relate_stocks":{"IE00BD4GTV84.USD":"LEGG MASON CLEARBRIDGEINFRASTRUCTURE VALUE \"A\" (USDHDG) ACC","SO":"美国南方公司","BK4566":"资本集团","IE00BMG7P587.USD":"LEGG MASON CLEARBRIDGE GLOBAL INFRASTRUCTURE INCOM \"A\" (USD) INC","SPY":"标普500ETF","LU2637428348.USD":"NORDEA 1 GLOBAL SUSTAINABLE LISTED REAL ASSETS \"MP\" (USD) INC","LU1988902786.USD":"FULLERTON LUX FUNDS GLOBAL ABSOLUTE ALPHA \"I\" (USD) ACC","VOO":"Vanguard标普500ETF","IE00BJTD4V19.USD":"NEUBERGER BERMAN US LONG SHORT EQUITY \"A1\" (USD) ACC","BK4588":"碎股","LU0312595415.SGD":"Schroder ISF Global Climate Change Equity A Acc SGD","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares","LU1670628061.USD":"M&G (LUX) NORTH AMERICAN DIVIDEND \"A\" (USD) INC",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","BK4581":"高盛持仓","OEX":"标普100","LU1162221912.USD":"FRANKLIN INCOME \"A\" (USD) ACC","IE00BD4GTT62.SGD":"Legg Mason ClearBridge Infrastructure Value A SGD-H (mdis) plus","LU1261432733.SGD":"Fidelity World A-ACC-SGD","NEE":"新纪元能源","SDS":"两倍做空标普500ETF","IVV":"标普500指数ETF","UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF","LU0310799852.SGD":"FTIF - Templeton Global Equity Income A MDIS SGD","BK4504":"桥水持仓","LU1670627923.USD":"M&G (LUX) NORTH AMERICAN DIVIDEND \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU0124384867.USD":"贝莱德新能源基金A2","FDN":"First Trust Dow Jones Internet I","LU2384288077.EUR":"AZ EQUITY GLOBAL INFRASTRUCTURE \"A-INS\" (EUR) ACC","LU1621767737.EUR":"AZ EQUITY GLOBAL INFRASTRUCTURE \"AAZ\" (EUR) ACC","IDU":"iShares U.S. Utilities ETF","LU1621767810.EUR":"AZ EQUITY GLOBAL INFRASTRUCTURE \"A\" (EUR) INC","IE00BMG7P926.USD":"Legg Mason ClearBridge - Global Infrastructure Income A Acc USD","LU0511384066.AUD":"SUSTAINABLE GLOBAL THEMATIC PORTFOLIO \"A\" (AUDHDG) ACC","LU1621768115.EUR":"AZ EQUITY GLOBAL INFRASTRUCTURE \"B\" (EUR) INC","FUTY":"Fidelity MSCI Utilities Index ETF","SSO":"两倍做多标普500ETF","IE00BMG7P694.USD":"Legg Mason ClearBridge - Global Infrastructure Income A Mdis USD Plus","LU0289961442.SGD":"SUSTAINABLE GLOBAL THEMATIC PORTFOLIO \"AX\" (SGD) ACC","LU1064131342.USD":"Fullerton Lux Funds - Global Absolute Alpha A Acc USD","LU0786609619.USD":"高盛全球千禧一代股票组合Acc","SH":"标普500反向ETF","IE00BD4GTW91.USD":"LEGG MASON CLEARBRIDGEINFRASTRUCTURE VALUE \"A\" (USDHDG) INC","LU1267930490.SGD":"TEMPLETON GLOBAL EQUITY INCOME \"AS\" (SGD) INC A","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF","LU0289739343.SGD":"SUSTAINABLE GLOBAL THEMATIC PORTFOLIO \"A\" (SGD) ACC","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","LU0211328371.USD":"TEMPLETON GLOBAL EQUITY INCOME \"A\" (MDIS) (USD)   INC","LU1093756168.USD":"FRANKLIN K2 ALTERNATIVE STRATEGIES \"A\" (USD) ACC"},"translate_title":"IDU：目前没有折扣","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":null,"symbols_score_info":{"NEE":1,"IDU":1,"FUTY":1,"SO":1,"VOO":0.9,"SPY":0.9,"FDN":0.77,"OEF":0.6,"OEX":0.6,"SDS":0.6,"SH":0.6,"SPXU":0.6,"SSO":0.6,"UPRO":0.6,"ESmain":0.6,"IVV":0.6,".SPX":0.6},"content_text":"iShares U.S. Utilities ETF has a high expense ratio compared to its peers, making it less attractive for investors.IDU has outperformed the broader market year-to-date, but its long-term performance has been inferior to the S&P 500 index.IDU's fund price is sensitive to the change in treasury rate.Luis Alvarez ETF Overview iShares U.S. Utilities ETF (NYSEARCA:IDU) has a portfolio of large-cap and mid-cap utility stocks in the United States. Its expense ratio of 0.4% was high among its peers. For example, Fidelity MSCI Utilities ETF (FUTY) only has an expense ratio of 0.08%. While IDU has lower volatility, the fund will likely deliver a total return inferior to the broader market in the long run due to its slower growth characteristic. Its valuation is also not cheap right now. Hence, we are unable to recommend this fund right now. YCharts Fund Analysis IDU has outperformed the broader market year-to-date Let us first review IDU's performance in the past two years. IDU has done quite well this year. The fund has delivered a total return of 16.4%. This was better than the S&P 500 index's 11.3%. YCharts However, since the broader market reached the cyclical low in October 2022, the fund's performance was not that outstanding. Since October 2022, IDU only delivered a total return of 25.1%. In contrast, the S&P 500 index delivered a total return of 51.2%, more than double the total return of IDU. YCharts IDU has lower volatility than the broader market IDU has lower volatility than the broader market. This is evident in the fact that its 5-year average beta ratio is only 0.74 relative to the S&P 500 index. For reader's information, beta is a measure of the volatility of the fund. A higher beta (more than 1) indicates that when the index moves up or down, the fund will move more than the broader market. In contrast, a lower beta (less than 1) indicates that the fund will move less than the broader market. Since IDU's beta ratio was below 1, we expect IDU to have less downside risk than the broader market. However, IDU will likely underperform the broader market in the long run Despite IDU's lower volatility, its total return has trailed the S&P 500 index in the past. As can be seen from the chart below, IDU's total return of 131.3% in the past 10 years was significantly behind the S&P 500 index's 230.3%. YCharts What has caused IDU's lower returns in the long run? The answer is quite simple. Utilities sector is not a rapidly growing sector. Take utilities sector in the S&P 500 index as an example. As can be seen from the chart below, the annual revenue growth forecasts for utilities stocks in the S&P 500 index for 2024 and 2025 are only 3.2% and 4.5% respectively. This is much lower than many other growing sectors, such as the technology sector, that typically has an average revenue growth rate in the low to high double-digits. Yardeni Research IDU's fund price is sensitive to treasury rate Since utilities stocks are typically considered as dividend paying stocks. Investors owning these stocks typically will consider their dividend yields. Therefore, valuations of utilities stocks are typically impacted by the treasury rate. As the treasury rate rises, stock prices will typically decline and vice versa. This is exactly what we observed in IDU's fund price. As can be seen from the chart below, IDU's fund price typically has an inverse correlation to the 10-year treasury rate. In the long run, IDU's fund price may still move up, but its fund price can be quite sensitive to the change in treasury rate in the short term. YCharts Top Holdings IDU's top holdings include many well-known utilities companies. For example, its largest holding, NextEra Energy (NEE), is a stable power generation and distribution company servicing areas mainly in Florida. NEE's top and bottom lines have been steadily increasing in the past few years. Its second-largest holding, Southern (SO), has 9 million customers across 3 states. Its businesses are primarily in electricity generation and distribution, and gas distribution. SO's bottom line has also been growing steadily in the past 3 years. Overall, most of these companies are expected to grow their businesses steadily. iShares Fair Valuation Now that we learned about IDU's characteristic, we will evaluate its valuation. Since we do not have the historical average of IDU's forward P/E ratio in the past, we will look at the forward P/E ratio of utilities stocks in the S&P 500 index. As can be seen from the chart below, utilities sector in the S&P 500 currently has an average forward P/E ratio of 16.9x. Historically, the forward P/E ratio has been in the range between 10x and 20x. The average is around 15x. Therefore, the current forward P/E ratio of 16.9x is higher than the long-term average in the past 3 decades. This means it is not cheap right now. However, it is also not near the record of about 22x reached in 2022. Therefore, we do not think IDU is very expensive either. Yardeni Research Investor Takeaway  If the goal of owning IDU is to seek total return in the long run, IDU is not the fund to own, as its total return will likely trail the S&P 500 index. For those wishing to own IDU regardless of its growth characteristics, its valuation is not at a discount either. Therefore, we cannot recommend this fund right now. We think investors may want to wait on the sidelines or wait for a pullback.","kind":null,"is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":false,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"0","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":1},"commentList":[],"isCommentEnd":true,"newsSizeData":{"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false},"APP":{"userAgent":"Mozilla/5.0 AppleWebKit/537.36 (KHTML, like Gecko; compatible; ClaudeBot/1.0; +claudebot@anthropic.com)","isDev":false,"isTTM":true,"deviceId":"web-server-community-laohu8-v3","version":"4.29.1","shortVersion":"4.29.1","platform":"web","vendor":"web","appName":"ttm","isIOS":false,"isAndroid":false,"isTiger":false,"isTHS":false,"isWeiXin":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"isWeiBo":false,"isQQ":false,"isBaiduSwan":false,"isBaiduBox":false,"isDingTalk":false,"isToutiao":false,"isOnePlus":false,"isHuaWei":false,"isXiaomi":false,"isXiaomiWebView":false,"isOppo":false,"isVivo":false,"isSamsung":false,"isMobile":false},"href":"/m/news/2440432306"}