S&P 500 Snapshot: Volatile Week Comes To A Close

seekingalpha08-10

This week, the S&P 500 experienced one of its worst daily performances since 2022, followed by one of its best.On August 1st, the index experienced its largest intraday price volatility (2.88%) since ...

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Note the recent selloffs in 2022.    Here's a table with the number of days of a 1% or greater change in either direction and the number of days of corrections  going back to 2013.         Click to enlarge Here is a linear chart of the index since October 9, 2007:  Here is a linearly scaled version of the same chart with the 50- and 200-day moving averages. As of November 3rd, the index has been above both its 200-day moving average. As of August 1st, the index has been below its 50-day moving average.  S&P 500: A Perspective on Volatility  For a sense of the correlation between the closing price and intraday volatility, the chart below overlays the S&P 500 since 2007 with the intraday price range. I've also included a 20-day moving average to identify trends in volatility. On August 1st, the index experienced its largest intraday price volatility  since December 2022.  ","collect":0,"end_time":0,"defaultTopTitle":"seekingalpha.com","property":[],"viewcount":null,"language":"en","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","OEX":"标普100","BK4581":"高盛持仓","IVV":"标普500指数ETF","SSO":"两倍做多标普500ETF","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF","SH":"标普500反向ETF","RSP":"平均加权指数ETF-Rydex S&P","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","SPLG":"SPDR Portfolio S&P 500 ETF","SHY":"债券指数ETF-iShares Barclays 1-3年国债","SPY":"标普500ETF","VOO":"Vanguard标普500ETF","BK4559":"巴菲特持仓","FDN":"First Trust Dow Jones Internet I","IEF":"债券指数ETF-iShares Barclays 7-10年","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","BK4588":"碎股","SDS":"两倍做空标普500ETF","BK4504":"桥水持仓"},"translate_title":"标普500快照：动荡的一周即将结束","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":null,"symbols_score_info":{"SHY":1,"VOO":1,"SPY":1,"SPLG":1,".SPX":1,"RSP":1,"IEF":1,"FDN":0.9,"US7Y.BOND":0.9,"US6M.BOND":0.9,"US5Y.BOND":0.9,"US3Y.BOND":0.9,"US30Y.BOND":0.9,"US2Y.BOND":0.9,"US12M.BOND":0.9,"US10Y.BOND":0.9,"US912797HE00.BOND":0.6,"US912797GW17.BOND":0.6,"US912797GL51.BOND":0.6,"US912797GK78.BOND":0.6,"SSO":0.6,"SPXU":0.6,"SH":0.6,"SDS":0.6,"OEX":0.6,"OEF":0.6,"IVV":0.6,"ESmain":0.6},"content_text":"This week, the S&P 500 experienced one of its worst daily performances since 2022, followed by one of its best.On August 1st, the index experienced its largest intraday price volatility (2.88%) since December 2022.The S&P 500 is currently up 12.68% year to date, while the S&P Equal Weight is only up 5.48% year to date.   John M Lund Photography Inc This week, the S&P 500 (SPX) experienced one of its worst daily performances since 2022, followed by one of its best. Despite the volatility, the index posted a slight loss of just 0.04% compared to last week. The index is currently 5.70% off its record high from July 16th, 2024, and is now up 12.68% year to date. The table below summarizes the number of record highs reached each year dating back to 2008.     Here is a snapshot of the index over the past 5 days:    Here is a snapshot of the index from the past six months with a 50-day moving average:  The U.S. Treasury put the closing yield on the 10-year note, as of August 9th, at 3.94% which is above its record low (0.52% on 8/4/2020). The 2-year note is at 4.05%. ETFs associated with Treasuries include: iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF (SHY), iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF (IEF), and iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT). See our latest Treasury Snapshot here. S&P 500: A Perspective on Drawdowns On October 9, 2007, the S&P 500 reached a then all-time high, closing the day at 1565.15. Then on March 9, 2009, the index dropped ~57% off of its high from exactly 17 months before, closing the day at 676.53. This time period became known as the Global Financial Crisis. It took over 5 years before the index reached a new then all-time high on March 28, 2013, where it closed out at 1569.19. The chart below is a snapshot of record highs and selloffs since the 2007 peak reached on October 9, 2007.    What happens if we take out the Global Financial Crisis? Here's a snapshot the same chart above where the start date has been changed to the trough reached on March 9, 2009. Note the recent selloffs in 2022.    Here's a table with the number of days of a 1% or greater change in either direction and the number of days of corrections (down 10% or more from the record high) going back to 2013.         Click to enlarge Here is a linear chart of the index since October 9, 2007:  Here is a linearly scaled version of the same chart with the 50- and 200-day moving averages. As of November 3rd, the index has been above both its 200-day moving average. As of August 1st, the index has been below its 50-day moving average.  S&P 500: A Perspective on Volatility  For a sense of the correlation between the closing price and intraday volatility, the chart below overlays the S&P 500 since 2007 with the intraday price range. I've also included a 20-day moving average to identify trends in volatility. On August 1st, the index experienced its largest intraday price volatility (2.88%) since December 2022.  S&P 500 versus S&P Equal Weight The S&P 500 is market cap-weighted index that includes roughly the 500 largest U.S. stocks spanning 11 sectors. The S&P 500 Equal Weight Index includes the same constituents as the S&P 500, but each company is equally weighted at a fixed weight. So how do these two indexes match up against each other this year? The S&P 500 is currently up 12.68% year to date while the S&P Equal Weight is only up 5.48% year to date.    ETFs associated with the S&P 500 include: iShares Core S&P 500 ETF (IVV), SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY), Vanguard S&P 500 ETF (VOO), SPDR Portfolio S&P 500 ETF (SPLG), and Invesco S&P 500® Equal Weight ETF (RSP). Original Post  Editor's Note: The summary bullets for this article were chosen by Seeking Alpha editors.","kind":null,"is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":false,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"0","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":0},"commentList":[],"isCommentEnd":true,"newsSizeData":{"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false},"APP":{"userAgent":"Mozilla/5.0 AppleWebKit/537.36 (KHTML, like Gecko; compatible; ClaudeBot/1.0; +claudebot@anthropic.com)","isDev":false,"isTTM":true,"deviceId":"web-server-community-laohu8-v3","version":"4.29.2","shortVersion":"4.29.2","platform":"web","vendor":"web","appName":"ttm","isIOS":false,"isAndroid":false,"isTiger":false,"isTHS":false,"isWeiXin":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"isWeiBo":false,"isQQ":false,"isBaiduSwan":false,"isBaiduBox":false,"isDingTalk":false,"isToutiao":false,"isOnePlus":false,"isHuaWei":false,"isXiaomi":false,"isXiaomiWebView":false,"isOppo":false,"isVivo":false,"isSamsung":false,"isMobile":false},"href":"/m/news/2458031595"}