Small caps are better positioned than large caps amid 50 bps rate cut - analyst

seekingalpha2024-09-16

Small caps (NYSEARCA:IWM) can offer a better risk/reward in the near-term than large caps, according to Jonathan Krinsky, chief market technician at BTIG. As the odds for a 50-basis-point rate cut are...

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As the odds for a 50-basis-point rate cut are...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/news/4149999-small-caps-are-better-positioned-than-large-caps-amid-50-bps-rate-cut-analyst\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"seekingalpha","html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Small caps are better positioned than large caps amid 50 bps rate cut - analyst</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSmall caps are better positioned than large caps amid 50 bps rate cut - analyst\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2024-09-16 22:45 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/news/4149999-small-caps-are-better-positioned-than-large-caps-amid-50-bps-rate-cut-analyst><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Small caps (NYSEARCA:IWM) can offer a better risk/reward in the near-term than large caps, according to Jonathan Krinsky, chief market technician at BTIG. As the odds for a 50-basis-point rate cut are...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/news/4149999-small-caps-are-better-positioned-than-large-caps-amid-50-bps-rate-cut-analyst\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","isBrief":false,"type":0,"news_type":1,"symbol":"FT_SY_MNQ","symbol_name":"微型NQ100指数","start_time":0,"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/news/4149999-small-caps-are-better-positioned-than-large-caps-amid-50-bps-rate-cut-analyst","article_id":"2467849293","we_media_id":null,"thumbnails":["https://static.seekingalpha.com/cdn/s3/uploads/getty_images/1497299102/image_1497299102.jpg"],"rights":null,"url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2467849293","pubTimestamp":1726497959,"columns":[],"sourceInfo":{"source_id":"seekingalpha","name":"Seeking Alpha"},"weMediaInfo":null,"summary":"Small caps (NYSEARCA:IWM) can offer a better risk/reward in the near-term than large caps, according to Jonathan Krinsky, chief market technician at BTIG. As the odds for a 50-basis-point rate cut are","collect":0,"end_time":0,"defaultTopTitle":"seekingalpha.com","property":[],"viewcount":null,"language":"en","relate_stocks":{"GDX":"黄金矿业ETF-VanEck","BK4570":"地缘局势概念股","SRTY":"罗素2000指数三倍做空ETF-ProShares","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","SLV":"白银ETF(iShares)","RWM":"罗素2000指数反向ETF","IWN":"罗素2000价值股指数ETF-iShares","TZA":"罗素2000指数三倍做空ETF","BK4535":"淡马锡持仓","IWO":"罗素2000成长股指数ETF","UWM":"罗素2000指数ETF两倍做多","BK4588":"碎股","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","BK4547":"WSB热门概念","BK4581":"高盛持仓","XOP":"油气开采指数ETF-SPDR S&P","TWM":"罗素2000指数两倍做空ETF","FDN":"First Trust Dow Jones Internet I","IWM":"罗素2000指数ETF"},"translate_title":"分析师表示，在降息50个基点的情况下，小盘股的处境比大盘股更好","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":null,"symbols_score_info":{"SLV":1,"XOP":1,"IWM":1,"GDX":1,"US7Y.BOND":0.9,"US6M.BOND":0.9,"US5Y.BOND":0.9,"US3Y.BOND":0.9,"US30Y.BOND":0.9,"US2Y.BOND":0.9,"US12M.BOND":0.9,"US10Y.BOND":0.9,"FDN":0.82,"TWM":0.6,"UWM":0.6,"US912797HE00.BOND":0.6,"US912797GW17.BOND":0.6,"TZA":0.6,"SRTY":0.6,"RWM":0.6,"IWO":0.6,"IWN":0.6,"MRTYmain":0.6,"MNQmain":0.6},"content_text":"Small caps (NYSEARCA:IWM) can offer a better risk/reward in the near-term than large caps, according to Jonathan Krinsky, chief market technician at BTIG. As the odds for a 50-basis-point rate cut are now about 45%, the Russell 2000 (IWM) is up 5.52% from the last five days, and up about 0.50% just today. Krinsky said in a note that “if we get further confirmation of a 50 basis points cut, [small caps] should accelerate.” He added that the Oil and Gas Exploration & Production ETF (XOP), the VanEck Gold Miners ETF (GDX), and the Silver Trust ETF (SLV) also look poised for upside if a 50 basis points cut materialize. But when looking at the S&P 500 Index (SPX), which is about 1% away from new all-time highs, Krinsky said that “there are good odds we see that early next week, which would then make the playbook after FOMC trickier.”  He pointed out that in 2007, when the Fed started cutting rates with 50 basis points, the market was coming off an -11% drawdown and recovery in August, making the high of the cycle in early October. But today’s set-up is different.  “Credit spreads are quite subdued now,” he said. “In September '07, the BBB-Treasury spread had been widening steadily for about six months and was at about 170 basis points. This time around, spreads saw a little widening in August but have been steady the last few weeks around 130 basis points.”  Krinsky said that he sees the S&P 500 (SPX) at above 5,700 in the next week or two, but after the Fed cut rates, “we will evaluate the risk/reward and whether a 'sell the news' situation is likely.”","kind":"highlight","is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":false,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"1","news_tag":"policyRegulatory","news_rank":0,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":0},"commentList":[],"isCommentEnd":true,"newsSizeData":{"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false},"APP":{"userAgent":"Mozilla/5.0 AppleWebKit/537.36 (KHTML, like Gecko; compatible; ClaudeBot/1.0; +claudebot@anthropic.com)","isDev":false,"isTTM":true,"deviceId":"web-server-community-laohu8-v3","version":"4.30.0","shortVersion":"4.30.0","platform":"web","vendor":"web","appName":"ttm","isIOS":false,"isAndroid":false,"isTiger":false,"isTHS":false,"isWeiXin":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"isWeiBo":false,"isQQ":false,"isBaiduSwan":false,"isBaiduBox":false,"isDingTalk":false,"isToutiao":false,"isOnePlus":false,"isHuaWei":false,"isXiaomi":false,"isXiaomiWebView":false,"isOppo":false,"isVivo":false,"isSamsung":false,"isMobile":false},"href":"/m/news/2467849293"}