S&P 500 Snapshot: Market Bounces Back

seekingalpha09-17

The S&P 500 finished the week ending September 13 up 4.02% from last Friday.The index is currently 0.73% off its record close from July 16th, 2024 and is now up 18.62% year-to-date.The U.S. Treasury ...

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The index is currently 0.73% off its record close from July 16th, 2024 and is now up 18.62% year-to-date. The table below summarizes the number of record highs reached each year dating back to 2008.    Here is a snapshot of the index over the past 5 days:  Here is a snapshot of the index from the past six months with a 50-day moving average:  The U.S. Treasury put the closing yield on the 10-year note, as of September 13th, at 3.66% which is above its record low (0.52% on 8/4/2020). The 2-year note is at 3.57%. ETFs associated with Treasuries include: iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF (SHY), iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF (IEF), and iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT). S&P 500: A Perspective on Drawdowns On October 9, 2007, the S&P 500 reached a then all-time high, closing the day at 1565.15. Then on March 9, 2009, the index dropped ~57% off of its high from exactly 17 months before, closing the day at 676.53. This time period became known as the Global Financial Crisis. It took over 5 years before the index reached a new then all-time high on March 28, 2013, where it closed out at 1569.19. The chart below is a snapshot of record highs and selloffs since the 2007 peak reached on October 9, 2007.  What happens if we take out the Global Financial Crisis? Here's a snapshot of the same chart above, where the start date has been changed to the trough reached on March 9, 2009. Note the recent selloffs in 2022.  Here's a table with the number of days of a 1% or greater change in either direction and the number of days of corrections (down 10% or more from the record high) going back to 2013.         Click to enlarge Here is a linear chart of the index since October 9, 2007:  Here is a linearly scaled version of the same chart with the 50- and 200-day moving averages. As of November 3rd, the index has been above both its 200-day moving average. As of August 1st, the index has been below its 50-day moving average.  S&P 500: A Perspective on Volatility For a sense of the correlation between the closing price and intraday volatility, the chart below overlays the S&P 500 since 2007 with the intraday price range. I've also included a 20-day moving average to identify trends in volatility. On August 1st, the index experienced its largest intraday price volatility (2.88%) since December 2022.    S&P 500 versus S&P Equal Weight The S&P 500 is a market cap-weighted index which includes roughly the 500 largest U.S. stocks spanning 11 sectors. The S&P 500 Equal Weight Index includes the same constituents as the S&P 500, but each company is equally weighted at a fixed weight. So how do these two indexes match up against each other this year? The S&P 500 is currently up 18.62% year-to-date, while the S&P Equal Weight is up 10.56% year-to-date, its highest level for the year.  ETFs associated with the S&P 500 include: iShares Core S&P 500 ETF (IVV), SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY), Vanguard S&P 500 ETF (VOO), SPDR Portfolio S&P 500 ETF (SPLG), and Invesco S&P 500® Equal Weight ETF (RSP). Original Post  Editor's Note: The summary bullets for this article were chosen by Seeking Alpha editors.","kind":"highlight","is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":false,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"1","news_tag":"analysis","news_rank":0,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":0},"commentList":[],"isCommentEnd":true,"newsSizeData":{"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false},"APP":{"userAgent":"Mozilla/5.0 AppleWebKit/537.36 (KHTML, like Gecko; compatible; ClaudeBot/1.0; +claudebot@anthropic.com)","isDev":false,"isTTM":true,"deviceId":"web-server-community-laohu8-v3","version":"4.29.3","shortVersion":"4.29.3","platform":"web","vendor":"web","appName":"ttm","isIOS":false,"isAndroid":false,"isTiger":false,"isTHS":false,"isWeiXin":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"isWeiBo":false,"isQQ":false,"isBaiduSwan":false,"isBaiduBox":false,"isDingTalk":false,"isToutiao":false,"isOnePlus":false,"isHuaWei":false,"isXiaomi":false,"isXiaomiWebView":false,"isOppo":false,"isVivo":false,"isSamsung":false,"isMobile":false},"href":"/m/news/2468459388"}