Housing demand must strengthen to justify high homebuilder values: BofA

seekingalpha09-19

Like many risk assets, homebuilder stocks rallied markedly in the months leading up to the Federal Reserve's first interest-rate cut in four years, propelling their valuation to great heights. Bank of...

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Bank of...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/news/4151129-housing-demand-must-strengthen-to-justify-high-homebuilder-values-bofa\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"seekingalpha","html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Housing demand must strengthen to justify high homebuilder values: BofA</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nHousing demand must strengthen to justify high homebuilder values: BofA\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2024-09-19 21:43 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/news/4151129-housing-demand-must-strengthen-to-justify-high-homebuilder-values-bofa><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Like many risk assets, homebuilder stocks rallied markedly in the months leading up to the Federal Reserve's first interest-rate cut in four years, propelling their valuation to great heights. Bank of...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/news/4151129-housing-demand-must-strengthen-to-justify-high-homebuilder-values-bofa\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","isBrief":false,"type":0,"news_type":1,"symbol":"LU1699723380.USD","symbol_name":"ALLSPRING GLOBAL LONG/SHORT EQUITY \"AP\" (USD) ACC","start_time":0,"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/news/4151129-housing-demand-must-strengthen-to-justify-high-homebuilder-values-bofa","article_id":"2468514577","we_media_id":null,"thumbnails":["https://static.seekingalpha.com/cdn/s3/uploads/getty_images/140469314/image_140469314.jpg"],"rights":null,"url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2468514577","pubTimestamp":1726753397,"columns":[],"sourceInfo":{"source_id":"seekingalpha","name":"Seeking Alpha"},"weMediaInfo":null,"summary":"Like many risk assets, homebuilder stocks rallied markedly in the months leading up to the Federal Reserve's first interest-rate cut in four years, propelling their valuation to great heights. Bank of","collect":0,"end_time":0,"defaultTopTitle":"seekingalpha.com","property":[],"viewcount":null,"language":"en","relate_stocks":{"LU1699723380.USD":"ALLSPRING GLOBAL LONG/SHORT EQUITY \"AP\" (USD) ACC","TOL":"托尔兄弟","TMHC":"Taylor Morrison Home Corporation","LU0211331839.USD":"FRANKLIN MUTUAL GLB DISCOVERY \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU1496350502.SGD":"FRANKLIN DIVERSIFIED DYNAMIC \"A\" (SGDHDG) ACC","TPH":"Tri Pointe Homes Inc.","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","BK4533":"AQR资本管理(全球第二大对冲基金)","LU0054578231.USD":"BGF SYSTEMATIC SUSTAINABLE GLOBAL SMALLCAP \"A2\" (USD) ACC","DHI":"霍顿房屋","LU0208291251.USD":"FRANKLIN MUTUAL U.S. VALUE \"A\" (USD) INC","PHM":"普得集团","FDN":"First Trust Dow Jones Internet I","BK4588":"碎股","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","NAIL":"Direxion Daily Homebuilders & Supplies Bull 3X Shares","MTH":"Meritage Homes Corp","LU0314104364.USD":"MANULIFE GF AMERICAN GROWTH \"AA\" (USD) INC","LEN":"莱纳建筑公司","LU0320765489.SGD":"FTIF - Franklin Mutual US Value A Acc SGD","BK4561":"索罗斯持仓","LU0070302665.USD":"FRANKLIN MUTUAL U.S. VALUE \"A\" (USD) ACC","ITB":"房屋建筑指数ETF-iShares Dow Jones","BZH":"贝哲房屋","BK4504":"桥水持仓","KBH":"KB Home","BK4088":"住宅建筑"},"translate_title":"美国银行：住房需求必须增强才能证明住宅建筑商的高价值是合理的","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":null,"symbols_score_info":{"KBH":1,"NAIL":1,"MTH":1,"PHM":1,"TMHC":1,"TOL":1,"TPH":1,"LEN":1,"ITB":1,"DHI":1,"BZH":1,"US30Y.BOND":0.9,"US2Y.BOND":0.9,"US12M.BOND":0.9,"US10Y.BOND":0.9,"US3Y.BOND":0.9,"US5Y.BOND":0.9,"US6M.BOND":0.9,"US7Y.BOND":0.9,"FDN":0.82,"US912797GW17.BOND":0.6,"US912797HE00.BOND":0.6},"content_text":"Like many risk assets, homebuilder stocks rallied markedly in the months leading up to the Federal Reserve's first interest-rate cut in four years, propelling their valuation to great heights. Bank of America Global Research believes housing demand will need to improve in order to justify current high valuations. Homebuilder stocks have outpaced the broader stock market this year, with the SPDR S&P Homebuilders ETF (NYSEARCA:XHB) climbing 27% year-to-date vs. S&P 500's 18% ascent. The Direxion Daily Homebuilders & Supplies Bull 3X Shares ETF (NAIL) jumped 56% over the same period, while the iShares U.S. Home Contruction ETF (ITB) gained 25%. BofA analyst Rafe Jadrosich pointed out that homebuilders are currently trading near 2.3 times price-to-book, sitting well above the high-end of the historical range. \"The last two times the sector reached the current valuation level (2018 and 2021), stocks pulled back sharply, however, in both cases the Fed was just beginning to raise rates,\" he wrote in a note. On Wednesday, the Fed cut rates by 50 basis points and signalled another 50 bps of easing by the end of the year. Mortgage rates have been mired in a downward trend since topping out late last year, when Fed Chair Jerome Powell made a dovish pivot that later proved premature as inflation remained sticky. But that's all in the past now, and mortgage rates likely will continue to see further downward pressure as the central bank embarks on its new easing cycle, potentially buoying demand for housing. Homebuilder stocks: D.R. Horton (DHI), KB Home (KBH), PulteGroup (PHM), Toll Brothers (TOL), Lennar (LEN), Beazer Homes (BZH), Tri Pointe Homes (TPH), Taylor Morrison (TMHC), Meritage Homes (MTH).","kind":"highlight","is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":false,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"0","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":1},"commentList":[],"isCommentEnd":true,"newsSizeData":{"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false},"APP":{"userAgent":"Mozilla/5.0 AppleWebKit/537.36 (KHTML, like Gecko; compatible; ClaudeBot/1.0; +claudebot@anthropic.com)","isDev":false,"isTTM":true,"deviceId":"web-server-community-laohu8-v3","version":"4.29.3","shortVersion":"4.29.3","platform":"web","vendor":"web","appName":"ttm","isIOS":false,"isAndroid":false,"isTiger":false,"isTHS":false,"isWeiXin":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"isWeiBo":false,"isQQ":false,"isBaiduSwan":false,"isBaiduBox":false,"isDingTalk":false,"isToutiao":false,"isOnePlus":false,"isHuaWei":false,"isXiaomi":false,"isXiaomiWebView":false,"isOppo":false,"isVivo":false,"isSamsung":false,"isMobile":false},"href":"/m/news/2468514577"}