Size of anticipated Fed rate cut to influence level of move in U.S. Treasury yields

seekingalpha09-18

BNP Paribas pointed out that the uncertainty surrounding the size of the anticipated FOMC rate cut is unusually high. In a traditional sense, markets tend to have a certain level of assurance on what ...

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In a traditional sense, markets tend to have a certain level of assurance on what ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/news/4150373-size-of-anticipated-fed-rate-cut-to-influence-level-of-move-in-us-treasury-yields\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"seekingalpha","html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Size of anticipated Fed rate cut to influence level of move in U.S. Treasury yields</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSize of anticipated Fed rate cut to influence level of move in U.S. Treasury yields\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2024-09-18 00:19 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/news/4150373-size-of-anticipated-fed-rate-cut-to-influence-level-of-move-in-us-treasury-yields><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>BNP Paribas pointed out that the uncertainty surrounding the size of the anticipated FOMC rate cut is unusually high. In a traditional sense, markets tend to have a certain level of assurance on what ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/news/4150373-size-of-anticipated-fed-rate-cut-to-influence-level-of-move-in-us-treasury-yields\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","isBrief":false,"type":0,"news_type":1,"symbol":"MUB","symbol_name":"美国市政债ETF-iShares","start_time":0,"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/news/4150373-size-of-anticipated-fed-rate-cut-to-influence-level-of-move-in-us-treasury-yields","article_id":"2468836252","we_media_id":null,"thumbnails":["https://static.seekingalpha.com/cdn/s3/uploads/getty_images/1280037176/image_1280037176.jpg"],"rights":null,"url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2468836252","pubTimestamp":1726589956,"sourceInfo":{"source_id":"seekingalpha","name":"Seeking Alpha"},"weMediaInfo":null,"summary":"BNP Paribas pointed out that the uncertainty surrounding the size of the anticipated FOMC rate cut is unusually high. In a traditional sense, markets tend to have a certain level of assurance on what ","collect":0,"end_time":0,"defaultTopTitle":"seekingalpha.com","property":[],"viewcount":null,"language":"en","relate_stocks":{"MUB":"美国市政债ETF-iShares","IEF":"债券指数ETF-iShares Barclays 7-10年","JNK":"债券指数ETF-SPDR Barclays高收益债","IEI":"iShares Barclays 3-7 Year Trea","HYG":"债券指数ETF-iShares iBoxx高收益公司债","TIP":"通胀债券指数ETF-iShares Barclays","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","BND":"债券指数ETF-Vanguard美国","BK4588":"碎股","MBB":"美国按揭抵押债券ETF-iShares","SHY":"债券指数ETF-iShares Barclays 1-3年国债","BK4561":"索罗斯持仓","BIL":"债券指数ETF-SPDR Barclays美国1-3月国债","BK4581":"高盛持仓","SGOV":"iShares 0-3 Month Treasury Bond ETF","BK4504":"桥水持仓","TLH":"iShares安硕10-20年国债ETF","AGG":"债券指数ETF-iShares Barclays综合国债","SCHO":"嘉信短期美国国债ETF","LQD":"债券指数ETF-iShares iBoxx投资级公司债","VCIT":"美国中期公司债-Vanguard","GOVT":"iShares安硕核心美国国债ETF","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念"},"translate_title":"美联储预期降息规模影响美国国债收益率变动水平","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":null,"symbols_score_info":{"US10Y.BOND":1,"JNK":1,"AGG":1,"MBB":1,"MUB":1,"SCHO":1,"SGOV":1,"TIP":1,"TLH":1,"LQD":1,"US12M.BOND":1,"US2Y.BOND":1,"US30Y.BOND":1,"US3Y.BOND":1,"US5Y.BOND":1,"US6M.BOND":1,"US7Y.BOND":1,"VCIT":1,"BND":1,"BIL":1,"HYG":1,"IEF":0.6,"US912797HE00.BOND":0.6,"US912797GW17.BOND":0.6,"IEI":0.6,"TNmain":0.6,"UBmain":0.6,"ZBmain":0.6,"SHY":0.6,"ZFmain":0.6,"ZTmain":0.6,"GOVT":0.6},"content_text":"BNP Paribas pointed out that the uncertainty surrounding the size of the anticipated FOMC rate cut is unusually high. In a traditional sense, markets tend to have a certain level of assurance on what intends to take place, but Wednesday’s announcement has many mixed views. As a result, Treasury yield movement will largely be dictated upon if Powell and his associates opt for the more conservative 25-basis point cut or the more aggressive 50-basis point rate cut.  \"We note that the degree of uncertainty surrounding the size of the cut at this week’s policy meeting is relatively uncommon. Traditionally, market pricing reflects a high degree of certainty concerning Fed actions at the current meeting. Information gleaned by markets is usually regarding future policy action and comes from the FOMC statement, the SEP (if applicable) and the Fed chair’s press conference,\" BNP Paribas stated. “If this messaging highlights a desire for the Fed to be proactive in attempting to remove restriction and preserve a soft landing, markets may react with more caution. US yields may retrace back to our end-Q4 forecasts (3.75% 2y UST, 3.80% 10y UST),” the bank added. U.S. Treasury yields have fallen significantly this year, as traders have snapped up bonds. The French headquartered bank went on to add: “We highlight this because yields have fallen quickly, and the front end has reached levels that indicate to us a more elevated probability of recession.” Outlined below are the current levels seen in the Treasury market:  U.S. 2 Year Treasury yield (US2Y) is at 3.61%. U.S. 5 Year Treasury yield (US5Y) is at 3.45%. U.S. 10 Year Treasury yield (US10Y) is at 3.64%. U.S. 20 Year Treasury yield (US20Y) is at 4.00%. U.S. 30 Year Treasury yield (US30Y) is at 3.93%.  Furthermore, see how other yields trade across the entire yield curve here. For market participants closely monitoring the moves in Treasuries and fixed income, they may look to further analyze Treasury focused exchange-traded funds and other fixed income ETFs as a proxy investment. See some popular listed funds below: Treasury ETFs: (TLT), (TLH), (IEF), (IEI), (SHY), (SGOV), (SCHO), and (BIL). Bond ETFs: (AGG), (BND), (VCIT), (MUB), (MBB), (JNK), (LQD), (HYG), and (TIP).","kind":null,"is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":false,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"0","news_tag":"Policy And Regulatory","news_rank":0,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":0},"commentList":[],"isCommentEnd":true,"newsSizeData":{"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false},"APP":{"userAgent":"Mozilla/5.0 AppleWebKit/537.36 (KHTML, like Gecko; compatible; ClaudeBot/1.0; +claudebot@anthropic.com)","isDev":false,"isTTM":true,"deviceId":"web-server-community-laohu8-v3","version":"4.29.1","shortVersion":"4.29.1","platform":"web","vendor":"web","appName":"ttm","isIOS":false,"isAndroid":false,"isTiger":false,"isTHS":false,"isWeiXin":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"isWeiBo":false,"isQQ":false,"isBaiduSwan":false,"isBaiduBox":false,"isDingTalk":false,"isToutiao":false,"isOnePlus":false,"isHuaWei":false,"isXiaomi":false,"isXiaomiWebView":false,"isOppo":false,"isVivo":false,"isSamsung":false,"isMobile":false},"href":"/m/news/2468836252"}