Former President Donald Trump's proposed tax cuts, higher tariffs, military expansion, and mass deportations would balloon federal budget deficits by $7.5 trillion over the next decade, more than twice as much as Vice President Kamala Harris' proposals, the nonpartisan Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget estimated.
-- CRFB's study compared Trump's tax-cut promises to Harris' social-policy spending, middle-class tax cuts, and higher taxes for corporations and ultrarich households. The study estimated Harris' plan would raise deficits by $3.5 trillion. -- Besides extending his expiring 2017 tax cuts, Trump plans to cut taxes on tips, Social Security benefits, and overtime pay, and restore the deduction for state and local taxes, which his law capped at $10,000. His tariffs and energy proposals won't make up the difference, CRFB said. -- Harris said she won't raise taxes on households making under $400,000; will expand tax credits for families with children, first-time home buyers, and some companies; and will invest in paid leave and child-care. She wants billionaires and corporations to pay more taxes on capital gains and corporate profits. -- Those higher deficits are in addition to the $22 trillion in budget deficits the U.S. is on pace to generate over a decade, The Wall Street Journal reported. Even so, U.S. debt levels have historically had no correlation with how stocks or bond markets performed, Charles Schwab said.
What's Next: The Dow Jones Industrial Average could signal November's election outcome, according to Leuthold Group. If the Dow, up 11.3% this year, keeps rising, that could help Harris win the White House; if the Dow falters, that could favor Trump. Voters are likely to worry more about the economy.
-- Janet H. Cho, Joe Light, and Ian Salisbury
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-- Newsletter edited by Liz Moyer, Patrick O'Donnell, Rupert Steiner
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(END) Dow Jones Newswires
October 08, 2024 06:49 ET (10:49 GMT)
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