Policy Shifts & Market Dynamics Fuel Trading Activity

SGX10-10

Since late August, institutional investors net bought S$1.4 billion in Singapore stocks, marking a significant turnaround from the S$1.3 billion net outflow earlier in the year. The 10 stocks with the...

Source Link

Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

Comments

We need your insight to fill this gap

Leave a comment

{"i18n":{"language":"en_US"},"isChannel":false,"data":{"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2474799566?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","thumbnail":"","is_english":true,"pubTime":"2024-10-10 00:00","share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","id":"2474799566","market":"sg","top_or_hot":-1,"title":"Policy Shifts & Market Dynamics Fuel Trading Activity","media":"SGX","content":"<div>\n<p>Since late August, institutional investors net bought S$1.4 billion in Singapore stocks, marking a significant turnaround from the S$1.3 billion net outflow earlier in the year. The 10 stocks with the...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.sgx.com/research-education/market-updates/20241010-policy-shifts-market-dynamics-fuel-trading-activity\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"sgx_stock","html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Policy Shifts & Market Dynamics Fuel Trading Activity</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nPolicy Shifts & Market Dynamics Fuel Trading Activity\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2024-10-10 00:00 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.sgx.com/research-education/market-updates/20241010-policy-shifts-market-dynamics-fuel-trading-activity><strong>SGX</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Since late August, institutional investors net bought S$1.4 billion in Singapore stocks, marking a significant turnaround from the S$1.3 billion net outflow earlier in the year. The 10 stocks with the...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.sgx.com/research-education/market-updates/20241010-policy-shifts-market-dynamics-fuel-trading-activity\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","isBrief":false,"type":0,"news_type":1,"symbol":"HST.SI","symbol_name":"利安-华侨证券恒生科技ETF(S$)","start_time":0,"source_url":"https://www.sgx.com/research-education/market-updates/20241010-policy-shifts-market-dynamics-fuel-trading-activity","article_id":"2474799566","we_media_id":null,"thumbnails":[],"rights":null,"url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2474799566","pubTimestamp":1728489600,"sourceInfo":{"source_id":"sgx_stock","name":"SGX"},"weMediaInfo":null,"summary":"Since late August, institutional investors net bought S$1.4 billion in Singapore stocks, marking a significant turnaround from the S$1.3 billion net outflow earlier in the year. The 10 stocks with the","collect":0,"end_time":0,"defaultTopTitle":"sgx.com","property":[],"viewcount":null,"language":"en","relate_stocks":{"HST.SI":"利安-华侨证券恒生科技ETF(S$)","STI.SI":"富时新加坡海峡指数","SG9999002604.SGD":"LionGlobal Singapore/Malaysia SGD","SG9999001689.USD":"施罗德亚洲成长股票","SG9999008742.SGD":"Eastspring Investments Unit Trusts - Singapore ASEAN Equity SGD","SG9999005177.SGD":"Legg Mason Martin Currie - Southeast Asia Trust A Acc SGD","IE0008368411.USD":"FSSA ASIAN GROWTH \"I\" (USD) ACC","IE00B97KM107.HKD":"FSSA ASIAN EQUITY PLUS \"I\" (HKD) ACC","IE00B031HW06.USD":"FSSA ASIAN GROWTH \"I\" (USD) INC","LU1634259391.SGD":"Eastspring Investments - Asian Low Volatility Equity Fund AS SGD","DRAG":"中国龙ETF-Roundhill","SG9999014302.SGD":"RHB Singapore Income Fund SGD","SG9999000475.SGD":"Aberdeen Standard Singapore Equity SGD","LU0048573645.USD":"富达东盟基金","LU1634259557.SGD":"Eastspring Investments - Asian Low Volatility Equity Fund AS SGD-H","CFA.SI":"NikkoAM-STC Asia REIT","LU1048596156.SGD":"Blackrock Asian Growth Leaders A2 SGD-H","LU0210637038.USD":"HSBC GIF THAI EQUITY \"AD\" INC","SG9999000459.SGD":"Aberdeen Standard Pacific Equity SGD","LU1981816686.USD":"EASTSPRING INV ASIAN MULTI FACTOR EQUITY \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU0261945553.USD":"FIDELITY ASEAN \"A\" ACC","LU0737861269.HKD":"FIDELITY ASEAN \"A \" (HKD) ACC","KWEB":"中国海外互联网ETF-KraneShares","CHAU":"二倍做多沪深300(Direxion)","SGXZ24219693.SGD":"UNITED SG DYNAMIC INCOME FUND \"A\" (SGD) INC","LU0821914370.USD":"贝莱德亚洲成长领袖A2","03032":"恒生科技ETF","LU1206712785.SGD":"Aviva Investors - Multi-Strategy Target Return Ah SGD","CWEB":"两倍做多沪深中国互联网股票ETF-Direxion","03033":"南方恒生科技","LU0532188223.SGD":"JPMorgan Funds - ASEAN Equity A (acc) SGD","IE00B0169L03.USD":"FSSA ASIA FOCUS FUND \"I\" (USD) ACC","LU0181495838.USD":"施罗德新兴亚洲A Acc","SG9999016042.SGD":"Schroder Singapore Trust A Acc SGD","SGXZ27511609.SGD":"NIKKO AM SINGAPORE DIVIDEND EQUITY \"SGD\" (SGD) ACC","LU1497733557.USD":"EASTSPRING INV ASIAN LOW VOLATILITY EQUITY FUND \"A\" (USD) INC A","SG9999003826.SGD":"日兴资管新加坡股息基金 SGD","IE0031814969.USD":"FSSA ASEAN ALL CAP FUND \"I\" (USD) ACC","BK6523":"ESG概念","LU1206713676.USD":"Aviva Investors - Multi-Strategy Target Return Ah USD","SG9999001127.SGD":"United Singapore Growth Fund SGD","BK6516":"银行与投资服务概念","LU1048588211.SGD":"Blackrock Asian Dragon A2 SGD-H","ASHR":"德银沪深300指数ETF","LU1497734951.SGD":"Eastspring Investments - Asian Low Volatility Equity Fund ASDM SGD-H","LU0072462343.USD":"贝莱德亚洲巨龙基金","SG9999002414.USD":"LIONGLOBAL SINGAPORE TRUST (USD) ACC","SG9999013478.USD":"利安新加坡股息基金","IE0032834883.USD":"FSSA ASIAN EQUITY PLUS \"I\" (USD) INC","SG9999004360.SGD":"Nikko AM Shenton Thrift Fund SGD","SG9999000327.SGD":"Schroder Asian Growth A Dis SGD","ES3.SI":"STI ETF","SG9999001903.USD":"Aberdeen Standard Pacific Equity USD","SG9999013460.SGD":"LionGlobal Singapore Dividend Equity Fund SGD","SG9999006266.SGD":"MANULIFE SINGAPORE EQUITY \"A\" (SGD) ACC","IE00B067MR52.USD":"FSSA ASIAN EQUITY PLUS \"I\" (USD) ACC","SG9999000343.SGD":"Schroder Singapore Trust A Dis SGD"},"translate_title":"政策转变和市场动态推动交易活动","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":null,"symbols_score_info":{"03033":0.9,"STI.SI":0.9,"HST.SI":0.9,"CFA.SI":0.9,"03032":0.9,"ES3.SI":0.81,"CHAU":0.8,"CWEB":0.8,"ASHR":0.8,"KWEB":0.8,"DRAG":0.7},"content_text":"Since late August, institutional investors net bought S$1.4 billion in Singapore stocks, marking a significant turnaround from the S$1.3 billion net outflow earlier in the year. The 10 stocks with the most net institutional inflow included the STI banks and Singtel, averaging 5.2% total returns, while the remaining six stocks averaged 14.9% total returns. Over the past six weeks, major market expectations for 2024 were realised with policy rate cuts by the Fed and PBOC, more resilient ASEAN GDP and strong electronics demand tipping Singapore IP into a 1.7% YTD expansion. These have helped push the STI to a 17-year high, with the Index book valuation much less stretched than Oct 2007 levels.  On 9 Oct, Singapore’s Structured Warrants market saw its highest trading turnover since Jan 2019, driven by significant moves in the Hang Seng Index-tracking markets, while the 20 most traded Singapore stocks with significant Greater China revenue have averaged 22% total returns since Sep 20, paralleling the FTSE China A50 & CSI 300.  Institutional investors have been aggressive net buyers of Singapore stocks since end of August, with the inflows coinciding with various catalysts to re-price local equities. Going back to the most recent MSCI rebalance which took effect on Aug 30, institutional investors have since net bought S$1.43 billion in Singapore stocks, reversing the S$1.30 billion of net outflow in the 2024 year through to Aug 29. The 10 local stocks that led the S$1.43 billion of net institutional inflow from the open of Aug 30 to the close of Oct 9 are tabled below. The 10 stocks include the four largest Singapore stocks by market capitalisation, the trio of banks and Singtel, which averaged 5.2% total returns over the period, paralleling the STI’s 5.7% total return. The remaining six stocks averaged  14.9% total returns over the period. 10 Stocks with Most Net Insti Inflow from 30 Aug to 9 OctCodeMkt Cap S$MTR % 29 Aug - 9 OctNIF S$M 30 Aug - 9 OctNIF 30 Aug - 9 Oct / Mkt Cap ADT S$M YTDTR % YTDNIF S$M YTDSectorDBSD05110,3548.3485.70.4%158.3233.774.2Financial ServicesSeatrium Ltd5E26,92840.7179.62.6%61.07-13.6-22.1IndustrialsSingtelZ7452,5135.3153.00.3%96.3332.2800.3TelecommunicationsSembcorp IndU969,83816.7110.31.1%17.776.764.6UtilitiesOCBC BankO3967,7854.4103.20.2%78.8523.2256.7Financial ServicesKeppelBN411,7407.492.60.8%25.00-3.1-10.7IndustrialsSGXS6812,4327.887.00.7%20.9520.3240.0Financial ServicesMapletree PanAsia Com TrN2IU7,7348.182.21.1%23.24-1.5-68.2REITsUOBU1153,3922.861.00.1%84.2518.8498.5Financial ServicesGenting SingG1310,5038.756.40.5%26.56-8.8-138.4Consumer CyclicalsNote YZJ Shipbldg, CapLand Ascendas REIT, Frasers Cpt Tr, Venture and ThaiBev booked the most net institutional outflow over the 6 weeks.TR refers to total Return, ADT refers to Average Daily Trading Turnover; NIF refers to Net Institutional Inflow, NRF refers to Net Retail Flow All Data as of 9 Oct 2024. Source: SGX & Refinitiv. The past six weeks have brought to fruition many of the market expectations for 2024. The US Federal Reserve reduced the Fed Funds Rate by 50bps on Sep 18, the PBOC reduced its main policy rate by 20bps on Sep 24 while also announcing significant housing and capital market reforms, as key ASEAN GDP gauges either maintained rebound traction or accelerated. In Singapore, the month of Sep saw strong electronics demand in both the Aug IP and NODX reports, enough to tip the former into expansion territory for the first 8 months of 2024 at 1.7%, following the 4.3% contraction in 2023.  Market risks have also increased with the tensions in the Middle East impacting energy prices and further propelling the price of Gold and SDPR Gold Shares ETF to recent all-time highs.The economic developments and recent fund flows have culminated with the STI returning to 17-year highs, in addition to a surge in trading activity, spurring increased participation across various security products listed for trading on Singapore Exchange. Maintaining the local and regional economic momentum, and renewed growth and trade opportunities from supportive policies in the US, China, and Europe, is crucial for the outlook of Singapore stocks in 2025. While the STI has been recently consolidating near the 17-year highs, the Index book valuation is at present half the stretched levels it saw back when the 3,906 all-time high was formed in Oct 2007. Ahead of the 3Q24 earnings the 12M Consensus Estimate Target Price on the STI sits at 3,864. ETF AUM Up 7% in 2H24While the two STI ETFs have delivered investors 6.4% annualised total returns since the end of 2019, it is other ETFs that have so far driven combined SGX-listed ETF AUM 7% higher in 2H24. The five ETFs that have contributed the most to this AUM growth included SPDR Gold Shares (O87, GSD), Lion-Phillip S-REIT ETF (CLR), Lion-OCBC Securities Hang Seng TECH ETF (HST), iShares MSCI Asia ex Japan Climate Action ETF (ICM) and CSOP CGS-CIMB FTSE Asia Pacific Low Carbon Index ETF (LCS). This has coincided with the Lion Global-OCBC Hang Seng Tech ETF and A-share ETFs producing record trading volumes, in addition to the SPDR Gold Shares ETF daily turnover levels this month at 6-month highs.The 10 ETFs, with the highest absolute increases in AUM since June 30 are tabled below, along with 2H24 and YTD total returns as of Oct 9.Top 10 ETFs by AUM Growth in 2H24SGD CodeUSD CodeAUM9-Oct S$MAUM Growth S$MAUM Growth %2H24 Total Returns %YTD Total  Returns %  SPDR® Gold SharesGSDO871,619 209 15%8.2       25.1   Lion-Phillip S-REIT ETFCLR 514 150 41%     16.6          3.2   Lion-OCBC Securities Hang Seng TECH ETFHSTHSS411 94 30%     24.8       22.2   iShares MSCI Asia ex Japan Climate Action ETFICMICU709 78 12%       6.5       16.9   CSOP CGS-CIMB FTSE Asia Pacific Low Carbon Index ETFLCSLCU98 67 218%       1.1       14.9   SPDR® Straits Times Index ETF ES3 1,593 62 4%     10.0       15.8   ABF Singapore Bond Index FundA35 1,049 51 5%       3.6          2.5   NikkoAM-StraitsTrading Asia ex Japan REIT ETFCFACOI372 44 13%     13.8          1.5   Nikko AM Singapore STI ETFG3B 794 39 5%       9.7       15.6   CSOP iEdge Southeast Asia+ TECH Index ETFSQQSQU142 34 32%       8.4       16.4   Source: SGX, 9 Oct 2024Significant Repricing Expands China Market Trading Ranges and OpportunitiesThe slate of accommodative monetary policy measures and reforms announced in China since Sep 20 have propelled the CSI 300 by 24%, the FTSE China A50 Index by 20% and Hang Seng Index by 13% through to Oct 9. The significant repricing, has provided larger trading ranges which in turn having provided wider fields for risk and return. On Oct 9, Singapore’s Structured Warrants market saw its highest trading turnover since Jan 2019. The most traded Structured Warrant and Daily Leverage Certificate both tracked the Hang Seng Index which was subject to a 6% trading range, following a 9% trading range in the preceding trading session. While still out of the money, the change in delta over the two sessions saw the HSI 18,200 Put Warrant with a Dec 30 2024 expiry (YWVW) price climb from 3.4 cents to 9.5 cents, while the Hang Seng Index declined 11% to 20,637. Aside from the recent heavy trading in the SGX FTSE China A50 Index Futures, open interest reached another all-time high on Oct 8, with the notional value of the 1.26 million lots at US$18.4 billion. The contract also booked its highest largest single day volume for the non-roll period. SGX CNH futures in the meantime saw much of their increased participation in late Sep which naturally coincided with the bout of volatility in the USD/CNH. The 20 most traded Singapore stocks that reported at least half their revenue to Greater China in the last FY have averaged 22% total returns since Sep 20, taking their average total return for the 2024 year to Oct 9, to 13%. As detailed in the table below, reactions to the 20 stocks have been mixed, with 17 gainers, one stock unchanged and two decliners. 20 most traded Singapore stocks that reported at least half their revenue to Greater China in the last FYCodeMkt Cap S$MTR % 20 Sep - 9 OctADT S$M YTDTR % YTDNIF S$M YTDP/B (x)5-yr avg  P/B (x)SectorWilmar IntlF3420,7265.717.08-2.1-62.60.801.01Consumer Non-CyclicalsHongkongLand USDH7811,62611.310.5022.625.00.290.29Real Estate (excl. REITs)NanofilmMZH5543.03.56-6.2-20.01.475.13Technology CapLand China TAU8U1,3989.32.57-4.1-49.10.660.74REITsGeo Energy ResRE440713.72.51-14.20.60.710.91Energy/ Oil & GasDFIRG USDD013,90716.62.30-4.9-14.43.174.19Consumer Non-CyclicalsYZJ Fin HldgYF81,42317.42.2633.226.90.360.33Financial ServicesYanlord LandZ251,36278.51.9021.6-15.30.220.30Real Estate (excl. REITs)NIO Inc. USD OVNIO15,28313.21.58-36.0-10.05.495.24Consumer CyclicalsHPH Trust USDNS8U1,76524.71.0817.1-6.50.420.47IndustrialsSasseur REITCRPU8975.90.5512.4-9.20.850.86REITsChina AviationG927967.60.4911.8-0.90.640.68IndustrialsTJ DaRenTang USDT144,28216.50.3822.78.61.530.82HealthcareISDNI071391.60.30-15.4-1.60.681.04Technology Jiutian ChemicalC8R6841.70.1830.8-2.00.540.83Materials & ResourcesTC AutoVI236-15.30.14-44.5-0.81.612.08Consumer CyclicalsHong Leong AsiaH22610-4.10.1239.81.60.640.58Consumer CyclicalsNippecraftN32160.00.110.00.00.410.41Materials & ResourcesYing Li Intl5DM125172.20.09145.0-0.80.360.28Real Estate (excl. REITs)China EverbrightU9E74413.00.0738.5-0.30.350.39UtilitiesNote YZJ Shipbldg, CapLand Ascendas REIT, Frasers Cpt Tr, Venture and ThaiBev booked the most net institutional outflow over the 6 weeks TR refers to total Return, ADT refers to Average Daily Trading Turnover; NIF refers to Net Institutional Inflow, NRF refers to Net Retail Flow All Data as of 9 Oct 2024. Source: SGX & RefinitivThe five most traded stocks in the table above that report all their revenue or income to China include CapitaLand China Trust, Nio Sasseur REIT and Tianjin Pharmaceutical Da Ren Tang Group Corporation. Note that Yangzijiang Shipbuilding is exclude form the table as the Group generates much international revenue, with the share price of the stock taking recent cues from the USD/CNY.  Enjoying this read?Subscribe now to our SGX My Gateway newsletter for a compilation of latest market news, sector performances, new product release updates, and research reports on SGX-listed companies.Stay up-to-date with our SGX Invest Telegram channel.","kind":null,"is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":false,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"1","news_tag":"Policy And Regulatory,Economic Data","news_rank":0,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":0},"commentList":[],"isCommentEnd":true,"newsSizeData":{"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false},"APP":{"userAgent":"Mozilla/5.0 AppleWebKit/537.36 (KHTML, like Gecko; compatible; ClaudeBot/1.0; +claudebot@anthropic.com)","isDev":false,"isTTM":true,"deviceId":"web-server-community-laohu8-v3","version":"4.29.2","shortVersion":"4.29.2","platform":"web","vendor":"web","appName":"ttm","isIOS":false,"isAndroid":false,"isTiger":false,"isTHS":false,"isWeiXin":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"isWeiBo":false,"isQQ":false,"isBaiduSwan":false,"isBaiduBox":false,"isDingTalk":false,"isToutiao":false,"isOnePlus":false,"isHuaWei":false,"isXiaomi":false,"isXiaomiWebView":false,"isOppo":false,"isVivo":false,"isSamsung":false,"isMobile":false},"href":"/m/news/2474799566"}