It's Election Day! Here's What Investors Can Expect From the Stock Market and How They Might Take Advantage Once the Winner Is Announced.

Motley Fool11-05 21:14

The market's immediate reaction to new presidents has been mixed. It looks like some sectors will benefit if former President Donald Trump wins, and others if Vice President Kamala Harris wins....

Source Link

Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

Comments

We need your insight to fill this gap

Leave a comment

{"i18n":{"language":"en_US"},"isChannel":false,"data":{"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2481072465?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","thumbnail":"https://g.foolcdn.com/image/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fg.foolcdn.com%2Feditorial%2Fimages%2F796068%2Fpolitical-podium.jpg&op=resize&w=165&h=104","is_english":true,"pubTime":"2024-11-05 21:14","share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","id":"2481072465","market":"us","top_or_hot":-1,"title":"It's Election Day! Here's What Investors Can Expect From the Stock Market and How They Might Take Advantage Once the Winner Is Announced.","media":"Motley Fool","content":"<div>\n<p>The market's immediate reaction to new presidents has been mixed.\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\nIt looks like some sectors will benefit if former President Donald Trump wins, and others if Vice President Kamala Harris wins....</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2024/11/05/its-election-day-heres-what-investors-can-expect-f/\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"fool_stock","html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>It's Election Day! Here's What Investors Can Expect From the Stock Market and How They Might Take Advantage Once the Winner Is Announced.</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIt's Election Day! Here's What Investors Can Expect From the Stock Market and How They Might Take Advantage Once the Winner Is Announced.\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2024-11-05 21:14 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2024/11/05/its-election-day-heres-what-investors-can-expect-f/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>The market's immediate reaction to new presidents has been mixed.\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\nIt looks like some sectors will benefit if former President Donald Trump wins, and others if Vice President Kamala Harris wins....</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2024/11/05/its-election-day-heres-what-investors-can-expect-f/\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","isBrief":false,"type":0,"news_type":1,"symbol":"BK4585","symbol_name":"ETF&股票定投概念","start_time":0,"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2024/11/05/its-election-day-heres-what-investors-can-expect-f/","article_id":"2481072465","we_media_id":null,"thumbnails":["https://g.foolcdn.com/image/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fg.foolcdn.com%2Feditorial%2Fimages%2F796068%2Fpolitical-podium.jpg&op=resize&w=165&h=104"],"rights":null,"url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2481072465","pubTimestamp":1730812440,"sourceInfo":{"source_id":"fool_stock","name":"Motley Fool"},"weMediaInfo":null,"summary":"How has the market historically performed on Election Day and after?","collect":0,"end_time":0,"defaultTopTitle":"fool.com","property":[],"viewcount":null,"language":"en","relate_stocks":{"BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","VOO":"Vanguard标普500ETF","SDS":"两倍做空标普500ETF","BK4211":"区域性银行","UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF","SPY":"标普500ETF","BK4559":"巴菲特持仓","BK4588":"碎股","IVV":"标普500指数ETF","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF","OEX":"标普100",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SH":"标普500反向ETF","SSO":"两倍做多标普500ETF","BK4581":"高盛持仓","BK4504":"桥水持仓","ISBC":"投资者银行","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares"},"translate_title":"今天是选举日！以下是投资者对股市的预期，以及一旦宣布获胜者，他们可能如何利用这一点。","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":null,"symbols_score_info":{"ISBC":1,"VOO":0.9,"SPY":0.9,"OEF":0.6,".SPX":0.6,"UPRO":0.6,"SSO":0.6,"SPXU":0.6,"SH":0.6,"SDS":0.6,"OEX":0.6,"IVV":0.6,"ESmain":0.6},"content_text":"The market's immediate reaction to new presidents has been mixed.\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\nIt looks like some sectors will benefit if former President Donald Trump wins, and others if Vice President Kamala Harris wins.\n\nWell, we finally made it. After a switch in who the Democratic party planned to nominate, numerous controversies, and close to $16 billion in estimated campaign spending, voters who haven't yet cast their ballots today head to the polls for the last time in the 2024 election cycle to choose between Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump. Voters will also be casting ballots for congressional candidates as Democrats and Republicans wrestle for control of the U.S. Senate and House of Representatives. According to pollsters, Republicans are favored to take the Senate while the House is still a toss-up.With a look back at history, here's some insight into what investors can expect from the stock market and how they can position their portfolios once the winning candidate is announced.How the stock market has performed on Election Day and the day afterThere is always much anticipation leading up to Election Day because investors are trying to figure out what policies and laws certain candidates will push and how those could impact certain sectors and even individual stocks. Control of Congress is also a big deal. Here's how the broader benchmark S&P 500 has performed on Election Day, dating back to 2000.Nov. 7, 2000: -0.02%Nov. 2, 2004: 0.00%Nov. 4, 2008: 4.08%Nov. 6, 2012: 0.79%Nov. 8, 2016: 0.38%Nov. 3, 2020: 1.78%Here's how the S&P 500 has performed on the day after Election Day, dating back to 2000.Nov. 8, 2000: -1.58%Nov. 3, 2004: 1.12%Nov. 5, 2008: -5.27%Nov. 7, 2012: -2.37%Nov. 9, 2016: 1.11%Nov. 4, 2020: 2.20%While one day's performance means almost nothing to investors and there's no way to know what will actually happen, there are a few interesting things from this data. The largest gain on Election Day occurred when former President Barack Obama was elected in 2008. The S&P 500 gained more than 4% on Election Day that year, but then fell more than 5% the day after.Obama inherited significant challenges including the housing crisis and the Great Recession. Investors were apparently initially relieved to see uncertainty from the election removed, but quickly grew concerned about how Obama would shape the economy.The highest back-to-back gains for the S&P 500 in this list occurred after President Joe Biden was elected in 2020. Investors expected Biden to implement more stimulus, which they rightly thought would fuel more stock buying and other policies that would reopen the economy during the early days of the pandemic.Given how tight the race is between Trump and Harris, it is possible that investors won't know the final results -- or even the likely winner -- on election night. This occurred in the hotly contested presidential election in 2000 between George W. Bush and Al Gore. The race was so close that it took a month before a winner was determined and involved a recount. The Supreme Court ultimately ended the recount on Dec. 12 with a 5-4 vote in favor of Bush. The S&P 500 fell roughly 4.25% between Election Day and Dec. 12, which can't be a huge surprise given the uncertainty.Once a winner is announced...I'm not convinced the market will immediately perform better or worse under Trump or Harris, as both have pros and cons. Trump is expected to be friendlier on tax policy but also worse for inflation. Trump has promised to issue tariffs on Chinese goods that the market struggled with previously.Harris is expected to be better for inflation, although still inflationary, and introduce policies that could benefit low- and middle-class consumers. Consumer spending is the biggest part of the U.S. economy, so this would help overall. However, there is still a lot unknown about Harris and her policies, which could keep Wall Street on edge.Ultimately, I would look at crypto and bank stocks if Trump wins because a Trump administration is expected to be more favorable on crypto and bank regulation. Gary Gensler, chair of the Securities and Exchange Commission, has been tough on crypto. At the same time, banking regulators have extended approval timelines for banker mergers and acquisitions and generally proposed higher capital rules, contributing to a lack of interest in the sector in recent years. Harris' policies are expected to favor homebuilders and electric vehicles. However, as billionaire investor Ken Griffin pointed out, the market may perform better regardless of who wins because there will be less uncertainty and investors will simply adapt.","kind":null,"is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":false,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"0","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":0},"commentList":[],"isCommentEnd":true,"newsSizeData":{"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false},"APP":{"userAgent":"Mozilla/5.0 AppleWebKit/537.36 (KHTML, like Gecko; compatible; ClaudeBot/1.0; +claudebot@anthropic.com)","isDev":false,"isTTM":true,"deviceId":"web-server-community-laohu8-v3","version":"4.29.1","shortVersion":"4.29.1","platform":"web","vendor":"web","appName":"ttm","isIOS":false,"isAndroid":false,"isTiger":false,"isTHS":false,"isWeiXin":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"isWeiBo":false,"isQQ":false,"isBaiduSwan":false,"isBaiduBox":false,"isDingTalk":false,"isToutiao":false,"isOnePlus":false,"isHuaWei":false,"isXiaomi":false,"isXiaomiWebView":false,"isOppo":false,"isVivo":false,"isSamsung":false,"isMobile":false},"href":"/m/news/2481072465"}