3 Reasons Sirius XM Stock Can Bounce Back in 2025

Motley Fool11-12 21:05

Sirius XM is going through some growth challenges, but it's too cheap to ignore. Satellite radio was ready to benefit no matter who won last week's presidential election. Berkshire ...

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Next year should be a lot better.","collect":0,"end_time":0,"defaultTopTitle":"fool.com","property":[],"viewcount":null,"language":"en","relate_stocks":{"LU0787776722.HKD":"AB SELECT US EQUITY PORTFOLIO \"A\" (HKD) ACC","LU0971096721.USD":"富达环球金融服务 A","BRK.A":"伯克希尔","LU1074936037.SGD":"JPMorgan Funds - US Value A (acc) SGD","LU0149725797.USD":"汇丰美国股市经济规模基金","LU0251131958.USD":"FIDELITY AMERICA \"A\" (USD) ACC","IE0034235303.USD":"PINEBRIDGE US RESEARCH ENHANCED CORE EQUITY \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU0154236417.USD":"BGF US FLEXIBLE EQUITY \"A2\" ACC","BK4581":"高盛持仓","BRK.B":"伯克希尔B","LU0256863811.USD":"ALLIANZ US EQUITY \"A\" INC","SIRI":"Sirius XM Holdings Inc.","LU1571399168.USD":"ALLSPRING GLOBAL LONG/SHORT EQUITY \"IP\" (USD) ACC","LU1201861249.SGD":"Natixis Harris Associates US Equity PA SGD-H","LU0742534661.SGD":"Fidelity America A-SGD (hedged)","LU1093756168.USD":"FRANKLIN K2 ALTERNATIVE STRATEGIES \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU0648001328.SGD":"Natixis Harris Associates US Equity RA SGD","LU0980610538.SGD":"Natixis Harris Associates US Equity RA SGD-H","IE00B775SV38.USD":"NEUBERGER BERMAN US MULTICAP OPPORTUNITIES \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU0234570918.USD":"高盛全球核心股票组合Acc Close","IE00B3S45H60.SGD":"Neuberger Berman US Multicap Opportunities A Acc SGD-H","BK4176":"多领域控股","LU0417517546.SGD":"Allianz US Equity Cl AT Acc SGD","LU0048573561.USD":"FIDELITY AMERICA \"A\" (USD) INC","LU0053666078.USD":"摩根大通基金-美国股票A（离岸）美元","BK4023":"应用软件","XM":"Qualtrics International","LU1093756325.SGD":"FTIF - Franklin K2 Alt Strat Fd A (acc) SGD-H1","IE00B1XK9C88.USD":"PINEBRIDGE US LARGE CAP RESEARCH ENHANCED \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU0640476718.USD":"THREADNEEDLE (LUX) US CONTRARIAN CORE EQ \"AU\" (USD) ACC","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","LU1280957306.USD":"THREADNEEDLE (LUX) US CONTRARIAN CORE EQUITIES \"AUP\" (USD) INC","LU1169590202.USD":"ALLSPRING (LUX)  U.S. SELECT EQUITY \"I\" (USD) ACC","LU1914381329.SGD":"Allianz Best Styles Global Equity Cl ET Acc H2-SGD","IE00BKDWB100.SGD":"PINEBRIDGE US LARGE CAP RESEARCH ENHANCED \"A5H\" (SGDHDG) ACC","BK4533":"AQR资本管理(全球第二大对冲基金)","IE00B1BXHZ80.USD":"Legg Mason ClearBridge - US Appreciation A Acc USD","BK4100":"有线和卫星","LU0234572021.USD":"高盛美国核心股票组合Acc","LU0170899867.USD":"EASTSPRING INVESTMENTS WORLD VALUE EQUITY  \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU0251142724.SGD":"Fidelity America A-SGD","BK4559":"巴菲特持仓","IE00BWXC8680.SGD":"PINEBRIDGE US LARGE CAP RESEARCH ENHANCED \"A5\" (SGD) ACC","IE00BK4W5M84.HKD":"HSBC GLOBAL FUNDS ICAV US EQUITY INDEX \"HC\" (HKD) ACC","LU0130102774.USD":"Natixis Harris Associates US Equity RA USD","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","BK4588":"碎股","LU0683600562.USD":"AB SELECT US EQUITY \"A\" (USD) ACC","IE000M9KFDE8.USD":"NEUBERGER BERMAN US LARGE CAP VALUE \"A\" (USD) ACC"},"translate_title":"Sirius XM股票能够在2025年反弹的3个原因","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":null,"symbols_score_info":{"XM":1,"SIRI":1,"BRK.A":1,"BRK.B":0.9},"content_text":"Sirius XM is going through some growth challenges, but it's too cheap to ignore. \n\n\n\n\n\n\n\nSatellite radio was ready to benefit no matter who won last week's presidential election.\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\nBerkshire Hathaway now owns 32% of Sirius XM. There are things far worse than having Warren Buffett on your side.\n\nIt's been a rough year for Sirius XM Holdings (SIRI 5.01%) investors. Shares of the satellite radio operator have been cut in half this year, making it one of this year's worst mid-cap investments.A lot has gone wrong for the country's satellite radio monopoly in 2024. Its subscriber base is shrinking, and a tracking stock conversion and subsequent reverse split did not go well. But things should get better from here. Let's go over some of the reasons one of this year's biggest laggards can be a market leader in 2025.1. The stock is cheapA rallying market has sent valuation multiples higher for most stocks in 2024, so let's look at the bright side of Sirius XM's shift into reverse this year.Sirius XM is still a moneymaking machine. It expects to generate $2.7 billion in adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) on $8.675 billion this year. It should be another year of 10-figure free cash flow.Sirius XM is facing some challenges in wooing new listeners. However, value investors should hear this: Sirius XM is cheap. Analyst estimates are inching lower, but the stock is trading for just nine times forward earnings. Income investors can enjoy a 3.9% yield from a company that has raised its payout for eight consecutive years.Some stocks with single-digit profit multiples are value traps, but Sirius XM has proved resilient over the years. It still entertains 33.2 million subscribers, and its audience is more loyal to the platform than you might think. Monthly churn of 1.6% is near a historical low. Its balance sheet continues to improve, and it's been aggressively buying back its stock for a dozen years. It's a rare bargain just waiting for value stocks to come back in style.Image source: Getty Images.2. Sirius XM can roll with the political changesSirius XM was well positioned to win no matter who came out ahead of the U.S. presidential election last week. If Vice President Kamala Harris would've won, Sirius XM would've been able to make the most of Harris' plans to expand the child tax credit, forgive more student loan debt, and roll out a hefty tax break for first-time homebuyers. These are moves that would have put more money in the pocketbook of younger adults that Sirius XM needs to appeal to in order to get growing again. Anything that expands the middle class widens the addressable market for Sirius XM.It's still going to fare well under President Trump's proposals. Trump's plan to reduce corporate tax rates should boost after-tax earnings. With Harris having hoped to raise the corporate buyback tax from 1% to 4%, Trump's arrival means that one of the market's most various buyers of its own stock will keep nibbling away. Sirius XM has reduced its outstanding shares by nearly 45% over the past 12 years. Trump has proposed tax breaks for groups including tip earners, family caregivers, and auto loan interest payers. Anything that gives consumers a break -- particularly car owners -- should make it easier to reverse its subscriber losses in 2025.3. Warren Buffett is getting serious about SiriusSirius XM is one of the dozens of investments in Berkshire Hathaway's (BRK.A) (BRK.B 0.85%) stock portfolio. He owned shares of the satellite radio provider as well as the Liberty Sirius XM Group tracking shares ahead of its September conversion.When Sirius XM took a hit following the closing of the tracking share transaction and the unpopular 1-for-10 reverse split, Buffett bought the dip. Berkshire Hathaway increased its position last month and now owns nearly a third of Sirius XM's shares outstanding.The media stock isn't perfect, but it's not half the company it was at the beginning of this year. With a cheap valuation, political tailwinds, and a generational investor in its corner, Sirius XM could be the ultimate comeback stock of 2025.","kind":null,"is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":false,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"1","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":0},"commentList":[],"isCommentEnd":true,"newsSizeData":{"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false},"APP":{"userAgent":"Mozilla/5.0 AppleWebKit/537.36 (KHTML, like Gecko; compatible; ClaudeBot/1.0; +claudebot@anthropic.com)","isDev":false,"isTTM":true,"deviceId":"web-server-community-laohu8-v3","version":"4.29.1","shortVersion":"4.29.1","platform":"web","vendor":"web","appName":"ttm","isIOS":false,"isAndroid":false,"isTiger":false,"isTHS":false,"isWeiXin":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"isWeiBo":false,"isQQ":false,"isBaiduSwan":false,"isBaiduBox":false,"isDingTalk":false,"isToutiao":false,"isOnePlus":false,"isHuaWei":false,"isXiaomi":false,"isXiaomiWebView":false,"isOppo":false,"isVivo":false,"isSamsung":false,"isMobile":false},"href":"/m/news/2482700015"}