Nvidia Stock Rises. How a 'Transitional Quarter' Could Be a Problem. -- Barrons.com

Dow Jones11-13 06:02

By Adam Clark

Nvidia stock gained Tuesday and snapped a two-day losing streak.

Nvidia shares were up 2.1% at $148.29 at the close. The stock fell 1.6% on Monday, extending a slide that began on Friday after the stock rallied to record highs on Thursday.

The next test for the stock is the company's quarterly earnings report on Nov. 20. Nvidia is expected to post adjusted earnings of 70 cents a share on revenue of $32.96 billion for the October quarter, according to FactSet.

Morgan Stanley analyst Joe Moore kept an Overweight rating and $160 price target on Nvidia stock heading into the earnings announcement. However, he noted that a limited supply of its chips could make it more difficult to deliver the kind of earnings and guidance the market has become used to.

"Something of a transitional quarter, and thus not a major catalyst for the stock, but...remains Overweight/Top Pick given expectations that the Blackwell cycle will continue to drive meaningful upside through 2H [the second half]," Moore wrote in a research note.

The Morgan Stanley analyst expects Nvidia to signal revenue from its next-generation Blackwell chips of around $5 billion to $6 billion for the January quarter.

While the launch of Blackwell is expected to help maintain Nvidia's dominance in the AI chip market, rivals are also ramping up their efforts. Amazon.com is ready to make its Trainium 2 chips widely available next month, according to the Financial Times, citing interviews with company executives.

Among other chip makers, Advanced Micro Devices was down 2.5% and Broadcom was down 1.5%.

Write to Adam Clark at adam.clark@barrons.com

This content was created by Barron's, which is operated by Dow Jones & Co. Barron's is published independently from Dow Jones Newswires and The Wall Street Journal.

 

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November 12, 2024 17:02 ET (22:02 GMT)

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