Upcoming Nasdaq-100 Changes Could Boost the Stocks of These 11 Companies

Dow Jones12-13
  • There are also a bunch of companies that may be removed from the Nasdaq-100 as part of its reconstitution before the end of the year

Nasdaq is expected to announce changes to the Nasdaq-100 Index on Friday, which could be about more than just prestige for the companies that earn entry.

The reconstitution can be an important development for certain companies and their shareholders, because large funds that track the index will buy the newly added stocks. Those funds will also sell shares of companies that exit the index.

The Nasdaq-100 Index NDX is made up of the largest 100 nonfinancial companies in the full Nasdaq Composite Index COMP, which itself has 3,284 components. The index is reconstituted annually and rebalanced quarterly to weight the components by market capitalization, subject to limits described here.

When the index is reconstituted each December, it is weighted by the companies' Nov. 30 combined market capitalization for all of their eligible common-share classes. In recent years, the announcement has come on the second Friday of December, with the changes taking hold later in the month.

The largest exchange-traded fund tracking the Nasdaq-100 is the $322 billion Invesco QQQ Trust QQQ. While Alphabet Inc. is one component of the Nasdaq-100, QQQ holds both the company's Class A $(GOOGL)$ and Class C $(GOOG)$ shares, which together make up 5.1% of the ETF's portfolio.

In case you are wondering, QQQ has returned 30% for 2024 through Wednesday, just ahead of a 29.2% return for the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust SPY. Total returns in this article include reinvested dividends.

To see which companies might be added to the Nasdaq-100 Index or removed from it for this year's reconstitution, we looked at combined market capitalizations for all publicly traded common share classes for the entire Nasdaq Composite Index as of Nov. 30, as calculated by FactSet. Then we removed companies in financial-services industries and sorted the remaining list by market cap.

Among the largest 100 nonfinancial companies in the full Nasdaq Composite Index, these 11 aren't currently in the Nasdaq-100 Index. They are sorted by Nov. 30 market cap:

Palantir Technologies (PLTR) tops the list with a market cap of $146 billion after its shares have more than quadrupled this year. The company is newly eligible for the Nasdaq-100 as it switched over to the Nasdaq from the New York Stock Exchange toward the end of November. At the time it announced the planned switch of its exchange, Palantir said it anticipated Nasdaq-100 inclusion, and shares popped.

The company ranks second on this list of software companies in the S&P 500 expected to show the largest sales increases in 2025, with Axon Enterprise $(AXON)$, also listed above, taking the first spot.

Axon also leads this list of analysts' favorite stocks among the S&P 500.

Hot cryptocurrency play MicroStrategy Inc. $(MSTR)$ also meets the market-cap threshold. It's the fourth-largest non-financial company trading on the Nasdaq that's not in the index. MicroStrategy's stock has risen 551% so far this year, as bitcoin prices have surged and as the company, which is nominally a software vendor, has stepped up its holdings of the crypto asset.

So which companies might be removed from the index?

Among the current components of the Nasdaq-100, these 11 companies aren't within the top 100 nonfinancial companies in the full Nasdaq Composite Index by Nov. 30 market capitalization, and are therefore candidates to be taken out of the index. This time the list is sorted by smallest to largest market cap:

Shares of Super Micro Computer $(SMCI)$ are up significantly for 2024. However, the stock was actually down 68% from its March 13 closing high of $118.81 through Thursday's close at $38.29. The company has said its accounting problems haven't resulted from misconduct by management, but analysts still have their doubts:

Super Micro's stock still faces accounting overhang despite delisting reprieve

Super Micro executives sound upbeat - but the stock is still a sell, analyst says

Moderna Inc. $(MRNA)$, the smallest company on the above list, is a pandemic darling that's seen a fall from grace for its stock as demand for COVID-19 vaccines has trailed off. Shares have more than halved over the course of 2024 to date.

Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

Comments

We need your insight to fill this gap
Leave a comment