Johnson Controls International (JCI) is expected to deliver largely inline fiscal Q1 results as it continues to execute its strategy well following a "good" fiscal Q4, UBS Securities said in a note sent Friday.
The firm expects fiscal Q1 earnings per share, which matches consensus and is within the company's guidance of between $0.57 and $0.60.
"We expect backlog to continue ticking higher sequentially, and we think incremental margins will look very strong, though this reflects an easy comp following a cyber attack that caused meaningful disruption in October of last year," it said.
While "a bigger-than-usual" sequential decline in fiscal Q1 revenue is anticipated, given the large project revenue in the prior quarter, UBS said this has already been calibrated in expectations and guidance.
The firm expects no change to fiscal 2025 forecasts, "though we see expectations migrating to a more back half weighted year than what is currently implied by consensus."
UBS also said the company's ongoing search for a chief executive officer "remains a critical topic when assessing the outlook for shares."
UBS maintained its neutral rating on the stock, with a $90 price target.
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