FX Weakness Opens Door to Extended Rate Pause at Bank Indonesia -- Market Talk

Dow Jones12-20 12:48

0448 GMT - Continued currency pressures could keep Bank Indonesia on a prolonged rate pause, UOB economists say. BI seems unsettled by the depreciation of the rupiah in the face of USD strength fueled by shifting expectations around the Fed's policy, says economist Enrico Tanuwidjaja. BI this week said that it is monitoring rising uncertainty, particularly on potential changes in the U.S. fiscal and economic policies, as well as shifting Fed rate views. BI has been managing the IDR by maintaining supply-demand balance in the FX market to bolster market confidence, UOB notes. Given this uncertainty and likely a long period of USD strength, UOB now expects BI to remain on hold until 2H 2025, with the possibility of two 25bp cuts per quarter, bringing the policy rate to 5.50% by year-end. (fabiana.negrinochoa@wsj.com)

 

(END) Dow Jones Newswires

December 19, 2024 23:48 ET (04:48 GMT)

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