GLOBAL MARKETS-US stocks dip but bonds and the dollar bounce back amid pause in tariff turmoil

Reuters2025-04-16
GLOBAL MARKETS-US stocks dip but bonds and the dollar bounce back amid pause in tariff turmoil 

Updates to afternoon U.S. trading

Wall St stocks dip after Europe, Asia shares rise

US Treasuries, dollar rebound

Trump touts autos tariff modification

Bank of America, Citi and Wells Fargo report strong profits

Oil prices edge down

By Lawrence Delevingne and Samuel Indyk

BOSTON/LONDON, April 15 (Reuters) - Some trade policy relief and strong bank earnings were not enough to keep Wall Street from pushing U.S. stocks down slightly on Tuesday, although U.S. government bonds and the dollar regained some ground after sharp declines last week.

U.S. President Donald Trump on Monday said he was considering a modification to the 25% tariffs imposed on foreign auto and auto parts imports from Mexico, Canada and other places. That followed Friday's move to exempt smartphones, computers and some other electronics from Trump's "reciprocal" tariffs.

The main U.S. stock indexes ticked lower on Tuesday, even as Bank of America BAC.N, Citigroup C.N and Wells Fargo WFC.N gained after the trio of banking giants posted strong profits for the first quarter. The Dow Jones Industrial Average .DJIand the S&P 500 .SPX both dipped about 0.3%, and the Nasdaq Composite .IXIC fell 0.4%.

"The market is eerily calm," investment strategist Louis Navellier wrote in a note Tuesday. "It's a bit unnerving after the rollercoaster ride we've been on since the tariff tantrum began."

Outside the U.S., investors took whatever good news they could get after the recent heavy selling across markets and pushed shares higher. The pan-European STOXX 600 .STOXX index rose 1.6% on Tuesday, led by the autos and parts sector whose gauge .SXAP jumped about 2.3%.

In Asia, MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan .MIAPJ0000PUS gained 1%. Japan's Nikkei .N225 rose 0.8%, with shares of auto companies like Toyota 7203.T and auto parts maker Denso 6902.T among the top gainers.

Analysts remained cautious, however, as uncertainty over Trump's trade policies, and his constant back-and-forth on tariffs, continued to cast a cloud over markets and the global economic outlook.

Darrell Cronk, president of the Wells Fargo Investment Institute, wrote in a note on Tuesday that the "final tariff menu remains unsettled" and will decide if there's a recession or not.

"We should expect volatility to remain high, but last week proved the power of markets to push the administration not to break the financial system," Cronk added. "Hence, we should have a floor for equities and a ceiling for rates."

BOND YIELDS STEADY

U.S. Treasuries added to Monday's gains on Tuesday after a manic selloff last week that led to the largest weekly increase in borrowing costs in decades. Bond yields move inversely to prices.

The benchmark 10-year yield US10YT=RR fell about 4 basis points to 4.325%, having fallen nearly 13 basis points in the previous session.

Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller said on Monday that the Trump administration's tariff policies were a major shock to the U.S. economy that could lead the Fed to cut rates to head off recession even if inflation remained high. Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic, meanwhile, suggested the U.S. central bank should stay on hold until there is more clarity.

Markets are now pricing in about 80 bps worth of monetary policy easing by the end of the year, with most expecting the Fed to hold rates next month. 0#USDIRPR

The dollar gained on Tuesday, but still traded near a three-year low against the euro and a six-month trough against the yen, as investors trying to make sense of the constant changes to tariffs remained wary of U.S. assets. The dollar index =USD, which measures the greenback against a basket of currencies including the yen and the euro, ticked up 0.4% on the day.

"The U.S. exceptionalism narrative that had previously underpinned the surge in U.S. equity markets over the past couple of years, and boosted the dollar, has lost much of its shine," said Jonas Goltermann, deputy chief markets economist at Capital Economics.

Oil prices dipped after the International Energy Agency cut its oil demand forecast, having earlier been boosted by the latest tariff exemptions floated by Trump. U.S. crude CLc1 fell 0.5% to $61.20 a barrel and Brent LCOc1 dropped to $64.56 per barrel, also down 0.5% on the day.

Spot gold XAU= rose 0.5% to near its record high at $3,226 an ounce. GOL/

Dollar's dive https://reut.rs/3FJdcXO

(Reporting by Lawrence Delevingne in Boston, Samuel Indyk in London and Rae Wee in Singapore; Editing by Kim Coghill, Emelia Sithole-Matarise, Susan Fenton and Cynthia Osterman)

((Samuel.Indyk@thomsonreuters.com))

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