<a href="https://laohu8.com/S/JPM">摩根大通</a>上调中国经济增长预测，之前中美达成“意外积极的”的贸易协议
路透伦敦5月12日 - 摩根大通周一上调了对中国经济增长的预测，此前该行称中国与美国达成了一项“意外积极的”协议，以缓和两国的贸易战。
美国将把4月份对中国进口产品加征的关税从145%降至30%，中国对美国进口产品加征的关税将从125%降至10%。新措施有效期为90天。
“临时关税削减的幅度大于预期，”摩根大通的分析师在一份报告中表示。该报告特别指出，将原来对中国征收的34%“对等”关税，替换为所有国家普遍适用的10%“统一”关税，这是一个“意外积极的”调整。
他们估计，只要下调后的新关税税率在今年剩余时间维持不变，中国全年国内生产总值$(GDP)$增长率将达到4.8%，而该行此前预测为4.1%。
他们还补充道：“我们预计（中国）政府不会在今年晚些时候出台进一步的财政刺激措施。”(完)
(编审 母红)
((molly.mu@thomsonreuters.com；))
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