Two Reasons to Buy Apple’s Stock After Its 21% Decline so Far in 2025

Dow Jones05-12

Apple Inc. announced its quarterly financial results after the market close on May 1, and for one week through Thursday its stock was down 7.4%, while the S&P 500 rose 1.1%.

One reason cited for stock’s decline following the earnings report was disappointment that Apple’s board of directors had added $100 billion to the company’s stock-repurchase authorization — down from $110 billion a year earlier.

Mark Hulbert reviewed the history of Apple’s buybacks and determined that the stock has actually performed better during periods of reduced stock repurchases.

Apple’s shares were down 21% for 2025 through Thursday, while the S&P 500 was down 3.3%, both with dividends reinvested.

So Hulbert’s observation and this year’s price decline might support a case for buying Apple’s stock now. But what if you are a long-term investor? Another look at the company’s buyback history can provide some comfort.

According to FactSet’s data going back 40 fiscal quarters, Apple has spent $697.7 billion on stock repurchases over the past 10 years. And the company’s share count (upon which earnings per share are based) has been reduced by 35%.

But the effect on the company’s earnings per share has been greater, which we can illustrate with an example:

  • A company’s profit is $1,000.

  • There are 100 shares.

  • Earnings per share came to $10.

If we reduced the share count by 10%:

  • The company’s profit would still be $1,000.

  • There would be 90 shares.

  • EPS would be $11.11.

  • EPS would have increased 11%.

For Apple, the 35% reduction in the share count has boosted earnings by 54% over the past 10 years, all things being equal. For 10 years through Thursday, Apple’s stock returned 590%, while the S&P 500 returned 220%, both with dividends reinvested.

Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

Comments

We need your insight to fill this gap
Leave a comment