Has Ubiquiti Run Too Far After Soaring Over 100% in 2025?

Simply Wall St.10-24

If you have ever wondered whether it is time to jump on the Ubiquiti train or maybe take some profits, you are not alone. Ubiquiti’s stock has been on a tear over the past year, vaulting up by an eye-...

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Ubiquiti’s stock has been on a tear over the past year, vaulting up by an eye-...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/tech/nyse-ui/ubiquiti/news/has-ubiquiti-run-too-far-after-soaring-over-100-in-2025\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"simplywall_highlight","html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Has Ubiquiti Run Too Far After Soaring Over 100% in 2025?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nHas Ubiquiti Run Too Far After Soaring Over 100% in 2025?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2025-10-24 18:30 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/tech/nyse-ui/ubiquiti/news/has-ubiquiti-run-too-far-after-soaring-over-100-in-2025><strong>Simply Wall St.</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>If you have ever wondered whether it is time to jump on the Ubiquiti train or maybe take some profits, you are not alone. Ubiquiti’s stock has been on a tear over the past year, vaulting up by an eye-...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/tech/nyse-ui/ubiquiti/news/has-ubiquiti-run-too-far-after-soaring-over-100-in-2025\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","isBrief":false,"type":0,"news_type":1,"symbol":"DCF","symbol_name":"Dreyfus Alcentra Global Credit Income 2024 Target Term Fund, Inc","start_time":0,"source_url":"https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/tech/nyse-ui/ubiquiti/news/has-ubiquiti-run-too-far-after-soaring-over-100-in-2025","article_id":"2577051420","we_media_id":null,"thumbnails":["https://images.simplywall.st/asset/industry/8111000-choice2-main-header/1585186811567"],"rights":{"source":"simplywall_highlight","url":"https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/tech/nyse-ui/ubiquiti/news/has-ubiquiti-run-too-far-after-soaring-over-100-in-2025","rn_cache_url":null,"directOrigin":true},"url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2577051420","pubTimestamp":1761301814,"columns":[],"sourceInfo":{"source_id":"simplywall_highlight","name":"Simply Wall St."},"weMediaInfo":null,"summary":"If you have ever wondered whether it is time to jump on the Ubiquiti train or maybe take some profits, you are not alone. Ubiquiti’s stock has been on a tear over the past year, vaulting up by an eye-popping 185.7% in just twelve months, and a jaw-dropping 303.2% over the past five years. Even if you only caught the year-to-date run, you would still be looking at a 112.1% gain. That kind of growth catches investors’ attention for good reason.\nBut let’s not ignore the bumps along the way. The...","collect":0,"end_time":0,"defaultTopTitle":"simplywall.st","property":[],"viewcount":null,"language":"en","relate_stocks":{"DCF":"Dreyfus Alcentra Global Credit Income 2024 Target Term Fund, Inc","UI":"厄比奎蒂","BK4020":"通信设备","BK4532":"文艺复兴科技持仓"},"translate_title":"Ubiquiti在2025年飙升超过100%后是否跑得太远了？","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":null,"symbols_score_info":{"DCF":1,"UI":1},"content_text":"If you have ever wondered whether it is time to jump on the Ubiquiti train or maybe take some profits, you are not alone. Ubiquiti’s stock has been on a tear over the past year, vaulting up by an eye-popping 185.7% in just twelve months, and a jaw-dropping 303.2% over the past five years. Even if you only caught the year-to-date run, you would still be looking at a 112.1% gain. That kind of growth catches investors’ attention for good reason. But let’s not ignore the bumps along the way. The past week saw the stock dip by 5.2%, hinting that sentiment could be shifting, or maybe just taking a breather after its latest surge. Over the last month, though, Ubiquiti is still up a solid 9.0%. These swings do not happen in isolation. Recent developments in the company’s product portfolio and network solutions have kept Ubiquiti in the headlines, making investors reassess its growth prospects and risk profile. With so much movement, what are investors supposed to do now? Determining whether Ubiquiti is undervalued, fairly priced, or heading for a reality check is a major challenge. On the surface, our current valuation checks rate Ubiquiti a 1 out of 6 for being undervalued, suggesting limited immediate bargain potential. Still, numbers do not always tell the full story. Let’s break down the major valuation methods in the sections ahead, and stay tuned, because at the end I will share a smarter way to think about Ubiquiti’s true value. Ubiquiti scores just 1/6 on our valuation checks. See what other red flags we found in the full valuation breakdown. AdvertisementApproach 1: Ubiquiti Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis A Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) model estimates a company's intrinsic value by projecting its future cash flows and discounting them back to today's dollars. The idea is simple: what is the present value of all the cash Ubiquiti will realistically generate for its shareholders in the years ahead? Currently, Ubiquiti reports trailing twelve-month Free Cash Flow of $621.9 million. Analysts expect this figure to grow at a healthy pace, with forecasts indicating $693.1 million by 2026 and projects like $901.2 million by 2030, according to the model's assumptions. It is important to note that after about five years, most of these numbers are extrapolated by Simply Wall St based on current trends rather than direct analyst coverage. As a result, the later projections come with more uncertainty. When applying these projections and discounting them to their present value, the DCF calculation arrives at an estimated intrinsic value of $268.17 per share. Compared with today’s market price, this model suggests Ubiquiti stock is currently trading at a 166.6% premium to its calculated value. In plain English, the stock looks significantly overvalued if we trust these DCF projections. Result: OVERVALUED Head to the Valuation section of our Company Report for more details on how we arrive at this Fair Value for Ubiquiti. UI Discounted Cash Flow as at Oct 2025 Our Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) analysis suggests Ubiquiti may be overvalued by 166.6%. Find undervalued stocks or create your own screener to find better value opportunities. Approach 2: Ubiquiti Price vs Earnings For profitable companies like Ubiquiti, the Price-to-Earnings (PE) ratio is one of the most widely used ways to value a stock. It helps investors quickly compare how the market values a company’s earnings relative to other companies, both in the same sector and more broadly. What counts as a “normal” or “fair” PE ratio depends on more than just profits. High-growth companies or those with less risk often command higher PE multiples, while slower-growing or riskier stocks usually trade at lower ones. For context, Ubiquiti’s current PE ratio is 60.8x. That stands well above both the broader Communications industry average at 30.7x and its peer group average of 73.2x. However, simple comparisons can be misleading. That is why Simply Wall St. calculates a company-specific “Fair Ratio,” which blends factors like Ubiquiti’s growth outlook, profit margins, market cap, risks, and industry norms into a tailored benchmark. This approach provides a more nuanced picture compared to just looking at typical industry multiples. For Ubiquiti, the Fair Ratio is 40.4x, which is noticeably lower than its actual PE of 60.8x. This indicates that, given Ubiquiti’s fundamentals and risk profile, the stock is likely trading at a substantial premium to its fair value. Result: OVERVALUED NYSE:UI PE Ratio as at Oct 2025 PE ratios tell one story, but what if the real opportunity lies elsewhere? Discover companies where insiders are betting big on explosive growth. Upgrade Your Decision Making: Choose your Ubiquiti Narrative Earlier we mentioned that there is an even better way to understand valuation, so let us introduce you to Narratives. A Narrative is your own story and perspective on a company, linking what you believe about its future to actual financial forecasts and an estimated fair value. Instead of just crunching numbers, Narratives connect Ubiquiti’s business outlook, projected revenue, margins, and earnings into a single, cohesive picture that you can easily adjust and understand. Narratives are available for free within the Community page on Simply Wall St, making this approach accessible for any investor. Millions are already using Narratives to compare their fair value estimate with Ubiquiti’s current share price, helping decide when it is the right time to buy or sell. The best part is that these Narratives dynamically update as new news or earnings arrive, ensuring your analysis stays relevant. For example, some Ubiquiti investors see substantial future growth and assign a fair value well above the market price, while others, more cautious, place their estimate much lower. This illustrates how Narratives reflect each person’s unique outlook in real time. Do you think there's more to the story for Ubiquiti? Create your own Narrative to let the Community know! NYSE:UI Community Fair Values as at Oct 2025  This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data\n    and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your\n    financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data.\n    Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.\n    Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.New: AI Stock Screener & AlertsOur new AI Stock Screener scans the market every day to uncover opportunities.• Dividend Powerhouses (3%+ Yield)• Undervalued Small Caps with Insider Buying• High growth Tech and AI CompaniesOr build your own from over 50 metrics.Explore Now for FreeHave feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. 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