Heineken Expected to Report Revenue Decline; Strategy In Focus -- Earnings Preview

Dow Jones10-21

By Aimee Look

 

Heineken is scheduled to report results for the third quarter on Wednesday. Here is what you need to know.

 

SALES FORECAST: The Dutch brewer is expected to report adjusted net revenue of 7.33 billion euros ($8.53 billion) for the quarter compared with 7.68 billion euros for the same period last year, according to consensus estimates compiled by the company. Analysts expect adjusted consolidated net revenue to shrink organically by 0.8%, due to anticipated falls in western Europe and the Americas, while the Africa, Middle East, Eastern Europe, and Asia Pacific regions are expected to grow. Total beer volumes are anticipated to organically fall 4.4% for the quarter, the consensus shows.

 

Shares in Heineken fell 10% over the third quarter, but have gained 3.2% since the beginning of the year through Monday's close.

 

WHAT TO WATCH

 

--PRODUCTIVITY: Heineken is due to hold an event with investors on Thursday where it is expected to give an update on its strategic plans. The company's ability to boost productivity is a key decider for its stock, analysts at Jefferies wrote in a note to clients. Low-hanging fruit in cost management is gone, but there are still further opportunities, they said. Earlier this month, Heineken said it would cut or redesign 400 corporate roles in its Amsterdam headquarters beginning in 2026, as it embarks on a new five-year strategy.

--CHALLENGES: A weak economic backdrop from tariffs and weather in some markets will hit many brewers, and Heineken isn't exempt from this, Morgan Stanley analyst Sarah Simon wrote in a note. There are generally moderation pressures on the alcohol industry, but Heineken will likely have its worst third-quarter volume performance, Simon said. And, the weak figures have less to do with pressures on the beer industry than Heineken itself, which is losing market share, she said. "Pretty much everything that can go wrong for Heineken has gone wrong" during the third quarter, Simon added.

--OUTLOOK: The company has the opportunity to be more consumer-and-product centric instead of on executing sales, according to Jefferies. Heineken's strategy--which aims to combine top-line growth, profitability, greater efficiency and sustainability--is shaping the future of the category, the analysts added.

 

Write to Aimee Look at aimee.look@wsj.com

 

(END) Dow Jones Newswires

October 21, 2025 09:08 ET (13:08 GMT)

Copyright (c) 2025 Dow Jones & Company, Inc.

At the request of the copyright holder, you need to log in to view this content

Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

Comments

We need your insight to fill this gap
Leave a comment