Is PROG Holdings' (PRG) Improved Profit Outlook Offsetting Concerns Over Weaker Revenue Guidance?

Simply Wall St.10-28

PROG Holdings, Inc. recently raised its full-year 2025 earnings guidance, now expecting net earnings from continuing operations between US$124.3 million and US$128.8 million and diluted EPS between US...

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This shift in outlook arrived after the company reported a year-over-year decrease in third quarter sales and net income, highlighting management’s confidence in improved profitability despite weaker recent results. We'll explore how PROG Holdings' raised profit guidance, amid softer quarterly results, may influence its long-term investment narrative and outlook. Trump's oil boom is here - pipelines are primed to profit. Discover the 22 US stocks riding the wave.AdvertisementPROG Holdings Investment Narrative RecapTo be a shareholder in PROG Holdings, you'd need to believe in the company's ability to grow earnings through operational efficiency and increased profitability, even when top-line revenue growth is modest or under pressure. The raised 2025 earnings outlook, despite lowered revenue forecasts, may support confidence in short-term margin improvement. However, persistent weakness in core leasing demand and growing competition in Buy Now, Pay Later remain significant risks and the most important near-term catalyst continues to be any clear rebound in consumer transaction volumes, neither of which are immediately resolved by this latest news.\n\nAmong the recent announcements, PROG Holdings' updated earnings guidance is the most relevant. The company now projects higher net income and diluted EPS for 2025, counterbalancing a tempered revenue outlook. This suggests management's focus on margin preservation could temporarily offset some risk from softer sales, but it does not materially change concerns over the impact of subdued demand in core product lines.\n\nIn contrast, investors also need to be mindful of the ongoing softness in leasing demand which could...  Read the full narrative on PROG Holdings (it's free!)PROG Holdings' outlook forecasts $2.7 billion in revenue and $141.4 million in earnings by 2028. This assumes annual revenue growth of 2.5% but a decrease in earnings of $73.3 million from the current earnings of $214.7 million.Uncover how PROG Holdings' forecasts yield a $38.57 fair value, a 22% upside to its current price.Exploring Other PerspectivesPRG Community Fair Values as at Oct 2025 Simply Wall St Community members have assigned fair value estimates for PROG Holdings that span from US$38.57 to an outlier high of US$9,999, reflecting four distinct viewpoints. While management points to improved profitability in its revised guidance, ongoing competitive pressures in the Buy Now, Pay Later segment may influence future results, and your outlook could differ widely from others in the market.Explore 4 other fair value estimates on PROG Holdings - why the stock might be a potential multi-bagger!Build Your Own PROG Holdings NarrativeDisagree with existing narratives? Create your own in under 3 minutes - extraordinary investment returns rarely come from following the herd.A great starting point for your PROG Holdings research is our analysis highlighting 3 key rewards and 3 important warning signs that could impact your investment decision.Our free PROG Holdings research report provides a comprehensive fundamental analysis summarized in a single visual - the Snowflake - making it easy to evaluate PROG Holdings' overall financial health at a glance.Contemplating Other Strategies?Early movers are already taking notice. See the stocks they're targeting before they've flown the coop:Find companies with promising cash flow potential yet trading below their fair value.AI is about to change healthcare. These 34 stocks are working on everything from early diagnostics to drug discovery. The best part - they are all under $10b in market cap - there's still time to get in early.Rare earth metals are an input to most high-tech devices, military and defence systems and electric vehicles. The global race is on to secure supply of these critical minerals. Beat the pack to uncover the 35 best rare earth metal stocks of the very few that mine this essential strategic resource.  This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data\n    and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your\n    financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data.\n    Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.\n    Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.New: Manage All Your Stock Portfolios in One PlaceWe've created the ultimate portfolio companion for stock investors, and it's free.• Connect an unlimited number of Portfolios and see your total in one currency• Be alerted to new Warning Signs or Risks via email or mobile• Track the Fair Value of your stocksTry a Demo Portfolio for FreeHave feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. 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