This Supply Chain Stock Plummets 31%. Why Amazon Is Part of the Story. -- Barrons.com

Dow Jones10-31

By Nate Wolf

Shares of SPS Commerce plummeted Friday after the supply-chain service provider beat quarterly earnings expectations but issued disappointing guidance.

The company posted earnings of $1.13 a share for the third quarter, above analysts' consensus estimates of $1.02. Revenue totaled $189.9 million, below Wall Street's call for $192.1 million but up 16% from the year prior.

SPS stock was down 31% in premarket trading Friday. Shares had declined 44% already this year as of Thursday's close.

The company reported trouble for its revenue recovery platform, which helps suppliers reclaim lost revenue from retailer deductions. After Amazon.com's Prime Day drove the segment to a strong second quarter, shipment volume came in below expectations in the third quarter. Many of the company's customers are Amazon third-party sellers.

"We now recognize that there is more seasonality in this business than we had originally anticipated," CEO Chadwick Collins said of the revenue recovery business on a conference call. He added that Amazon's policy changes around inventory capacity for third-party sellers also weighed on results.

SPS expects those dynamics to continue in the fourth quarter. The company forecast year-over-year revenue growth of 13% to 14%, representing a deceleration from earlier in the year. Adjusted earnings are expected to range between 98 cents and $1.02 a share, below the $1.05 a share analysts had estimated.

Write to Nate Wolf at nate.wolf@barrons.com

This content was created by Barron's, which is operated by Dow Jones & Co. Barron's is published independently from Dow Jones Newswires and The Wall Street Journal.

 

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October 31, 2025 09:19 ET (13:19 GMT)

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