Is Seagate Technology a Bargain After Soaring 193% in 2025?

Simply Wall St.11-25

Wondering if Seagate Technology Holdings might be undervalued in today's busy market? You're not alone, and you've come to the right place for a clear-eyed look at the numbers. After a strong run, ...

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After a strong run, ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/tech/nasdaq-stx/seagate-technology-holdings/news/is-seagate-technology-a-bargain-after-soaring-193-in-2025\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"simplywall_highlight","html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Is Seagate Technology a Bargain After Soaring 193% in 2025?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIs Seagate Technology a Bargain After Soaring 193% in 2025?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2025-11-25 19:24 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/tech/nasdaq-stx/seagate-technology-holdings/news/is-seagate-technology-a-bargain-after-soaring-193-in-2025><strong>Simply Wall St.</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Wondering if Seagate Technology Holdings might be undervalued in today's busy market? You're not alone, and you've come to the right place for a clear-eyed look at the numbers. After a strong run, ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/tech/nasdaq-stx/seagate-technology-holdings/news/is-seagate-technology-a-bargain-after-soaring-193-in-2025\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","isBrief":false,"type":0,"news_type":1,"symbol":"IE00B19Z9Z06.USD","symbol_name":"Legg Mason ClearBridge - US Aggressive Growth A Acc USD","start_time":0,"source_url":"https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/tech/nasdaq-stx/seagate-technology-holdings/news/is-seagate-technology-a-bargain-after-soaring-193-in-2025","article_id":"2586427231","we_media_id":null,"thumbnails":["https://images.simplywall.st/asset/company-cover/3738520-main-header/1585187382609"],"rights":{"source":"simplywall_highlight","url":"https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/tech/nasdaq-stx/seagate-technology-holdings/news/is-seagate-technology-a-bargain-after-soaring-193-in-2025","rn_cache_url":null,"directOrigin":true},"url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2586427231","pubTimestamp":1764069850,"columns":[],"sourceInfo":{"source_id":"simplywall_highlight","name":"Simply Wall St."},"weMediaInfo":null,"summary":"Wondering if Seagate Technology Holdings might be undervalued in today's busy market? 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VL \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU0203347892.USD":"SCHRODER ISF QEP GLOBAL ACTIVE VALLUE \"A\" (USD)  INC AV","IE00B894F039.SGD":"Legg Mason ClearBridge - US Aggressive Growth A Acc SGD-H","IE00B19Z9P08.USD":"LEGG MASON CLEARBRIDGE US AGGRESSIVE GROWTH \"A\" (USD) INC","BK4588":"碎股","BK4170":"电脑硬件、储存设备及电脑周边","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","DCF":"Dreyfus Alcentra Global Credit Income 2024 Target Term Fund, Inc","LU1670627923.USD":"M&G (LUX) NORTH AMERICAN DIVIDEND \"A\" (USD) ACC","STX":"希捷科技","LU1670628061.USD":"M&G (LUX) NORTH AMERICAN DIVIDEND \"A\" (USD) INC"},"translate_title":"希捷科技2025年大涨193%便宜吗？","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":null,"symbols_score_info":{"DCF":1,"STX":0.9},"content_text":"Wondering if Seagate Technology Holdings might be undervalued in today's busy market? You're not alone, and you've come to the right place for a clear-eyed look at the numbers. After a strong run, shares have soared 193.3% year-to-date and are up an impressive 156.1% over the past year, despite a brief 3.1% dip in the last week. Industry chatter about Seagate's recent product innovations and bold moves in AI-related storage has kept the stock in the spotlight. Analysts and investors continue to debate whether the rally has gotten ahead of itself. News regarding broader tech stock momentum has also contributed to increased attention and price volatility. Seagate scores a value rating of 4 out of 6, signaling that there's more to uncover in how we assess its worth. We will break down the usual approaches to valuation first, so stay tuned for a smarter perspective at the end of this article.  Seagate Technology Holdings delivered 156.1% returns over the last year. See how this stacks up to the rest of the Tech industry. AdvertisementApproach 1: Seagate Technology Holdings Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis The Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) model estimates a company’s value by projecting its future cash flows and discounting them back to their present value. This method helps investors determine whether a stock is trading above or below its intrinsic worth based on those future earnings. For Seagate Technology Holdings, the current Free Cash Flow stands at $1.19 Billion. Analyst forecasts suggest strong growth, with cash flows expected to reach $3.85 Billion by 2030. The estimates for the next five years are sourced from multiple analysts, while projections beyond that are derived from extended growth assumptions. This approach provides a comprehensive and forward-looking snapshot based on available cash flow data. Based on these projections, the DCF analysis calculates an intrinsic value of $355.27 per share. Compared to the current share price in the market, this implies the stock is trading at a 28.7% discount to its estimated fair value. In other words, the stock appears significantly undervalued at present. Result: UNDERVALUED Our Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) analysis suggests Seagate Technology Holdings is undervalued by 28.7%. Track this in your watchlist or portfolio, or discover 917 more undervalued stocks based on cash flows. STX Discounted Cash Flow as at Nov 2025 Head to the Valuation section of our Company Report for more details on how we arrive at this Fair Value for Seagate Technology Holdings. Approach 2: Seagate Technology Holdings Price vs Earnings The Price-to-Earnings (PE) ratio is one of the most widely used metrics for valuing profitable companies like Seagate Technology Holdings. It tells investors how much they are paying for each dollar of current earnings, providing a quick sense of market sentiment and expectations for future growth. A higher PE ratio often reflects optimism about a company’s growth prospects, while a lower one might indicate investor caution or less expected growth. However, what is considered a “fair” PE is not one-size-fits-all. Growth outlook, industry dynamics, profit margins, and risk all influence where a “normal” PE should land for any specific stock. Seagate's current PE ratio stands at 32.23x, compared to the Tech industry average of 21.76x and a peer group average of 63.97x. While Seagate's PE is above the broader industry, it is well below its more direct peers. To add meaningful context, Simply Wall St’s proprietary Fair Ratio estimates Seagate's fair PE at 40.50x. This Fair Ratio takes into account not just the company's sector, but also its unique earnings growth, profit margins, risk profile, and market capitalization, offering a much more tailored valuation benchmark than a blunt industry or peer average. Comparing Seagate’s current PE of 32.23x to its Fair Ratio of 40.50x suggests the stock may be trading below its justifiable valuation based on all the relevant company-specific factors, indicating some upside potential relative to its fundamentals. Result: UNDERVALUED NasdaqGS:STX PE Ratio as at Nov 2025 PE ratios tell one story, but what if the real opportunity lies elsewhere? Discover 1434 companies where insiders are betting big on explosive growth. Upgrade Your Decision Making: Choose your Seagate Technology Holdings Narrative Earlier we mentioned that there is an even better way to understand valuation, so let's introduce you to Narratives. A Narrative is your personal story about a company; it is how you combine your view of Seagate Technology Holdings’ opportunities, risks, and future prospects with your own financial forecasts and ultimately, your view on what the shares are really worth. Narratives let you connect what is happening inside the business (from new technology to market challenges), with clear revenue, earnings, and margin projections, and then estimate a fair value in a simple, guided way. On Simply Wall St’s Community page, millions of investors can easily create, update, and compare Narratives for any stock, including Seagate Technology Holdings. This tool helps you decide when to buy or sell, by allowing you to compare your own, up-to-date Fair Value estimate with the current market price. Even better, Narratives are dynamic. When news or earnings reports land, your Narrative can update automatically with the latest information. For example, some investors think Seagate is worth as much as $277.25 per share, while others see fair value closer to $80.00. Narratives make it clear why perspectives differ, what assumptions are driving each view, and empower you to decide which story and price make sense to you. Do you think there's more to the story for Seagate Technology Holdings? Head over to our Community to see what others are saying! NasdaqGS:STX Community Fair Values as at Nov 2025  This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data\n    and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your\n    financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data.\n    Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.\n    Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.New: Manage All Your Stock Portfolios in One PlaceWe've created the ultimate portfolio companion for stock investors, and it's free.• Connect an unlimited number of Portfolios and see your total in one currency• Be alerted to new Warning Signs or Risks via email or mobile• Track the Fair Value of your stocksTry a Demo Portfolio for FreeHave feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. 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