Churchill Downs (CHDN): Assessing Valuation After Recent Modest Share Price Gains

Simply Wall St.11-25

Churchill Downs (CHDN) shares have held steady in recent trading, prompting a closer look at how the company is performing. Over the past month, the stock is up roughly 5%, even as longer-term returns...

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Over the past month, the stock is up roughly 5%, even as longer-term returns...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/consumer-services/nasdaq-chdn/churchill-downs/news/churchill-downs-chdn-assessing-valuation-after-recent-modest\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"simplywall_highlight","html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Churchill Downs (CHDN): Assessing Valuation After Recent Modest Share Price Gains</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nChurchill Downs (CHDN): Assessing Valuation After Recent Modest Share Price Gains\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2025-11-25 14:19 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/consumer-services/nasdaq-chdn/churchill-downs/news/churchill-downs-chdn-assessing-valuation-after-recent-modest><strong>Simply Wall St.</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Churchill Downs (CHDN) shares have held steady in recent trading, prompting a closer look at how the company is performing. Over the past month, the stock is up roughly 5%, even as longer-term returns...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/consumer-services/nasdaq-chdn/churchill-downs/news/churchill-downs-chdn-assessing-valuation-after-recent-modest\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","isBrief":false,"type":0,"news_type":1,"symbol":"BK4150","symbol_name":"赌场与赌博","start_time":0,"source_url":"https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/consumer-services/nasdaq-chdn/churchill-downs/news/churchill-downs-chdn-assessing-valuation-after-recent-modest","article_id":"2586427994","we_media_id":null,"thumbnails":["https://images.simplywall.st/asset/industry/4211000-choice1-main-header/1585186648041"],"rights":{"source":"simplywall_highlight","url":"https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/consumer-services/nasdaq-chdn/churchill-downs/news/churchill-downs-chdn-assessing-valuation-after-recent-modest","rn_cache_url":null,"directOrigin":true},"url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2586427994","pubTimestamp":1764051558,"columns":[],"sourceInfo":{"source_id":"simplywall_highlight","name":"Simply Wall St."},"weMediaInfo":null,"summary":"Churchill Downs (CHDN) shares have held steady in recent trading, prompting a closer look at how the company is performing. Over the past month, the stock is up roughly 5%, even as longer-term returns remain mixed.\nSee our latest analysis for Churchill Downs.\nWhile Churchill Downs has seen a modest uptick this month, momentum is still lagging when you zoom out. The 1-year total shareholder return is down nearly 25%, which indicates that short-term share price gains have yet to reverse the...","collect":0,"end_time":0,"defaultTopTitle":"simplywall.st","property":[],"viewcount":null,"language":"en","relate_stocks":{"BK4150":"赌场与赌博","CHDN":"Churchill Downs"},"translate_title":"Churchill Downs(CHDN)：近期股价小幅上涨后评估估值","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":null,"symbols_score_info":{"CHDN":1.5},"content_text":"Churchill Downs (CHDN) shares have held steady in recent trading, prompting a closer look at how the company is performing. Over the past month, the stock is up roughly 5%, even as longer-term returns remain mixed.\nSee our latest analysis for Churchill Downs. While Churchill Downs has seen a modest uptick this month, momentum is still lagging when you zoom out. The 1-year total shareholder return is down nearly 25%, which indicates that short-term share price gains have yet to reverse the tougher long-term trend. If recent moves in the entertainment and gaming sector have piqued your interest, it could be a great moment to explore fast growing stocks with high insider ownership. With the stock trading well below analyst targets and showing a sizeable discount to intrinsic value, is Churchill Downs an overlooked bargain for investors, or is the market rightly cautious about its future prospects? AdvertisementMost Popular Narrative: 22.7% Undervalued With the latest close at $106.19, the narrative’s fair value estimate of $137.45 signals a significant upside, based on bullish assumptions about Churchill Downs’ strategic shifts. This forecast leans on long-term catalysts and forward-looking growth, setting up a compelling debate over the company’s real potential.  Renewed and expanded long-term media rights agreements (for example, the new seven-year NBC contract and first-time prime-time Kentucky Oaks broadcast) provide multi-year, inflation-hedged visibility on media revenue streams, while increasing the company's national reach, cultural relevance, and attractiveness to sponsors. These factors strengthen overall revenue resilience and free cash flow.  Read the complete narrative. Want to know what’s driving this premium valuation? One overlooked factor is a dramatic shift in revenue mix that could reshape the company’s growth path. Discover the surprising projections and debate over what’s really propelling Churchill Downs’ price target higher. Result: Fair Value of $137.45 (UNDERVALUED) Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts. However, sustained high investment costs and changing consumer preferences could undermine Churchill Downs’ growth story. This may introduce volatility to its long-term outlook. Find out about the key risks to this Churchill Downs narrative.  Build Your Own Churchill Downs Narrative If you think the story goes deeper or want fresh insights, you can easily dive into the data yourself and craft your own perspective in minutes. Do it your way A great starting point for your Churchill Downs research is our analysis highlighting 4 key rewards and 1 important warning sign that could impact your investment decision. Looking for more investment ideas? Smart investing means keeping your options open. Don’t let tomorrow’s big winners slip through your fingers when you can act today with the right tools.  Unlock income potential by checking out these 14 dividend stocks with yields > 3% with yields greater than 3% for steady, reliable returns. Seize opportunities in cutting-edge medicine as you browse these 30 healthcare AI stocks leading breakthroughs in health and artificial intelligence. Catch the next undervalued star early by scanning these 924 undervalued stocks based on cash flows for top stocks trading below their cash flow potential.   This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data\n    and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your\n    financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data.\n    Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.\n    Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.New: AI Stock Screener & AlertsOur new AI Stock Screener scans the market every day to uncover opportunities.• Dividend Powerhouses (3%+ Yield)• Undervalued Small Caps with Insider Buying• High growth Tech and AI CompaniesOr build your own from over 50 metrics.Explore Now for FreeHave feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com","kind":"highlight","is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":false,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"0","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":0,"need_auth":false,"code":"91000000","status":"200"},"commentList":[],"isCommentEnd":true,"newsSizeData":{"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false},"APP":{"userAgent":"Mozilla/5.0 AppleWebKit/537.36 (KHTML, like Gecko; compatible; ClaudeBot/1.0; +claudebot@anthropic.com)","isDev":false,"isTTM":true,"deviceId":"web-server-community-laohu8-v3","version":"4.35.11","shortVersion":"4.35.11","platform":"web","vendor":"web","appName":"ttm","isIOS":false,"isAndroid":false,"isTiger":false,"isTHS":false,"isWeiXin":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"isWeiBo":false,"isQQ":false,"isBaiduSwan":false,"isBaiduBox":false,"isDingTalk":false,"isToutiao":false,"isOnePlus":false,"isHuaWei":false,"isXiaomi":false,"isXiaomiWebView":false,"isOppo":false,"isVivo":false,"isSamsung":false,"isMobile":false},"href":"/m/news/2586427994","isCrawlerRequest":true}