Assessing Cognex’s Value After a 20% Drop and New Automation Expansion News

Simply Wall St.11-30

If you have ever wondered whether Cognex offers real value at today's price, you are not alone. Let's dig into what investors should know before making a move. Despite a 3.3% uptick this week, Cognex’...

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Let's dig into what investors should know before making a move. Despite a 3.3% uptick this week, Cognex’...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/tech/nasdaq-cgnx/cognex/news/assessing-cognexs-value-after-a-20-drop-and-new-automation-e\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","isBrief":false,"type":0,"news_type":1,"symbol":"BK4211","symbol_name":"区域性银行","start_time":0,"source_url":"https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/tech/nasdaq-cgnx/cognex/news/assessing-cognexs-value-after-a-20-drop-and-new-automation-e","article_id":"2587384762","we_media_id":null,"thumbnails":["https://images.simplywall.st/asset/company-cover/26658-main-header/1585188758405"],"rights":{"source":"simplywall_highlight","url":"https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/tech/nasdaq-cgnx/cognex/news/assessing-cognexs-value-after-a-20-drop-and-new-automation-e","rn_cache_url":null,"directOrigin":true},"url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2587384762","pubTimestamp":1764447640,"columns":[],"sourceInfo":{"source_id":"simplywall_highlight","name":"Simply Wall St."},"weMediaInfo":null,"summary":"If you have ever wondered whether Cognex offers real value at today's price, you are not alone. Let's dig into what investors should know before making a move.\nDespite a 3.3% uptick this week, Cognex’s share price is still down nearly 20% over the past month and has dropped 3.8% in the last year, highlighting how quickly market sentiment can shift.\nRecent headlines have focused on Cognex’s ongoing expansion into emerging automation markets and new product launches, which are fueling industry...","collect":0,"end_time":0,"defaultTopTitle":"simplywall.st","property":[],"viewcount":null,"language":"en","relate_stocks":{"BK4211":"区域性银行","DCF":"Dreyfus Alcentra Global Credit Income 2024 Target Term Fund, Inc","BK4157":"电子设备和仪器","FCF":"第一联邦金融","CGNX":"康耐视科技"},"translate_title":"在下跌20%和新的自动化扩张消息后评估康耐视的价值","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":null,"symbols_score_info":{"FCF":1,"DCF":1,"CGNX":1.5},"content_text":"If you have ever wondered whether Cognex offers real value at today's price, you are not alone. Let's dig into what investors should know before making a move. Despite a 3.3% uptick this week, Cognex’s share price is still down nearly 20% over the past month and has dropped 3.8% in the last year, highlighting how quickly market sentiment can shift. Recent headlines have focused on Cognex’s ongoing expansion into emerging automation markets and new product launches, which are fueling industry speculation about improved long-term prospects. At the same time, concerns about supply chain constraints and global economic uncertainty have kept some investors cautious. Cognex currently scores a 2 out of 6 on our value checks. We’ll break down what this actually means using standard valuation measures, but stick around because at the end of the article, we’ll explore an even better way to judge a stock’s true worth.  Cognex scores just 2/6 on our valuation checks. See what other red flags we found in the full valuation breakdown. AdvertisementApproach 1: Cognex Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis The Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) model estimates a company's value by forecasting its future cash flows and discounting them back to today's value. This provides an intrinsic estimate based on fundamental performance. For Cognex, this analysis relies on projecting Free Cash Flow (FCF) into the future using both analyst estimates and extended forecasts. Cognex reported $204.9 million in FCF over the last twelve months. Analysts forecast that FCF will steadily rise, with projections reaching $338 million by the end of 2028. Looking a full decade ahead, extended estimates suggest FCF could approach $571 million by 2035, reflecting consistent long-term growth. After discounting these cash flows to present value and summing the results, the model arrives at an estimated fair value of $46.04 per share. This intrinsic value implies the stock is trading at a 17.2% discount compared to where the model says it should trade today. In summary, the DCF approach suggests Cognex's shares are undervalued at current levels. This may present an opportunity for value-minded investors. Result: UNDERVALUED Our Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) analysis suggests Cognex is undervalued by 17.2%. Track this in your watchlist or portfolio, or discover 919 more undervalued stocks based on cash flows. CGNX Discounted Cash Flow as at Nov 2025 Head to the Valuation section of our Company Report for more details on how we arrive at this Fair Value for Cognex. Approach 2: Cognex Price vs Earnings For profitable companies like Cognex, the Price-to-Earnings (PE) ratio is a widely respected valuation metric. It tells investors how much the market is willing to pay for one dollar of the company’s earnings and provides a useful shorthand for comparing companies across industries and market cycles. The \"right\" or fair PE ratio for a stock often reflects expectations for future earnings growth and the perceived risk of those earnings. Higher expected growth and lower risk can both justify a higher PE, while riskier or slower-growing companies usually trade at lower multiples. Currently, Cognex trades at a PE ratio of 58x, which is notably higher than the Electronic industry average of 24x and the average among its peers at 32x. However, using Simply Wall St’s proprietary \"Fair Ratio,\" which incorporates factors like Cognex’s growth prospects, profit margins, industry dynamics and company-specific risks, Cognex’s fair multiple is calculated at 35.1x. The Fair Ratio provides a more tailored benchmark than a simple peer or industry average. By blending growth, risks, margins and sectoral context, it suggests what investors should reasonably pay for Cognex’s current and future earnings power. Comparing the Fair Ratio of 35.1x with the current PE of 58x, Cognex’s shares appear to be overvalued on this basis. Result: OVERVALUED NasdaqGS:CGNX PE Ratio as at Nov 2025 PE ratios tell one story, but what if the real opportunity lies elsewhere? Discover 1439 companies where insiders are betting big on explosive growth. Upgrade Your Decision Making: Choose your Cognex Narrative Earlier we mentioned that there's an even better way to understand valuation, so let's introduce you to Narratives, a powerful tool that goes beyond numbers and lets you connect a company’s story directly to its financial forecasts and estimated fair value. A Narrative is your personal take on where Cognex is headed. It’s the story you believe in, paired with your assumptions about future revenue, profit margins and risk. Narratives make investing accessible by showing exactly how your perspective changes the stock’s estimated fair value, letting you see if it’s a buy or sell. All of this updates dynamically with fresh news and earnings, right inside Simply Wall St’s Community Page used by millions of investors. With Narratives, you can see how a bullish investor, expecting Cognex earnings to reach $279.1 million and targeting a $58 price, may view the stock very differently from a cautious investor forecasting $210 million in earnings and a $35 target. This approach empowers you to make investing decisions grounded in your own understanding of the business, rather than following static metrics or consensus views. Do you think there's more to the story for Cognex? Head over to our Community to see what others are saying! NasdaqGS:CGNX Community Fair Values as at Nov 2025  This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data\n    and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your\n    financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data.\n    Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.\n    Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.New: AI Stock Screener & AlertsOur new AI Stock Screener scans the market every day to uncover opportunities.• Dividend Powerhouses (3%+ Yield)• Undervalued Small Caps with Insider Buying• High growth Tech and AI CompaniesOr build your own from over 50 metrics.Explore Now for FreeHave feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. 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