Reassessing Aeva Technologies (AEVA) Valuation After Landmark Decade-Long Exclusive 4D LiDAR Deal

Simply Wall St.12-04

Aeva Technologies (AEVA) just landed a decade long exclusive LiDAR deal with a top European automaker, which plans to standardize Aeva’s 4D sensors across its global Level 3 capable vehicle platform. ...

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See our latest analysis for Aeva Technologies. The deal has reignited interest in Aeva, with a 1 day share price return of 25.71 percent and a 1 year total shareholder return of 212.56 percent, signaling powerful, rebuilding momentum after years of heavy losses. If this kind of autonomous driving story has your attention, it could be a good moment to explore other auto innovators through auto manufacturers. With revenue still small, losses heavy, and the share price trading at a steep discount to analyst targets, investors now face a key question: Is Aeva undervalued, or is the market already pricing in years of future growth? AdvertisementPrice to Book Ratio of 24.8x: Is it justified? Aeva’s last close at $13.69 implies a rich valuation when viewed through its price to book ratio, which sits far above both peers and industry norms. The price to book ratio compares a company’s market value to its net assets and is often used for early stage, asset heavy or loss making tech businesses where earnings are not yet a reliable guide. For Aeva, a 24.8x price to book ratio versus a peer average of 5.5x suggests investors are paying a substantial premium today for future LiDAR adoption and long term revenue growth that has yet to translate into profits. Compared with the broader US Electronic industry average of just 2.3x, Aeva’s multiple looks exceptionally stretched, signaling that expectations for its technology and contract pipeline are far more optimistic than what is currently being priced into most hardware names. See what the numbers say about this price — find out in our valuation breakdown. Result: Price to book ratio of 24.8x (OVERVALUED) However, heavy ongoing losses and a steep premium to book value mean that any delays in LiDAR commercialization or contract execution could quickly puncture sentiment. Find out about the key risks to this Aeva Technologies narrative.  Build Your Own Aeva Technologies Narrative If this interpretation does not quite match your view, or you would rather dive into the numbers yourself, you can craft a personalized narrative in just a few minutes: Do it your way. A great starting point for your Aeva Technologies research is our analysis highlighting 1 key reward and 3 important warning signs that could impact your investment decision. Looking for more high impact investment ideas? Before you move on, lock in an edge for your portfolio by scanning curated stock ideas our community uses to spot opportunities early and avoid common traps.  Capitalize on mispriced opportunities by targeting companies trading below their estimated worth through these 918 undervalued stocks based on cash flows. Ride the next wave of innovation by focusing on breakthrough automation and intelligence with these 25 AI penny stocks. Strengthen your income strategy by uncovering reliable payers using these 14 dividend stocks with yields > 3%.   This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data\n    and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your\n    financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data.\n    Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.\n    Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.New: Manage All Your Stock Portfolios in One PlaceWe've created the ultimate portfolio companion for stock investors, and it's free.• Connect an unlimited number of Portfolios and see your total in one currency• Be alerted to new Warning Signs or Risks via email or mobile• Track the Fair Value of your stocksTry a Demo Portfolio for FreeHave feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. 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