S&P 500 Could Reach 7,300 By Year-End Despite December's Rocky Start, Fueled By Fed Policy, Seasonal Trends, Says Tom Lee

Benzinga_recent_news12-02

Despite a turbulent start to the month, Fundstrat Global Advisors' Managing Partner and CIO Tom Lee remains steadfast in his bullish outlook, forecasting that the S&P 500 could rally to between 7,200 ...

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With the Fed also expected to cut interest rates later this month, Lee argues the monetary backdrop has effectively shifted from tightening to easing.\nSee Also: Goldman Sees S&P 500 At 9,000 By 2030—But The Real Boom Lies Elsewhere\nAddressing concerns about the economy, Lee suggests that the “inflation story has weakened,” allowing the Fed to cut rates for the right reasons—specifically to support a labor market that is “holding fine” despite a recent data blackout.\nHe believes the November market “reset,” which saw leverage wash out of high-flying AI and crypto trades, has created a healthy foundation for a year-end surge.\nLee predicts that investors who became overly cautious last month will be forced into “performance chasing” as seasonal tailwinds kick in, potentially driving the S&P 500 up another 5% to 10%. “So, I think a 7,200 [to] 7,300 is likely for S&P,” he added. \nWhile maintaining his optimism for equities, Lee adjusted his timeline for cryptocurrency.\nAdmitting that Bitcoin‘s (CRYPTO: BTC) recovery has been slower than anticipated following mid-October deleveraging, he now expects the crypto market to fully “wash out” over the next week or two.\nConsequently, he sees Bitcoin potentially hitting new all-time highs by the end of January rather than December, driven by the broader recovery in risk assets and improved market sentiment.\nThe benchmark indices fell on the first day of December on Monday, after advancing for all the sessions in the previous truncated week.\nThe SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (NYSE:SPY) and Invesco QQQ Trust ETF (NASDAQ:QQQ), which track the S&P 500 index and Nasdaq 100 index, respectively, closed lower on Monday. The SPY was down 0.46% at $680.27, while the QQQ declined 0.34% to $617.17, according to Benzinga Pro data.\nThe futures of the S&P 500, Dow Jones, and Nasdaq 100 indices were trading lower on Tuesday.\nRead Next:\nDisclaimer: This content was partially produced with the help of AI tools and was reviewed and published by Benzinga editors.\nPhoto courtesy: Shutterstock","kind":"highlight","is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":false,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"0","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":0,"need_auth":false,"code":"91000000","status":"200"},"commentList":[],"isCommentEnd":true,"newsSizeData":{"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false},"APP":{"userAgent":"Mozilla/5.0 AppleWebKit/537.36 (KHTML, like Gecko; compatible; ClaudeBot/1.0; +claudebot@anthropic.com)","isDev":false,"isTTM":true,"deviceId":"web-server-community-laohu8-v3","version":"4.35.9","shortVersion":"4.35.9","platform":"web","vendor":"web","appName":"ttm","isIOS":false,"isAndroid":false,"isTiger":false,"isTHS":false,"isWeiXin":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"isWeiBo":false,"isQQ":false,"isBaiduSwan":false,"isBaiduBox":false,"isDingTalk":false,"isToutiao":false,"isOnePlus":false,"isHuaWei":false,"isXiaomi":false,"isXiaomiWebView":false,"isOppo":false,"isVivo":false,"isSamsung":false,"isMobile":false},"href":"/m/news/2588422033","isCrawlerRequest":true}