The U.S. Fed's interest-rate path could dictate the unit performance of Singapore-listed real estate investment trusts, says OCBC Investment Research in a note. The research team expects a "more measured" pace of rate cuts by the Fed in 2026 compared with market expectations.
OCBC's expected rate trajectory could curtail REITs' price performances, they say. Still, REITs may see an inflection point for their DPU growth next year amid a more favorable interest-rate backdrop, they note.
But tailwinds from interest cost savings may be uneven among the REITs, depending on their hedges and maturity profile, the analysts add. Retail remains OCBC's preferred subsector, followed by logistics and industrial REITs with a data center focus. Top picks include CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust and Keppel DC REIT.
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