Trump's Bitcoin, ETH, XRP Reserve Isn't Happening Anymore In 2025, Polymarket Traders Predict

Benzinga_recent_news12-06 00:38

Polymarket traders now assign almost zero probability that the Trump administration's proposed national cryptocurrency reserve will become operational in 2025, marking a sharp collapse in confidence ...

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administration's proposed national cryptocurrency reserve will become operational in 2025, marking a sharp collapse in confidence ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/crypto/cryptocurrency/25/12/49235038/trumps-bitcoin-eth-xrp-reserve-isnt-happening-anymore-in-2025-polymarket-traders-predict\">Source 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now assign almost zero probability that the Trump administration's proposed national cryptocurrency reserve will become operational in 2025, marking a sharp collapse in confidence after early-year optimism.","collect":0,"end_time":0,"defaultTopTitle":"benzinga.com","property":[],"viewcount":null,"language":"en","relate_stocks":{"83042":"华夏比特币-R","BK4594":"比特币ETF概念","03439":"嘉实比特币","BTC":"Grayscale Bitcoin Mini Trust","BK1611":"加密货币现货ETF","BK4601":"加密货币现货ETF","ETH":"低成本以太坊ETF-Grayscale","03008":"博时比特币","BK4588":"碎股","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念"},"translate_title":"Polymarket交易员预测，到2025年，特朗普的比特币、ETH、XRP储备将不再出现","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":null,"symbols_score_info":{"83042":0.6,"03439":0.61,"BTC":1.96,"ETH":1.87,"03008":0.61},"content_text":"Polymarket traders now assign almost zero probability that the Trump administration's proposed national cryptocurrency reserve will become operational in 2025, marking a sharp collapse in confidence after early-year optimism.\nThe initiative began on March 6, when the White House issued an executive order establishing a Strategic Bitcoin Reserve and a broader U.S. Digital Asset Stockpile. \nThe order instructed federal agencies to consolidate Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) and other seized digital assets and prohibited the government from selling Bitcoin designated for the reserve.\nDays later, President Trump said the reserve would eventually include additional assets such as Ethereum (CRYPTO: ETH), XRP (CRYPTO: XRP), Solana (CRYPTO: SOL), and Cardano (CRYPTO: ADA). \nThe remarks sparked brief enthusiasm among retail traders who interpreted the comments as the start of a national accumulation plan.\nThe order did not authorize government buying, did not allocate public funds, and did not set up a regulatory or custody framework for ongoing accumulation.\nInstead, the plan depended solely on seized assets and vague \"budget-neutral strategies,\" leaving no credible path to building a meaningful reserve structure.\nSkepticism surfaced quickly as analysts questioned whether the government could run a sovereign crypto reserve without clear reporting standards, legislative support or basic infrastructure.\nCritics warned that consolidating digital assets under federal control could create political risk, fuel speculation, or complicate oversight of the financial system.\nTokens most closely linked to the administration's narrative, including XRP, ADA, and SOL — posted short-lived gains before giving back ground.\nHowever, there is no indication the policy has been revoked. \nNo document has superseded the March order, and no reversal has been issued. \nThe reserve remains active on paper but appears to lack operational depth.\nUS National Bitcoin Reserve Probability (Source: Polymarket)\nPolymarket contracts tracking a functioning U.S. Bitcoin reserve by year-end traded above 60% in February and March but declined throughout the year before ending at 2% in December.\nContracts tied to an XRP reserve dropped to 1% after briefly trading above 20% in March. \nMarkets tracking an Ethereum reserve followed a similar path, falling from roughly 30–40% in early March to 1% in December.\nAcross all three markets, traders are essentially betting that no credible reserve will materialize — meaning no meaningful accumulation, no public balance sheet, and no institutional framework to manage it.\nWithout those elements, the idea of a strategic national asset remains a political narrative rather than an executable policy.\nRead Next: \nImage: 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