PICC Group (SEHK:1339) Valuation Check After Rumor‑Driven Volatility and Executive Clarification

Simply Wall St.12-08

People's Insurance Company Group of China SEHK:1339 is back in the spotlight after its PICC Property and Casualty unit addressed market rumors about senior executives, stating that operations remain ...

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See our latest analysis for People's Insurance Company (Group) of China. The clarification from PICC P&C comes after a rumor driven spike in volatility, with the share price now at HK$7.01. This builds on a strong year to date 90.49 percent share price return and an impressive 90.75 percent 1 year total shareholder return, suggesting momentum is still broadly intact despite short term swings. If this kind of rumor driven move has you watching financials more closely, it could be a good moment to explore discovery opportunities in fast growing stocks with high insider ownership. With the shares trading below analyst targets but after a spectacular multi year run, are investors still getting an undervalued Chinese insurance leader here, or is the market already pricing in the next leg of growth? AdvertisementMost Popular Narrative Narrative: 9.6% Undervalued With the shares last closing at HK$7.01 against a narrative fair value near HK$7.76, the valuation debate now hinges on long term earnings power.  The analysts have a consensus price target of HK$4.661 for People's Insurance Company (Group) of China based on their expectations of its future earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors. However, there is a degree of disagreement amongst analysts, with the most bullish reporting a price target of HK$6.14, and the most bearish reporting a price target of just HK$3.79.  Read the complete narrative. Want to see how modest revenue growth, shifting margins and a higher future earnings multiple still add up to upside potential? The full narrative unpacks the math, step by step, and reveals which long range assumptions really carry this fair value call. Result: Fair Value of $7.76 (UNDERVALUED) Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts. However, there are still clear risks, including natural catastrophe losses and intense non auto competition, that could compress margins and challenge the undervaluation story. Find out about the key risks to this People's Insurance Company (Group) of China narrative.  Build Your Own People's Insurance Company (Group) of China Narrative If you see the story differently or want to dig into the numbers yourself, you can build a personalized view in just minutes with Do it your way. A great starting point for your People's Insurance Company (Group) of China research is our analysis highlighting 3 key rewards and 2 important warning signs that could impact your investment decision. Looking for more investment ideas? Before markets move on without you, put Simply Wall Street’s Screener to work and uncover fresh, high conviction ideas tailored to your next smart investment move.  Target reliable income streams by reviewing these 15 dividend stocks with yields > 3% that can strengthen the foundation of a long term portfolio. Capitalize on innovation momentum by checking out these 26 AI penny stocks positioned to benefit from breakthroughs in artificial intelligence. Strengthen your margin of safety by scanning these 908 undervalued stocks based on cash flows where current prices may underestimate long term cash flow potential.   This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data\n    and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your\n    financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data.\n    Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.\n    Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.New: Manage All Your Stock Portfolios in One PlaceWe've created the ultimate portfolio companion for stock investors, and it's free.• Connect an unlimited number of Portfolios and see your total in one currency• Be alerted to new Warning Signs or Risks via email or mobile• Track the Fair Value of your stocksTry a Demo Portfolio for FreeHave feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. 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