Is Flowers Foods Share Price Slide Creating a Long Term Value Opportunity in 2025?

Simply Wall St.12-08

If you have been wondering whether Flowers Foods is a bargain or a value trap at today’s prices, you are not alone. This breakdown is designed to answer that question clearly. The stock has slid to ...

Source Link

Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

Comments

We need your insight to fill this gap

Leave a comment

{"i18n":{"language":"en_US"},"isChannel":false,"data":{"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2589332852?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","thumbnail":"https://images.simplywall.st/asset/industry/5122000-choice2-main-header/1585186547117","is_english":true,"pubTime":"2025-12-08 18:13","share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","id":"2589332852","market":"us","top_or_hot":-1,"title":"Is Flowers Foods Share Price Slide Creating a Long Term Value Opportunity in 2025?","media":"Simply Wall St.","content":"<div>\n<p>If you have been wondering whether Flowers Foods is a bargain or a value trap at today’s prices, you are not alone. This breakdown is designed to answer that question clearly. The stock has slid to ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/food-beverage-tobacco/nyse-flo/flowers-foods/news/is-flowers-foods-share-price-slide-creating-a-long-term-valu\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"simplywall_highlight","html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Is Flowers Foods Share Price Slide Creating a Long Term Value Opportunity in 2025?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIs Flowers Foods Share Price Slide Creating a Long Term Value Opportunity in 2025?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2025-12-08 18:13 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/food-beverage-tobacco/nyse-flo/flowers-foods/news/is-flowers-foods-share-price-slide-creating-a-long-term-valu><strong>Simply Wall St.</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>If you have been wondering whether Flowers Foods is a bargain or a value trap at today’s prices, you are not alone. This breakdown is designed to answer that question clearly. The stock has slid to ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/food-beverage-tobacco/nyse-flo/flowers-foods/news/is-flowers-foods-share-price-slide-creating-a-long-term-valu\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","isBrief":false,"type":0,"news_type":1,"symbol":"FLO","symbol_name":"花苑食品","start_time":0,"source_url":"https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/food-beverage-tobacco/nyse-flo/flowers-foods/news/is-flowers-foods-share-price-slide-creating-a-long-term-valu","article_id":"2589332852","we_media_id":null,"thumbnails":["https://images.simplywall.st/asset/industry/5122000-choice2-main-header/1585186547117"],"rights":{"source":"simplywall_highlight","url":"https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/food-beverage-tobacco/nyse-flo/flowers-foods/news/is-flowers-foods-share-price-slide-creating-a-long-term-valu","rn_cache_url":null,"directOrigin":true},"url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2589332852","pubTimestamp":1765188821,"columns":[],"sourceInfo":{"source_id":"simplywall_highlight","name":"Simply Wall St."},"weMediaInfo":null,"summary":"If you have been wondering whether Flowers Foods is a bargain or a value trap at today’s prices, you are not alone. This breakdown is designed to answer that question clearly.\nThe stock has slid to around $10.78, with returns of roughly -0.8% over 7 days, -9.2% over 30 days, and -47.5% year to date, reshaping how the market is thinking about its long term potential and risk.\nRecent headlines have focused on Flowers Foods’ brand positioning in the packaged bakery space and ongoing efforts to...","collect":0,"end_time":0,"defaultTopTitle":"simplywall.st","property":[],"viewcount":null,"language":"en","relate_stocks":{"FLO":"花苑食品","BK4212":"包装食品与肉类","DCF":"Dreyfus Alcentra Global Credit Income 2024 Target Term Fund, Inc"},"translate_title":"Flowers Foods股价下滑是否会在2025年创造长期价值机会？","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":null,"symbols_score_info":{"FLO":1.5,"DCF":1},"content_text":"If you have been wondering whether Flowers Foods is a bargain or a value trap at today’s prices, you are not alone. This breakdown is designed to answer that question clearly. The stock has slid to around $10.78, with returns of roughly -0.8% over 7 days, -9.2% over 30 days, and -47.5% year to date, reshaping how the market is thinking about its long term potential and risk. Recent headlines have focused on Flowers Foods’ brand positioning in the packaged bakery space and ongoing efforts to streamline operations, both of which matter when margins are under pressure. At the same time, commentary around shifting consumer preferences and competitive pricing has added extra nuance to why investors have been repricing the stock. Despite that share price performance, our valuation framework gives Flowers Foods a 5/6 score for being undervalued across key checks. Below, we walk through what different valuation approaches are indicating today and, by the end, look at another way to interpret that valuation in a real world context.  Find out why Flowers Foods's -47.3% return over the last year is lagging behind its peers. AdvertisementApproach 1: Flowers Foods Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis A Discounted Cash Flow, or DCF, model estimates what a business is worth by projecting the cash it can generate in the future and then discounting those cash flows back to today in $ terms. For Flowers Foods, the 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity model starts from last twelve months free cash flow of about $314 million, then uses analyst estimates for the next few years and extrapolates beyond that. Under this framework, free cash flow is expected to soften from analyst forecasts in the near term to around $210 million in 2035, with Simply Wall St extending the trajectory after explicit analyst coverage ends. Adding up all those projected cash flows and discounting them back gives an estimated fair value of roughly $21.36 per share. With the stock trading near $10.78, the DCF implies roughly a 49.5% discount to intrinsic value, indicating that the market is pricing Flowers Foods below the value suggested by this particular cash flow model. Result: UNDERVALUED Our Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) analysis suggests Flowers Foods is undervalued by 49.5%. Track this in your watchlist or portfolio, or discover 904 more undervalued stocks based on cash flows. FLO Discounted Cash Flow as at Dec 2025 Head to the Valuation section of our Company Report for more details on how we arrive at this Fair Value for Flowers Foods. Approach 2: Flowers Foods Price vs Earnings For established, profitable businesses like Flowers Foods, the price to earnings (PE) ratio is a practical way to gauge how much investors are willing to pay for each dollar of current profits. In general, companies with stronger growth prospects and lower perceived risk can justify higher PE ratios, while slower growth or elevated risks usually warrant a lower, more conservative multiple. Flowers Foods currently trades on a PE of about 11.7x, which is noticeably below both the Food industry average of roughly 20.3x and the peer group average of about 17.1x. Simply Wall St also calculates a Fair Ratio of 13.3x, which is the PE you might expect given the company’s earnings growth outlook, margins, market cap, industry positioning and specific risk profile. This Fair Ratio is more tailored than a simple comparison with peers or the broader industry because it adjusts for Flowers Foods’ unique characteristics rather than assuming all food companies deserve the same multiple. With the actual PE of 11.7x sitting below the 13.3x Fair Ratio, the shares screen as modestly undervalued on this earnings based lens. Result: UNDERVALUED NYSE:FLO PE Ratio as at Dec 2025 PE ratios tell one story, but what if the real opportunity lies elsewhere? Discover 1450 companies where insiders are betting big on explosive growth. Upgrade Your Decision Making: Choose your Flowers Foods Narrative Earlier we mentioned that there is an even better way to understand valuation, so let us introduce you to Narratives. This is an easy tool on Simply Wall St’s Community page that lets you connect your story about a company with your own forecast and fair value, then compare that against the current share price to decide whether to buy or sell. These Narratives update automatically as new news or earnings land. For Flowers Foods, one investor might build a bullish Narrative with revenue growing just over 1 percent a year, margins rising toward about 5.3 percent and a fair value near 16.12 dollars. A more cautious investor could assume slower growth, modestly softer margins and a fair value closer to 12.71 dollars. This shows how the same company can reasonably support different, clearly articulated viewpoints that are all grounded in numbers rather than gut feel. Do you think there's more to the story for Flowers Foods? Head over to our Community to see what others are saying! NYSE:FLO Community Fair Values as at Dec 2025  This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data\n    and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your\n    financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data.\n    Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.\n    Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.New: AI Stock Screener & AlertsOur new AI Stock Screener scans the market every day to uncover opportunities.• Dividend Powerhouses (3%+ Yield)• Undervalued Small Caps with Insider Buying• High growth Tech and AI CompaniesOr build your own from over 50 metrics.Explore Now for FreeHave feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com","kind":"highlight","is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":false,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"0","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":0,"need_auth":false,"code":"91000000","status":"200"},"commentList":[],"isCommentEnd":true,"newsSizeData":{"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false},"APP":{"userAgent":"Mozilla/5.0 AppleWebKit/537.36 (KHTML, like Gecko; compatible; ClaudeBot/1.0; +claudebot@anthropic.com)","isDev":false,"isTTM":true,"deviceId":"web-server-community-laohu8-v3","version":"4.35.11","shortVersion":"4.35.11","platform":"web","vendor":"web","appName":"ttm","isIOS":false,"isAndroid":false,"isTiger":false,"isTHS":false,"isWeiXin":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"isWeiBo":false,"isQQ":false,"isBaiduSwan":false,"isBaiduBox":false,"isDingTalk":false,"isToutiao":false,"isOnePlus":false,"isHuaWei":false,"isXiaomi":false,"isXiaomiWebView":false,"isOppo":false,"isVivo":false,"isSamsung":false,"isMobile":false},"href":"/m/news/2589332852","isCrawlerRequest":true}