Fluence Energy (FLNC) Is Up 22.9% After Record Backlog Coverage Lifts 2026 Revenue Outlook

Simply Wall St.12-06 00:27

In late November 2025, Fluence Energy reported fourth-quarter revenue of US$1,041.89 million and net income of US$17.95 million, alongside a full-year revenue of US$2,262.83 million and a net loss of ...

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At the same time, the company issued fiscal 2026 revenue guidance of US$3.2 billion to US$3.6 billion, with about 85% of the midpoint already backed by a record US$5.3 billion backlog built on US$1.4 billion of new orders in the latest quarter. We’ll now examine how this record backlog coverage against 2026 guidance reshapes Fluence Energy’s previously cautious investment narrative. These 12 companies survived and thrived after COVID and have the right ingredients to survive Trump's tariffs. Discover why before your portfolio feels the trade war pinch.AdvertisementFluence Energy Investment Narrative RecapTo own Fluence, you need to believe that utility scale energy storage will keep gaining ground and that the company can convert its large contracted backlog into profitable, on time deliveries despite recent execution issues. The latest results reinforce the near term catalyst of backlog conversion, with record orders and 2026 guidance mostly covered, while the biggest current risk remains project delays or policy driven pauses that could slow that conversion and keep earnings volatile. The most relevant recent announcement here is Fluence’s 2026 revenue guidance of US$3.2 billion to US$3.6 billion, with about 85% of the midpoint already covered by a US$5.3 billion backlog. For investors focused on catalysts, this backlog coverage ties the story directly to how quickly Fluence can work through tariff uncertainty and supply chain constraints to turn contracted projects into recognized revenue. Yet investors should also be aware that repeated pauses or delays in large projects due to tariffs and policy shifts could... Read the full narrative on Fluence Energy (it's free!)Fluence Energy's narrative projects $4.2 billion revenue and $97.9 million earnings by 2028.Uncover how Fluence Energy's forecasts yield a $11.47 fair value, a 51% downside to its current price.Exploring Other PerspectivesFLNC Community Fair Values as at Dec 2025 Six fair value estimates from the Simply Wall St Community span roughly US$11.47 to US$22.94 per share, underscoring how far opinions can diverge. When you set that against Fluence’s heavy reliance on a US$5.3 billion backlog for 2026 revenue, it highlights why many investors are weighing execution and policy risks before drawing firm conclusions about the company’s performance potential.Explore 6 other fair value estimates on Fluence Energy - why the stock might be worth as much as $22.94!Build Your Own Fluence Energy NarrativeDisagree with existing narratives? Create your own in under 3 minutes - extraordinary investment returns rarely come from following the herd.A great starting point for your Fluence Energy research is our analysis highlighting 2 key rewards and 1 important warning sign that could impact your investment decision.Our free Fluence Energy research report provides a comprehensive fundamental analysis summarized in a single visual - the Snowflake - making it easy to evaluate Fluence Energy's overall financial health at a glance.Ready For A Different Approach?Opportunities like this don't last. These are today's most promising picks. Check them out now:AI is about to change healthcare. These 30 stocks are working on everything from early diagnostics to drug discovery. The best part - they are all under $10b in market cap - there's still time to get in early.Uncover the next big thing with financially sound penny stocks that balance risk and reward.The end of cancer? These 29 emerging AI stocks are developing tech that will allow early identification of life changing diseases like cancer and Alzheimer's.  This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data\n    and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your\n    financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data.\n    Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.\n    Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.New: AI Stock Screener & AlertsOur new AI Stock Screener scans the market every day to uncover opportunities.• Dividend Powerhouses (3%+ Yield)• Undervalued Small Caps with Insider Buying• High growth Tech and AI CompaniesOr build your own from over 50 metrics.Explore Now for FreeHave feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. 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