DXP Enterprises (DXPE): Valuation Check After Record Backlogs, Margin Gains and Active M&A Pipeline

Simply Wall St.12-06

DXP Enterprises (DXPE) is back in the spotlight after fresh coverage highlighted how record backlogs, margin improvement, and a steady M&A drumbeat are shaping expectations for the stock’s next leg. ...

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See our latest analysis for DXP Enterprises. Even after a sharp 30 day share price return decline of 19.56 percent and a 90 day share price return drop of 21.04 percent from recent highs, DXP’s 16.31 percent year to date share price return and hefty 27.50 percent one year total shareholder return suggest momentum has cooled in the short term but remains firmly positive over a multi year horizon as investors reassess growth and execution risks. If this kind of operational turnaround story has your attention, it could be a good moment to widen the lens and explore fast growing stocks with high insider ownership. With record backlogs, accelerating earnings, and the stock trading at a sizable discount to analyst and intrinsic value estimates, the debate now shifts: is DXP still mispriced, or is the market already discounting years of future growth? AdvertisementMost Popular Narrative Narrative: 28.1% Undervalued With DXP Enterprises last closing at $98.15 against a narrative fair value of $136.50, the implied upside reflects expectations for profit and cash generation. The analysts have a consensus price target of $125.0 for DXP Enterprises based on their expectations of its future earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors. In order for you to agree with the analyst's consensus, you would need to believe that by 2028, revenues will be $2.2 billion, earnings will come to $122.9 million, and it would be trading on a PE ratio of 19.6x, assuming you use a discount rate of 8.8%. Read the complete narrative. Curious what kind of revenue climb, margin lift, and future earnings multiple are implied by the gap between price and fair value? The full narrative breaks down the assumptions behind that upside case, line by line, and sets out how today’s cash flows are projected to compound into tomorrow’s valuation. Result: Fair Value of $136.50 (UNDERVALUED) Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts. However, a sharper downturn in energy markets or missteps in integrating acquisitions could quickly erode margins and undermine the assumed earnings trajectory. Find out about the key risks to this DXP Enterprises narrative.  Build Your Own DXP Enterprises Narrative If you want to pressure test these assumptions yourself and follow your own research path, you can build a custom DXP story in minutes: Do it your way. A great starting point for your DXP Enterprises research is our analysis highlighting 3 key rewards and 2 important warning signs that could impact your investment decision. Looking for more investment ideas? Before you move on, take a moment to upgrade your watchlist with fresh, data backed ideas from the Simply Wall St screener so you are not leaving opportunities on the table.  Capture potential multi baggers early by targeting these 3572 penny stocks with strong financials that already show solid financial strength and room to grow. Position yourself for the next wave of innovation by focusing on these 26 AI penny stocks poised to benefit from accelerating AI adoption. Strengthen your portfolio foundation by zeroing in on these 15 dividend stocks with yields > 3% that can help support reliable, long term income.   This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data\n    and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your\n    financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data.\n    Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.\n    Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.New: Manage All Your Stock Portfolios in One PlaceWe've created the ultimate portfolio companion for stock investors, and it's free.• Connect an unlimited number of Portfolios and see your total in one currency• Be alerted to new Warning Signs or Risks via email or mobile• Track the Fair Value of your stocksTry a Demo Portfolio for FreeHave feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. 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