Ellington Financial (EFC): Reassessing Valuation After a Year of Strong Total Shareholder Returns

Simply Wall St.12-09

Ellington Financial (EFC) has been quietly rewarding patient shareholders, and its recent run of steady returns is drawing fresh attention. With income, credit, and housing all in focus, investors are...

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With income, credit, and housing all in focus, investors are...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/diversified-financials/nyse-efc/ellington-financial/news/ellington-financial-efc-reassessing-valuation-after-a-year-o\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"simplywall_highlight","html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Ellington Financial (EFC): Reassessing Valuation After a Year of Strong Total Shareholder Returns</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nEllington Financial (EFC): Reassessing Valuation After a Year of Strong Total Shareholder Returns\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2025-12-09 13:10 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/diversified-financials/nyse-efc/ellington-financial/news/ellington-financial-efc-reassessing-valuation-after-a-year-o><strong>Simply Wall St.</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Ellington Financial (EFC) has been quietly rewarding patient shareholders, and its recent run of steady returns is drawing fresh attention. With income, credit, and housing all in focus, investors are...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/diversified-financials/nyse-efc/ellington-financial/news/ellington-financial-efc-reassessing-valuation-after-a-year-o\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","isBrief":false,"type":0,"news_type":1,"symbol":"BK4110","symbol_name":"抵押房地产投资信托","start_time":0,"source_url":"https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/diversified-financials/nyse-efc/ellington-financial/news/ellington-financial-efc-reassessing-valuation-after-a-year-o","article_id":"2590315283","we_media_id":null,"thumbnails":["https://images.simplywall.st/asset/industry/9551733-choice2-main-header/1585186799817"],"rights":{"source":"simplywall_highlight","url":"https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/diversified-financials/nyse-efc/ellington-financial/news/ellington-financial-efc-reassessing-valuation-after-a-year-o","rn_cache_url":null,"directOrigin":true},"url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2590315283","pubTimestamp":1765257036,"columns":[],"sourceInfo":{"source_id":"simplywall_highlight","name":"Simply Wall St."},"weMediaInfo":null,"summary":"Ellington Financial (EFC) has been quietly rewarding patient shareholders, and its recent run of steady returns is drawing fresh attention. With income, credit, and housing all in focus, investors are reassessing what comes next.\nSee our latest analysis for Ellington Financial.\nAfter a solid year where Ellington Financial’s share price has climbed from income play to quiet outperformer, its recent 11.92% year to date share price return and 25.03% one year total shareholder return signal that...","collect":0,"end_time":0,"defaultTopTitle":"simplywall.st","property":[],"viewcount":null,"language":"en","relate_stocks":{"BK4110":"抵押房地产投资信托","EFC":"Ellington投资","TSS":"Total System Services"},"translate_title":"艾灵顿金融(EFC)：在一年强劲的股东总回报后重新评估估值","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":null,"symbols_score_info":{"EFC":1.5,"TSS":1.5},"content_text":"Ellington Financial (EFC) has been quietly rewarding patient shareholders, and its recent run of steady returns is drawing fresh attention. With income, credit, and housing all in focus, investors are reassessing what comes next. See our latest analysis for Ellington Financial. After a solid year where Ellington Financial’s share price has climbed from income play to quiet outperformer, its recent 11.92% year to date share price return and 25.03% one year total shareholder return signal that momentum is still building rather than fading, even if short term moves have been choppy around the latest $13.61 close. If Ellington’s steady income profile has you thinking about what else might be working in this market, it could be a good moment to explore fast growing stocks with high insider ownership. With analysts seeing only modest upside to the current price but valuation models hinting at a much steeper intrinsic discount, investors now face a key question: is Ellington Financial a quiet bargain or already pricing in its next leg of growth? AdvertisementMost Popular Narrative: 6.3% Undervalued With Ellington Financial last closing at $13.61 against a narrative fair value near $14.53, the story sketches a modest upside built on growth and income power.  The ongoing shift of mortgage origination and credit provision away from regulated banks toward non-bank lenders, alongside potential GSE (Fannie/Freddie) footprint reduction, is enlarging Ellington's addressable market in non-QM and private-label loans, with new product segments offering opportunities to deploy capital at attractive yields that could boost net interest income and ROE.  Read the complete narrative. Want to see what happens when rapid top line expansion meets only slightly leaner margins and a lower future earnings multiple than peers? The full narrative reveals the exact growth path, profitability assumptions, and discount rate that have to line up for this pricing gap to close. Result: Fair Value of $14.53 (UNDERVALUED) Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts. However, this depends on housing remaining resilient, because weaker home prices or funding shocks could quickly pressure Ellington’s credit performance, net interest margins, and earnings. Find out about the key risks to this Ellington Financial narrative.  Build Your Own Ellington Financial Narrative If you see the story differently or want to stress test the assumptions yourself, you can build a personalized view in just a few minutes with Do it your way. A great starting point for your Ellington Financial research is our analysis highlighting 4 key rewards and 4 important warning signs that could impact your investment decision. Looking for more investment ideas? Do not stop your research with Ellington. Use the Simply Wall Street Screener to uncover fresh opportunities that match your strategy before the market notices them.  Capture potential mispricings early by scanning these 901 undervalued stocks based on cash flows where strong cash flow analysis suggests the market has not fully appreciated them yet. Position your portfolio for the next wave of innovation by targeting these 27 AI penny stocks that may benefit from accelerating adoption of artificial intelligence. Explore income potential and portfolio stability by focusing on these 15 dividend stocks with yields > 3% that aim to keep paying through different market cycles.   This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data\n    and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your\n    financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data.\n    Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.\n    Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.Discover if Ellington Financial might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.Access Free AnalysisHave feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com","kind":"highlight","is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":false,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"0","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":0,"need_auth":false,"code":"91000000","status":"200"},"commentList":[],"isCommentEnd":true,"newsSizeData":{"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false},"APP":{"userAgent":"Mozilla/5.0 AppleWebKit/537.36 (KHTML, like Gecko; compatible; ClaudeBot/1.0; +claudebot@anthropic.com)","isDev":false,"isTTM":true,"deviceId":"web-server-community-laohu8-v3","version":"4.35.12","shortVersion":"4.35.12","platform":"web","vendor":"web","appName":"ttm","isIOS":false,"isAndroid":false,"isTiger":false,"isTHS":false,"isWeiXin":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"isWeiBo":false,"isQQ":false,"isBaiduSwan":false,"isBaiduBox":false,"isDingTalk":false,"isToutiao":false,"isOnePlus":false,"isHuaWei":false,"isXiaomi":false,"isXiaomiWebView":false,"isOppo":false,"isVivo":false,"isSamsung":false,"isMobile":false},"href":"/m/news/2590315283","isCrawlerRequest":true}