Reassessing Avery Dennison (AVY): Is Recent Momentum Hiding an Undervalued Opportunity?

Simply Wall St.12-09

AdvertisementWhy Avery Dennison Is Back On Investors Radar Avery Dennison (AVY) has quietly outperformed the broader market over the past quarter, with shares up about 7% and roughly flat year to date...

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This performance is inviting a closer look at what investors might be pricing in.\nSee our latest analysis for Avery Dennison.\nThat recent 2.5% one day share price gain and 7.5% 90 day share price return suggest momentum is firming up again, even though the one year total shareholder return is still negative...","collect":0,"end_time":0,"defaultTopTitle":"simplywall.st","property":[],"viewcount":null,"language":"en","relate_stocks":{"LU2506951875.HKD":"BNP PARIBAS SUSTAINABLE GLOBAL LOW VOL EQUITY \"CRH\" (HKDHDG) ACC","LU0385154629.USD":"贝莱德营养科学基金A2","LU2506952097.USD":"BNP PARIBAS SUSTAINABLE GLOBAL LOW VOL EQUITY \"CRH\" (USDHDG) ACC","AVY":"艾利","LU0823417737.USD":"BNP PARIBAS SUSTAINABLE GLOBAL LOW VOL EQUITY \"C\" (USD) INC","LU2506951958.HKD":"BNP PARIBAS SUSTAINABLE GLOBAL LOW VOL EQUITY \"CRH\" (HKDHDG) INC","BK4588":"碎股","LU2360108059.USD":"BGF CIRCULAR ECONOMY \"A4\" (USD) INC","LU0950375773.USD":"BNP PARIBAS SUSTAINABLE GLOBAL LOW VOL EQUITY \"C\" (USD) INC A","LU2298321311.HKD":"BGF CIRCULAR ECONOMY \"A\" (HKDHDG) ACC","LU2506952170.USD":"BNP PARIBAS SUSTAINABLE GLOBAL LOW VOL EQUITY \"CRH\" (USDHDG) INC","BK4136":"纸材料包装","LU2041044095.USD":"Blackrock Circular Economy A2 USD","LU2092937221.SGD":"Blackrock Circular Economy A2 SGD-H","LU1989763690.USD":"东方汇理世代食品基金A2 Acc","LU0823417653.USD":"BNP PARIBAS SUSTAINABLE GLOBAL LOW VOL EQUITY \"C\" (USD) ACC","LU1989763427.SGD":"CPR Invest - Food For Generations A2 Acc SGD-H","LU0471298694.HKD":"BGF NUTRITION \"A2\" (HKD) ACC","BK4511":"特斯拉概念","LU0471298777.SGD":"Blackrock Nutrition A2 SGD-H","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","LU2360106947.USD":"BGF NUTRITION \"A4\" (USD) INC"},"translate_title":"重新评估艾利丹尼森（AVY）：最近的势头是否隐藏着被低估的机会？","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":null,"symbols_score_info":{"AVY":1.5},"content_text":"AdvertisementWhy Avery Dennison Is Back On Investors Radar Avery Dennison (AVY) has quietly outperformed the broader market over the past quarter, with shares up about 7% and roughly flat year to date. This performance is inviting a closer look at what investors might be pricing in. See our latest analysis for Avery Dennison. That recent 2.5% one day share price gain and 7.5% 90 day share price return suggest momentum is firming up again, even though the one year total shareholder return is still negative and longer term five year total shareholder returns remain solidly positive. If this shift in sentiment has you wondering what else might be quietly gaining traction, it could be a good moment to explore fast growing stocks with high insider ownership for other potential standouts. With shares still down over the past year despite steady revenue and earnings growth, investors are asking a simple question: Is Avery Dennison quietly trading at a discount, or is the market already pricing in its next leg of growth? Most Popular Narrative Narrative: 11.4% Undervalued With Avery Dennison last closing at $179.33 versus a narrative fair value of $202.36, the story leans toward upside potential built on execution.  The company's leadership position and expanded innovation pipeline in high-value differentiated products (including new RFID/IL offerings and proprietary technologies) enables above-market growth rates in premium categories like graphics, reflectives, and team sports, providing mix improvement for operating margins.  Read the complete narrative. Want to see what kind of earnings engine could justify that higher value? The narrative leans on rising margins, disciplined buybacks, and a future multiple that assumes real execution. Curious how those moving parts come together in the forecasts? Read on to unpack the full playbook behind this valuation call. Result: Fair Value of $202.36 (UNDERVALUED) Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts. However, lingering weakness in apparel linked to trade uncertainty and rising competition in smart labels could quickly challenge the margin and growth narrative.\nFind out about the key risks to this Avery Dennison narrative.  Build Your Own Avery Dennison Narrative If you see the story differently or want to dig into the numbers yourself, you can shape a custom view in just minutes: Do it your way. A great starting point for your Avery Dennison research is our analysis highlighting 4 key rewards and 1 important warning sign that could impact your investment decision. Looking for more investment ideas? Ready for your next move? Use the Simply Wall Street Screener to uncover focused opportunities so you are not left chasing yesterday's winners.  Capitalize on unloved opportunities by targeting companies that look attractively priced using these 899 undervalued stocks based on cash flows aligned with strong cash flow potential. Ride the next wave of innovation by zeroing in on cutting edge businesses at the intersection of medicine and machine learning through these 30 healthcare AI stocks. Turn volatility into opportunity by scanning digital asset focused companies with these 81 cryptocurrency and blockchain stocks and position yourself ahead of shifting sentiment.   This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data\n    and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your\n    financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data.\n    Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.\n    Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.New: Manage All Your Stock Portfolios in One PlaceWe've created the ultimate portfolio companion for stock investors, and it's free.• Connect an unlimited number of Portfolios and see your total in one currency• Be alerted to new Warning Signs or Risks via email or mobile• Track the Fair Value of your stocksTry a Demo Portfolio for FreeHave feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. 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