Assessing Arbor Realty Trust’s Valuation After Analyst Upgrade, Insider Buying and Q3 Dividend Hold

Simply Wall St.12-11

AdvertisementAnalyst Upgrade Tied to Insider Buying and Q3 Dividend Hold Arbor Realty Trust (ABR) just picked up an analyst upgrade after a wave of insider buying and a mixed Q3 update that still kept...

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At the same time, the five year...","collect":0,"end_time":0,"defaultTopTitle":"simplywall.st","property":["rate"],"viewcount":null,"language":"en","relate_stocks":{"ABR":"阿伯房地产信托"},"translate_title":"在分析师升级、内部购买和第三季度股息持有后评估Arbor Realty Trust的估值","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":null,"symbols_score_info":{"ABR":1.5},"content_text":"AdvertisementAnalyst Upgrade Tied to Insider Buying and Q3 Dividend Hold Arbor Realty Trust (ABR) just picked up an analyst upgrade after a wave of insider buying and a mixed Q3 update that still kept its quarterly dividend steady at 0.30 dollars per share. See our latest analysis for Arbor Realty Trust. The upgrade and insider buying come against a tougher backdrop, with the share price at 9.05 dollars and a steep year to date share price return of minus 34.33 percent. At the same time, the five year total shareholder return of 7.53 percent suggests longer term investors have still eked out a modest gain, hinting that sentiment has weakened recently but not entirely broken. If this kind of insider driven story has your attention, it might be a good time to explore fast growing stocks with high insider ownership for other potential opportunities hiding in plain sight. With insider confidence rising, a sizable discount to analyst targets, and uneven but resilient earnings, the key question is simple: is Arbor Realty Trust mispriced value right now, or is the market already discounting its future growth? Most Popular Narrative Narrative: 24.6% Undervalued With Arbor Realty Trust last closing at 9.05 dollars against a narrative fair value of 12 dollars, the valuation debate turns on a few bold assumptions.  The analysts have a consensus price target of $12.312 for Arbor Realty Trust based on their expectations of its future earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors. However, there is a degree of disagreement amongst analysts, with the most bullish reporting a price target of $15.0, and the most bearish reporting a price target of just $10.5.  Read the complete narrative. Want to see why shrinking revenues can still support rising margins and a richer earnings multiple than the sector average? The narrative leans on surprisingly robust profitability and a specific future PE target to bridge that gap, but the full logic sits beneath the headline numbers. Result: Fair Value of $12 (UNDERVALUED) Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts. However, resilient earnings, a still generous dividend cushion, and successful loan repositioning could all blunt the bearish case and narrow today’s apparent discount. Find out about the key risks to this Arbor Realty Trust narrative.  Build Your Own Arbor Realty Trust Narrative If you see the story differently or want to dive into the numbers yourself, you can build a custom view in just minutes: Do it your way. A great starting point for your Arbor Realty Trust research is our analysis highlighting 3 key rewards and 2 important warning signs that could impact your investment decision. Looking for more investment ideas? Round out your research and give yourself an edge by using the Simply Wall St Screener to uncover focused stock ideas before the rest of the market catches on.  Secure potential high-upside bargains by targeting companies trading below their cash flow value through these 907 undervalued stocks based on cash flows. Ride structural trends in automation and digital intelligence by tapping into these 26 AI penny stocks. Lock in potential income streams by finding yield opportunities via these 12 dividend stocks with yields > 3%.   This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data\n    and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your\n    financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data.\n    Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.\n    Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.New: Manage All Your Stock Portfolios in One PlaceWe've created the ultimate portfolio companion for stock investors, and it's free.• Connect an unlimited number of Portfolios and see your total in one currency• Be alerted to new Warning Signs or Risks via email or mobile• Track the Fair Value of your stocksTry a Demo Portfolio for FreeHave feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com","kind":"highlight","is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":false,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"1","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":0,"need_auth":false,"code":"91000000","status":"200"},"commentList":[],"isCommentEnd":true,"newsSizeData":{"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false},"APP":{"userAgent":"Mozilla/5.0 AppleWebKit/537.36 (KHTML, like Gecko; compatible; ClaudeBot/1.0; +claudebot@anthropic.com)","isDev":false,"isTTM":true,"deviceId":"web-server-community-laohu8-v3","version":"4.35.12","shortVersion":"4.35.12","platform":"web","vendor":"web","appName":"ttm","isIOS":false,"isAndroid":false,"isTiger":false,"isTHS":false,"isWeiXin":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"isWeiBo":false,"isQQ":false,"isBaiduSwan":false,"isBaiduBox":false,"isDingTalk":false,"isToutiao":false,"isOnePlus":false,"isHuaWei":false,"isXiaomi":false,"isXiaomiWebView":false,"isOppo":false,"isVivo":false,"isSamsung":false,"isMobile":false},"href":"/m/news/2590512614","isCrawlerRequest":true}