JPMorgan Shares Rise Ahead Of Fed Decision: Why A 'Hawkish Cut' May Ignite The Bank's Next Rally

Benzinga_recent_news12-11

JPMorgan Chase & Co (NYSE:JPM) shares are trading higher Wednesday morning as investors position themselves ahead of Wednesday afternoon’s pivotal Federal Reserve decision. While a 25-basis-point cut ...

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Here’s what investors need to know.\nWhat To Know: Conventionally, rate cuts are viewed as a headwind for banks due to Net Interest Income (NII) compression. The logic is straightforward: as the Fed lowers the benchmark rate, the yield banks earn on variable-rate loans drops, squeezing the spread between what they pay depositors and what they collect from borrowers.\nHowever, for a diversified giant like JPMorgan, this NII erosion is likely to be eclipsed by far more potent catalysts. The primary bullish driver is the thawing of capital markets. \nHigh interest rates effectively freeze global deal-making. A cut signals stabilizing capital costs, unlocking a massive backlog of M&A and IPOs. As the industry leader, JPMorgan stands to capture substantial fee revenue that far outweighs marginal dips in interest income.\nRead Also: JPMorgan’s $1.5 Trillion Security Push Lifts Spotlight On Defense, Critical Minerals And Tech ETFs\nFurthermore, a cut serves as a critical defensive mechanism for the bank's balance sheet. Lower rates ease debt-servicing costs for consumers, preventing defaults and allowing JPMorgan to release billions in loan loss reserves directly into profits. \nAdditionally, as rates fall, the market value of the bank's vast bond portfolio rises, immediately boosting tangible book value. Ultimately, a “hawkish cut” may provide an ideal sweet spot: rates low enough to reignite deal flow, yet high enough to maintain healthy lending margins.\nBenzinga Edge Rankings: Benzinga Edge data highlights strong underlying price action for JPMorgan, with the stock boasting a robust Momentum score of 72.30, signaling sustained buying pressure despite mixed signals in shorter-term trends.\nJPM Price Action: JPMorgan Chase shares were up 1.78% at $305.92 at the time of publication on Wednesday, according to Benzinga Pro data.\nLooking at technical indicators, the proximity to the 50-day moving average suggests that traders should watch for potential resistance at this level. If the stock can break above $306.55, it may attract more buyers, pushing it toward the 52-week high of $322.25. \nConversely, if the price fails to hold above the psychological support level of $300, it could test lower support levels, including the $298.45 low observed during the session.\nRead Also: The Year Silver Went Parabolic: 5 Metal Miners To Add To Your Portfolio\nImage: Shutterstock\nThis content was partially produced with the help of AI tools and was reviewed and published by Benzinga editors.","kind":"highlight","is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":false,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"1","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":0,"need_auth":false,"code":"91000000","status":"200"},"commentList":[],"isCommentEnd":true,"newsSizeData":{"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false},"APP":{"userAgent":"Mozilla/5.0 AppleWebKit/537.36 (KHTML, like Gecko; compatible; ClaudeBot/1.0; +claudebot@anthropic.com)","isDev":false,"isTTM":true,"deviceId":"web-server-community-laohu8-v3","version":"4.35.12","shortVersion":"4.35.12","platform":"web","vendor":"web","appName":"ttm","isIOS":false,"isAndroid":false,"isTiger":false,"isTHS":false,"isWeiXin":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"isWeiBo":false,"isQQ":false,"isBaiduSwan":false,"isBaiduBox":false,"isDingTalk":false,"isToutiao":false,"isOnePlus":false,"isHuaWei":false,"isXiaomi":false,"isXiaomiWebView":false,"isOppo":false,"isVivo":false,"isSamsung":false,"isMobile":false},"href":"/m/news/2590539209","isCrawlerRequest":true}